View Full Version : General Weather Discussion - January 2019



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OKCRT
01-03-2019, 04:57 PM
Looks like that dry slot is closing over OKC.

SoonerDave
01-03-2019, 05:04 PM
Pretty nice snowfall right now here in SW OKC. Flakes not nearly as large as this morning, but steady. Temps at 34 per my weather station.

SoonerDave
01-03-2019, 05:10 PM
Wow -- in just the few minutes since my last post, the flakes are getting larger and the rate seems to be increasing!

judysue
01-03-2019, 05:26 PM
Finally snowing in Norman!

OKC Guy
01-03-2019, 06:20 PM
Just got home Downtown to Kilpatrick Turnpike on 235N was 40ish but quite a noticeable changeover to transition of wet roads to slushy about to go frozen. Same with KP West all the way to Rockwell it was 40 (some were doing 50-55 others 35). Converting to more frozen than just water. My wheel wells were all full of snow so its gonna be dicey tonight. I did not see any wrecks old or new so thats good.

I expect the morning commute to be the worst of all week if it gets to 26 like NOAA shows. They might get treatment overnight if it stops but anything left wet should be frozen (thats not treated). Maybe this clears out in time and can have time to work roads? Once it warms up its all done with.

At least thats my opinion.

Anonymous.
01-03-2019, 08:33 PM
Intense banding taking place directly over OKC, especially the southern sides.

Bunty
01-03-2019, 08:40 PM
Interesting how in parts of north Oklahoma, such as Enid and Stillwater, the temp has been 32 or 33 since late this morning, so it's been freezing rain or sleet, no snow. So my rain gauge didn't freeze up and kept on recording, which is now around a half inch. Photo of radar shows what I mean. There has been some ice accumulation on trees, probably the main impact from this storm, in Stillwater. At least one of them fell on a house. Fortunately, power outages are spotty and not widespread. https://oms.stillwater.org/OMSWebMap/OMSWebMap.htm?clientKey=undefined

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/radarjan32019.jpg

Anonymous.
01-03-2019, 09:00 PM
^ The system is "generating" its own cold air. Virtually all the air, especially during the daytime, was warmer than 32F everywhere surrounding OK except for W/SW and C areas of the state. The areas in the direct pathing of the low are going to be the coldest. And the temperature drop compounds on itself with winter precipitation as the actual droplets cool the air and surface as well.

In fact, as soon as the low moves into E OK, many areas without accumulated snowfall will rise back above 32F. W, SW, and C OK most definitely will not, and will likely fall to near 28 or 29 by morning due to accumulation.

Pete
01-03-2019, 09:23 PM
My house near Penn Square:

http://www.okctalk.com/images/pete/snow010318a.jpg


http://www.okctalk.com/images/pete/snow010318c.jpg

Anonymous.
01-03-2019, 10:15 PM
Well OKC has found itself in the sweetspot for the deformation zone so far. Looks like another hour or two of accumulation possible for the metro.

midtownokcer
01-03-2019, 10:19 PM
3.4 inches at the airport so far. I've got about 5" at my apartment in downtown.

SoonerDave
01-03-2019, 10:27 PM
Between 4.5-5" in my backyard here in SW Oklahoma City. Gorgeous snowfall.

emtefury
01-03-2019, 11:40 PM
Between 4.5-5" in my backyard here in SW Oklahoma City. Gorgeous snowfall.

localized by the square mile. I measured 2.5-3”. I am in SW OKC near County Line and SW 44th.

Anonymous.
01-04-2019, 08:15 AM
This goes to show you how localized heavy snowbands can get. There are reports of 3" just a couple miles from 7".

https://www.weather.gov/images/oun/graphicast/image_full1.png

OKC Guy
01-04-2019, 10:02 AM
Worst part of the drive today (besides slick minor roads) was all the idiots who didn’t clean the snow off vehicle! There are some stupid people out there. Then they wanna go 70 on turnpike with all this snow and ice chunks flying off. Luckily I was looking for that and stayed well back but if I had been hit and damaged vehicle woulda got tag # for insurance to fight them to pay.

It seemed every other vehicle did not clean it off. This is dangerous and can kill someone if a chunk hits winshield and breaks or causes an accident. Its no different than someone dropping items off an overpass bridge except its the whole drive not just underpass.

Folks, clean off your vehicle (roof especially) if it has snow on it!!

Of Sound Mind
01-04-2019, 10:04 AM
Folks, clean off your vehicle (roof especially) if it has snow on it!!
No

OKC Guy
01-04-2019, 11:06 AM
No

Is this a troll post? Or are you saying people should not clean snow/ice off car before driving?

Anonymous.
01-04-2019, 11:26 AM
That user is always replying with one or two words on almost anything. I am not sure why, as the replies usually add nothing to the thread. Maybe it is a bot.

emtefury
01-04-2019, 11:48 AM
Worst part of the drive today (besides slick minor roads) was all the idiots who didn’t clean the snow off vehicle! There are some stupid people out there. Then they wanna go 70 on turnpike with all this snow and ice chunks flying off. Luckily I was looking for that and stayed well back but if I had been hit and damaged vehicle woulda got tag # for insurance to fight them to pay.

