Starting the March thread now due to the next events coming up.

Friday will be decent with highs approaching 50F.

Saturday will be one of those days that gradually gets colder as the day goes on. Saturday night we will likely see drizzle and light rain showers develop across a large majority of the state and temperatures will fall to and just below freezing after nightfall. This will turn to freezing rain late Saturday night into Sunday morning. At this time, it appears majority of impacts will be felt across N and NE OK.

The big story will be the temperatures behind the precipitation. Sunday we will barely make it into the mid 20s and there will be 15+mph winds. Monday morning lows will be near single digits with a stout north wind putting windchills into the negatives. Monday OKC may not reach 20F. Tuesday morning lows will likely be in the teens and highs for Tuesday will get to about freezing.

After this weekend, the next shot at precipitation appears to be the following weekend.


Monday morning snapshot:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019022806/gfs_T2m_scus_18.png

In like a lion, out like a lamb. Or in like a lamb, out like a lion.

What happens if it is in like a polar bear?

In like a lion, out like a lamb. Or in like a lamb, out like a lion.

What happens if it is in like a polar bear?

Trying not to get my hopes up too much regarding spring arriving on time this year. It's starting to look like I'm going to have to end up cancelling my spring break plans if another winter storm comes through next weekend.

Starting the March thread now due to the next events coming up.

Friday will be decent with highs approaching 50F.

Saturday will be one of those days that gradually gets colder as the day goes on. Saturday night we will likely see drizzle and light rain showers develop across a large majority of the state and temperatures will fall to and just below freezing after nightfall. This will turn to freezing rain late Saturday night into Sunday morning. At this time, it appears majority of impacts will be felt across N and NE OK.

The big story will be the temperatures behind the precipitation. Sunday we will barely make it into the mid 20s and there will be 15+mph winds. Monday morning lows will be near single digits with a stout north wind putting windchills into the negatives. Monday OKC may not reach 20F. Tuesday morning lows will likely be in the teens and highs for Tuesday will get to about freezing.

After this weekend, the next shot at precipitation appears to be the following weekend.


Monday morning snapshot:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019022806/gfs_T2m_scus_18.png

Now that we're in the evening, I'm curious to hear your thoughts about how likely you think the temperature forecast will verify for tomorrow? Today's forecast originally called for a high of 39°F in OKC but the mercury didn't rise anywhere close to 30°F. NWS also seems to think we'll hit 50°F on Friday. The Rapid Refresh model is consistently showing colder temps for the same forecast hour than both NAM and GFS, though - showing an air temp of 29°F by 10AM tomorrow, whereas NAM predicts air temps in the mid 30's and GFS predicts low 40's by that point.

I will fall out of my chair if it hits 40 tomorrow. Forecast models have failed so many times now with pushing this arctic bs outta here I ain’t buying it tomorrow.

40s are likely for OKC. If the sun can break through, we can touch 50. Some models keep low-level clouds, thus temperatures capped near 40. Regardless, it will feel like a warm front considering the last few days and the upcoming few days.

Why did it not get much past 25 today. When the forecast was for mid upper 30’s??

Why did it not get much past 25 today. When the forecast was for mid upper 30’s??

The stratus never cleared out like the models were predicting, which has been something of a consistent trend this winter. Between this, and arctic fronts moving in more quickly and further south than modeled, there have been so many temperatures busts over the last two months.

Where skies did clear over far western Oklahoma late in the afternoon, temperatures did manage to rise into the 40s.

The stratus never cleared out like the models were predicting, which has been something of a consistent trend this winter. Between this, and arctic fronts moving in more quickly and further south than modeled, there have been so many temperatures busts over the last two months.

Where skies did clear over far western Oklahoma late in the afternoon, temperatures did manage to rise into the 40s.

Thanks. So seems like with the extra cold yesterday. Today’s new high is in the low 40’s. Hopefully we get there

NWS now predicts a high of 35 today with this caveat: "Tricky temperature forecast today. Clouds will impact the amount of warm up today."

Current cloud cover isn't looking like it will budge at the moment.

https://weather.cod.edu/data/satellite/subregional/S_Plains/current/S_Plains.02.jpg

The OKC East Mesonet site got all the way up to 38F today, which is as warm as it's been since Tuesday, and as warm as it'll be until probably next Wednesday. Not great...

Current cloud cover isn't looking like it will budge at the moment.

https://weather.cod.edu/data/satellite/subregional/S_Plains/current/S_Plains.02.jpg

Day and night animated satellite images from selectable regions across the country can be seen here:
https://stillwaterweather.com/satloops2

So are there any updates regarding the kind/qty of winter precip may be happening overnight?

Looks like another bust. Just a cold Sunday ... no major "winter storm" or "ice storm". Even the windy part was removed from tomorrows forecast. Just 25 degrees chilly. (But those ratings ... whooo!)

The latest GFS runs make it a little hard to be absolute either way about precip overnight. A blob starts around midnight near Woodward, and extends roughly south to Amarillo, but the next iteration six hours later.shows the blob east and northeast of central OK. The way the blob swings through - riding a wave going west to ENE, could leave OKC bone dry or give us the southern edge of the system as it passes. I'm no expert, but I don't think we can tell from these runs absolutely either way for OKC - precip or no.

The latest GFS runs make it a little hard to be absolute either way about precip overnight. A blob starts around midnight near Woodward, and extends roughly south to Amarillo, but the next iteration six hours later.shows the blob east and northeast of central OK. The way the blob swings through - riding a wave going west to ENE, could leave OKC bone dry or give us the southern edge of the system as it passes. I'm no expert, but I don't think we can tell from these runs absolutely either way for OKC - precip or no.

Every hi res hourly model shows almost nothing. Just a trace of precipitation at this point. Nam, Hrrr, Gem, Wrf.... Looks like a bust in terms of precipitation.

Mark my words, it will be a super-bustapalooza for moisture...

The damger is the cold. Mon morning shows 7-9 depending and high on Mon is 24 and another cold 12-15 Tue morning. Lots of under 32 clock time so watch the pipes thats the real worry

Looks like another bust. Just a cold Sunday ... no major "winter storm" or "ice storm". Even the windy part was removed from tomorrows forecast. Just 25 degrees chilly. (But those ratings ... whooo!)

Posted five hours before Sunday even hits. Then Sunday hits and we get the forecasted glazing of ice with less than an inch of snow on top. There was no ice storm forecasted by anybody at any time in the last week.

Awwww, how cute! We have another weather troll! We're getting quite the collection.

Meteorologist don't know sh!t. They've gotten the weather wrong every day since I've been here the last few weeks. Why do people believe this nonsense. What a joke!

Mark my words, it will be a super-bustapalooza for moisture...

Words marked. You were wrong. That is all.

I didn’t see any tv mets posting over an inch. All said iit was moving too fast to get much and the worst part would be the cold. It turned out to be moving fast, dropped frozen precip from the sky and it’s cold as shi* so I’m guessing they nailed this one.

They got this one right and we are now in deep freeze til sometime Tue.

Drip lots of water tonight and its cheaper to spend a few bucks more for water than a busted pipe expense. I’ll also leave mine dripping all day Mon so no surprises later.

******** don't know sh!t. ****** gotten **** wrong every day since I've been here the last few weeks. Why do people believe this nonsense. What a joke!
Seems amazingly autobiographical

Seems amazingly autobiographical

;)

They got this one right and we are now in deep freeze til sometime Tue.

Drip lots of water tonight and its cheaper to spend a few bucks more for water than a busted pipe expense. I’ll also leave mine dripping all day Mon so no surprises later.They did get this system right. Every model pretty much agreed so they would have to have gone way out on a limb to disagree. But if you look at the last week of forecasted highs and clouds vs sun they missed big time.

Early Sunday morning, it came a heavy dusting of snow in Stillwater (not freezing rain this time) and once again the Stillwater Emergency Management Director gave another tour of road conditions in Stillwater, mostly on the outskirts. Here are some of the more interesting points on this very long video.

1. 33.00 - Drive to the airport with a stop to watch the American Eagle get deiced.
2. 44:00 - Gate opened for a better look.
3. 1:37.00 - Pickup truck speeds past director and soon later slides past red light.
4. 2:15.00 - Director himself kinda has close call, but salted intersection saves the day. He proceeds to the interior part of town.
5. 2:18:30 - Director makes sudden turn to check out why two cop cars are stopped in the middle of Main St.