It seemed every other vehicle did not clean it off. This is dangerous and can kill someone if a chunk hits winshield and breaks or causes an accident. Its no different than someone dropping items off an overpass bridge except its the whole drive not just underpass.

Folks, clean off your vehicle (roof especially) if it has snow on it!!

I think it is a symptom of not snowing much here and awareness. It has killed a few in Pennsylvania when chunks of ice slid off of tractor trailers. PA made a law with a requirement for trucks to ensure the ice is off the trailer prior to departure. I know some truck stops and trucking companies have scrapers to remove the snow and ice when departing.

okatty
01-04-2019, 12:27 PM
Melting is intense today....standing by a large Magnolia in our yard and you can just hear it crashing down. Beautiful day.

Of Sound Mind
01-04-2019, 12:28 PM
That user is always replying with one or two words on almost anything. I am not sure why, as the replies usually add nothing to the thread. Maybe it is a bot.
Nope

Of Sound Mind
01-04-2019, 12:29 PM
That user is always replying with one or two words on almost anything. I am not sure why, as the replies usually add nothing to the thread. Maybe it is a bot.
For the record, I typically reply with the same value as the post I'm replying to.

Bunty
01-04-2019, 12:57 PM
A satellite view of where it snowed in Oklahoma on Jan. 3.

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/snowjan2018.gif

Ian Drake
01-05-2019, 03:31 PM
Temperature forecast bust for today!!!! hahahaha yes it is 64 degrees, almost 70. What does that mean for the forecast for the rest of the month? Well above average? I will absolutely take it!!!!! Wish all winter was 70 and dry!!!

Bill Robertson
01-06-2019, 07:04 AM
Temperature forecast bust for today!!!! hahahaha yes it is 64 degrees, almost 70. What does that mean for the forecast for the rest of the month? Well above average? I will absolutely take it!!!!! Wish all winter was 70 and dry!!!Absolutely!!! Loved yesterday. Took the Miata out. Going to today too!

baralheia
01-06-2019, 10:52 PM
Temperature forecast bust for today!!!! hahahaha yes it is 64 degrees, almost 70. What does that mean for the forecast for the rest of the month? Well above average? I will absolutely take it!!!!! Wish all winter was 70 and dry!!!

Yeah, yesterday and today both were pretty gorgeous, if just a tad chilly. That said, I'm not sure where in OKC you are, but at my house on the south side, the high temperature on the 5th was 61°F. The official high temperature, observed at the airport, was 59°F. This is right around what was forecast for yesterday. Tell me again how this was a "forecast bust"?

And no, two days of warmer-than-average temperatures don't equal "well above average" temperatures for the rest of the month. Temperatures will slide back into the mid to upper 40's by midweek and stay that way through next weekend.

stile99
01-07-2019, 07:22 AM
Yeah, yesterday and today both were pretty gorgeous, if just a tad chilly. That said, I'm not sure where in OKC you are, but at my house on the south side, the high temperature on the 5th was 61°F. The official high temperature, observed at the airport, was 59°F. This is right around what was forecast for yesterday. Tell me again how this was a "forecast bust"?

And no, two days of warmer-than-average temperatures don't equal "well above average" temperatures for the rest of the month. Temperatures will slide back into the mid to upper 40's by midweek and stay that way through next weekend.

Don't feed it. Feeding it makes it stay.

Anonymous.
01-07-2019, 08:54 AM
As others above have mentioned. Warm again today, Monday. Tuesday turns cooler with strong winds out of the N. Rest of week we slip back into normal temperature ranges.

Next precipitation shot looks like cold rain heading into Friday.

Anonymous.
01-09-2019, 09:21 AM
Cold air continues to filter down into OK. Thursday will struggle to make 50F and cold rain will move in by nightfall.

Thursday night into Friday we could see as much as an inch of rain across most of the region. Heaviest being in the NE portions of the state. Some possible late transition to snow right along the OK/KS border Friday evening before the whole system moves out. This will be a solid snowstorm for most of MO.

After that we will have temperatures much cooler and highs in the 40s. Next precipitation action looks to be around the 17th/18th timeframe.


Sidenote, this is probably the most efficient winter we have had in a long time in regards to consistent moisture replenishment. If this continues, we could see a beautiful Spring.

Roger S
01-09-2019, 09:49 AM
Sidenote, this is probably the most efficient winter we have had in a long time in regards to consistent moisture replenishment. If this continues, we could see a beautiful Spring.

Man it's killing me on the farm.... I have a couple of plots I want to expand crops into and it's too muddy to get it done.

emtefury
01-09-2019, 10:37 PM
This winter has also been great on the natural gas bill.

OKC Guy
01-09-2019, 11:19 PM
This winter has also been great on the natural gas bill.

ONG To Return $22 Million To Customers
Wednesday, January 9th 2019, 4:23 AM

ONG customers will receive $22.7 million in savings over the next year, a rate reduction of approximately $11 million plus $11.7 million in one-time credits from ONG's income tax saving after the federal income tax rate fell to 21 percents, officials said.