A good number of out of state and international people were viewing. Stillwater was mostly asleep.
https://www.facebook.com/StwSema/videos/572439659924287/?multi_permalinks=2091785630911949%2C2091769677580 211%2C2091754780915034%2C2091740174249828%2C209167 2004256645&notif_id=1551642608073219&notif_t=group_activity

Some dry snowbands developing right now out in W OK and SW KS. These will stream overhead in random areas over the state tonight into Monday morning. Nothing meaningful coming from them, just dry wispy snowflakes.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2019030400/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_10.png

Mild today for Thursday. Obviously it is windy too, because you can't have a nice day in OK without at least 15mph winds.

Friday will be mild ahead of a storm, which will attempt to develop showers/storms either west of, or directly over I-44 corridor. So depending on how soon anything develops, it may not affect OKC. Best chances are E OK.

After that, we will be windy and mild for the first half of Saturday before winds switch out of the NW and blast in cooler air. Sunday will be decent with highs in the low 50s.


The next storm will be right on its heels as a large system comes out of the SW Rockies. This will likely be our first legitimate taste at some severe weather for late Monday and especially Tuesday. Including possibly flooding rains.

The probability for more cold weather will persist, especially throughout the mid section of the country - March 15-19.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/archives/short_range/2019/03/09/610temp.20190309.fcst.gif

The probability for more cold weather will persist, especially throughout the mid section of the country - March 15-19.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/archives/short_range/2019/03/09/610temp.20190309.fcst.gif

son of a .....

GET WARM

The probability for more cold weather will persist, especially throughout the mid section of the country - March 15-19.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/archives/short_range/2019/03/09/610temp.20190309.fcst.gifKinda like last year. I kept uncovering the Miata for a day or two only to put her back to bed for awhile.

We should see rain develop late tonight across NW TX into W OK. This will stream across the main part of the state into Tuesday morning. After that we will have a slight break before the main precipitation piece of the storm comes through Wednesday. We will be mild and strong S winds before the rain and storms. At this time, it looks like any Severe potential should be confined to far SW OK.

Strong north winds will come in behind the storm system and make Thursday not so great.

Weather for weekend looks like upper 40s and sunshine or low 50s.

We should see rain develop late tonight across NW TX into W OK. This will stream across the main part of the state into Tuesday morning. After that we will have a slight break before the main precipitation piece of the storm comes through Wednesday. We will be mild and strong S winds before the rain and storms. At this time, it looks like any Severe potential should be confined to far SW OK.

Strong north winds will come in behind the storm system and make Thursday not so great.

Weather for weekend looks like upper 40s and sunshine or low 50s.

So crap weather during the week but perfect green beer drinking weather this weekend!

Little to no rain this morning, opposite of what KFOR was saying and they were off on temperatures yesterday highs by almost 20 degrees. There are so many weather websites (This is one of the Best) slowly stop watching Local HYPE stations.

Little to no rain this morning, opposite of what KFOR was saying and they were off on temperatures yesterday highs by almost 20 degrees. There are so many weather websites (This is one of the Best) slowly stop watching Local HYPE stations.

I'm a big fan of National Weather Service - Norman. They're not in it for ratings. They don't always get it right, but Mother Nature tends to do whatever she likes!
www.weather.gov/oun

https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-central-u-s-is-about-to-get-hit-with-a-bomb-cyclon-1833239904

This is sorta interesting!:)

https://earther.gizmodo.com/the-central-u-s-is-about-to-get-hit-with-a-bomb-cyclon-1833239904

This is sorta interesting!:)

At least the storm doesn't have much warm sunshine to work with.

Our eventual line of rain and storms has formed across W TX. This will continue all night and impact our area Wednesday. Impacts in C OK will be around daybreak or a little after. Temperatures will be very mild and humid ahead of the rain and turn warm and dry behind the line.

After the storms, we will have extremely gusty winds out of the S and SW likely carrying dust and pollens with it. Temperatures could reach near 70F with sunshine and the strong south winds.

As we head into Wednesday night we will have strong winds shift to come from the NW and eventual N as the low passes through SW KS. This will set up thursday for being much cooler with blustery north winds.

Little to no rain this morning, opposite of what KFOR was saying and they were off on temperatures yesterday highs by almost 20 degrees. There are so many weather websites (This is one of the Best) slowly stop watching Local HYPE stations.