The average residential customer will see approximately $15 in savings in February an a smaller balance n subsequent months for the rest of the year.

http://www.news9.com/story/39756267/ong-to-return-dollar22-million-to-customers

Achilleslastand
01-10-2019, 12:37 PM
Temps so far this winter have been above average, are we going to see a proper winter temp wise?

FighttheGoodFight
01-10-2019, 01:21 PM
Isn't it pretty average? 50 as the high and 30 as the low. It seems to be around that now.

Bunty
01-10-2019, 07:42 PM
State declared free of drought as more rain moves in tonight. https://www.stwnewspress.com/oklahoma/news/state-declared-free-of-drought-as-more-rain-moves-in/article_ec5c9650-5d00-57d5-a3f5-9ee6ef2e1ee6.html

OKC Guy
01-10-2019, 07:52 PM
State declared free of drought as more rain moves in tonight. https://www.stwnewspress.com/oklahoma/news/state-declared-free-of-drought-as-more-rain-moves-in/article_ec5c9650-5d00-57d5-a3f5-9ee6ef2e1ee6.html

Thats awesome news for this time of year! Should help fire season however everything will grow faster in spring and we can go to drought or fire crisis so fast. Still good news though!

SEMIweather
01-12-2019, 08:03 PM
Looks like next weekend could be interesting...or it could just be really cold.

OKC Guy
01-12-2019, 10:13 PM
Looks like next weekend could be interesting...or it could just be really cold.

Way early but here is Fri night/Sat from NOAA

Friday Night
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday
A 20 percent chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 29.

Anonymous.
01-14-2019, 11:29 AM
Outside chance @ winter precipitation this weekend, but for sure nothing close to being locked in. Right now the bulk of impact will be across IA and MO again.

The following week looks like more action is possible. Looking even beyond that into extremely questionable forecasting, there is signs of some arctic air settling into the region.

OKC Guy
01-14-2019, 09:17 PM
From NOAA latest update:

Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 61.

Friday Night
A chance of rain before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday
A 50 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.

Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 14.

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 26.

Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 21.

M.L.King Day
Sunny, with a high near 44.

OKC Guy
01-15-2019, 10:53 PM
Latest from NOAA for OKC. Also seeing small chance snow for Tue now.

Gonna get cold get those pipes covered up:

Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

Friday Night
Rain likely before midnight, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Saturday
A 50 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 30. Windy.

Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 15.

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 27.

Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.

M.L.King Day
Sunny, with a high near 45.

Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 30.

Tuesday
A slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

emounger
01-16-2019, 07:38 AM
Can anyone give me a rough idea of what the conditions will be in far SE Oklahoma on Saturday and Sunday? TIA!

Anonymous.
01-16-2019, 10:12 AM
Can anyone give me a rough idea of what the conditions will be in far SE Oklahoma on Saturday and Sunday? TIA!

Very cold and windy. Saturday chance of rain. Sunday dry, but still very cold and windy.

Anonymous.
01-16-2019, 10:19 AM
Some preliminary information about this weekend's storm. Right now it looks like mostly a non-issue for the majority of Oklahoma. Cold air and strong winds will be on the menu.

We will see highs in the 60s Friday ahead of the storm with strong southerly winds. Friday night rain develops overhead and the cold air comes rushing in from the north. With the current track of the low, impacts will be mostly felt across MO/IA. It will take a dramatic shift in the track of the storm, in order for OK to have any sort of significant impacts. Here are some very early predictions of snowfall by a few models:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019011612/gfs_asnow_scus_19.png



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2019011612/gem_asnow_scus_18.png



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2019011612/namconus_asnow_scus_29.png

Anonymous.
01-18-2019, 03:54 PM
Some spotty light rain this evening is already kicking up. Cold air and wind comes rushing in after dark. Any precipitation will turn over to dry, blowing snow. Little to no impacts expected from the snow. Perhaps a quick burst of accumulating snow across far E or NE OK. Otherwise Saturday will be basically miserably cold.

Bunty
01-30-2019, 12:30 PM
A look at the nation's wind chill temps as of 6 am Wed. from this unusually cold air mass. For Oklahoma, it came in as a backdoor front, so Oklahoma isn't getting the brunt of it. Already NNE winds have switched to the SE.
https://scontent-dfw5-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/51163609_2303659853017737_8444574971509866496_n.pn g?_nc_cat=1&_nc_ht=scontent-dfw5-2.xx&oh=45da0e4b0d318f322c5507315a4e9b27&oe=5D010B1F

okatty
01-30-2019, 12:46 PM
OK, so it's cold when you have to burn the train tracks!

https://jalopnik.com/chicago-is-so-ridiculously-cold-that-the-railroad-track-1832177510

Ian Drake
01-30-2019, 05:21 PM
How about the very Un Super Bowl like weather for the Super Bowl? I see some mid to upper 70's creeping in there on Sunday. Gonna love it! Wish it would stay around though.

BB37
01-30-2019, 09:55 PM
Meanwhile, Hell (Michigan) has frozen over...

https://nypost.com/2019/01/30/hell-has-officially-frozen-over/