It has been raining HARD for about 3 hours now, and has about 3 more left in it for OKC. I will take it!

Helluva deal

It has been raining HARD for about 3 hours now, and has about 3 more left in it for OKC. I will take it!

I know! Woke me up a couple times. Just like the forecast said. Isn't it funny how the trolls keep coming in before the day even starts and declaring the forecast a bust, then exactly what the forecast said would happen, happens? They're so dumb they think this is a weather website, how cute.

Correct me if I’m wrong but from what I’ve read and been told

Winter weather= so many factors constantly changing its barely worth predicting.
Spring weather= they can nail with 90% accuracy.

Broken clock is right twice a day.

Be happy. Right now it's blinding snow and 50 - 60 mph wind at my house in Denver. Limon, CO out east of Denver showed the lowest barometric pressure they'd ever recorded earlier today.

Storm has been picking up speed the last 24 hours. This means less colder air being poured down behind it. So the weekend weather looks like it will be closer to mid or even upper 50s and sunshine on Saturday (with virtually no wind). Sunday looks like highs in the 60s with weak south winds.

Green beer is on the menu!

Be happy. Right now it's blinding snow and 50 - 60 mph wind at my house in Denver. Limon, CO out east of Denver showed the lowest barometric pressure they'd ever recorded earlier today.

i would love that but i love winter weather

40-50mph wind gusts will be impacting all of the OKC metro by rush hour.

https://i.imgur.com/X0ab9mz.png

Last Update: 03-13-2019 05:52:05 PM

Total Customers Affected
6,664
Total customers affected does not reflect areas with fewer than 50 customers affected.

Current Outages
Currently showing areas with outages affecting 50 customers or more.

Billings, OK 898
Cleo Springs, OK 427
Davis, OK 130
Del City, OK 117
Drumright, OK 279
Guthrie, OK 51
Maysville, OK 441
Nichols Hills, OK 319
Norman, OK 778
Oklahoma City, OK 1900
Paoli, OK 428
Shattuck, OK 163
Stroud, OK 733

https://www.oge.com/wps/portal/oge/outages/systemwatch/mobile.asp/!ut/p/z1/04_Sj9CPykssy0xPLMnMz0vMAfIjo8ziLYwMnA08TYy8DAycTQ 0cjfx9_IN8g4wM3E31w1EVuHsbuRo4eru4BJoGuBh6OpnoRxGj 3wAHcDQgTj8eBVH4jfciZAEwBIyKfJ190_WjChJLMnQz89Ly9S Ny85Myc1L1EosLgC6IQjUDLQz8TAgocIIpwOPMgtzQ0Igqn7Rg z3RFAAfFRpk!/dz/d5/L2dBISEvZ0FBIS9nQSEh/

Oklahoma City Fire
@OKCFD
Busy day! We have responded to check arcing, sagging, or downed power lines 21 times since this morning. He have responded to 8 grass fires since 4:07 pm. We still have a large grass fire near SE 149 / Hiwassee now. Media, this fire is on TAC 3. BF 5:50 pm

Be happy. Right now it's blinding snow and 50 - 60 mph wind at my house in Denver. Limon, CO out east of Denver showed the lowest barometric pressure they'd ever recorded earlier today.

This brief video shows the blizzard in Colorado Springs: http://www.cospringsweather.com/31319blizzard.mp4

This reptile needs to start seeing some 90’s soon... this cold sucks.

That wind yesterday! A bit too much. It did knock some dead Branches down for me though.

Yesterday was the highest average wind speed at the airport in the past five years.

With that last storm getting swept away rather quickly, we will have a beautiful weekend setup with sunshine and 60s for highs and the best part... NO STRONG WINDS!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2019031518/hrrr_T2m_scus_28.png

Upward temp bust for the weekend in play.... sunshine and south wind. I see 80’s and not 60’s. More like Normal OK temps.

^ 60's are normal for this time of year.

Upward temp bust for the weekend in play.... sunshine and south wind. I see 80’s and not 60’s. More like Normal OK temps.

Yesterday's high was 61 degrees. Lmao.

Upward temp bust for the weekend in play.... sunshine and south wind. I see 80’s and not 60’s. More like Normal OK temps.

Can we rip you a new one when you are wrong, since you know more than the meteorologists?