So going by previous forecast busts this rain will move out and the sun will shine and the temps will go up to 70 degrees.
So hilarious... :rolleyes:

So going by previous forecast busts this rain will move out and the sun will shine and the temps will go up to 70 degrees.

Have you ever tried predicting the future?

So going by previous forecast busts this rain will move out and the sun will shine and the temps will go up to 70 degrees.

Looks like your forecast was an epic and total bust. Didn't see the sun all day, picked up a little over an inch of rain, and the temperature didn't break 40 most of the day, just as the pros predicted. Score for the good guys!

For real though, that was a nice little drink for about 2/3 of the state.
http://www.okctalk.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=15067&d=1544808541

Looks like your forecast was an epic and total bust. Didn't see the sun all day, picked up an inch and a half of rain, and the temperature didn't break 40 most of the day, just as the pros predicted. Score for the good guys!

The "Pros" and/or "the good guys" didn't predict anything. It's whatever the models say. In this case the models did a pretty good job.

The "Pros" and/or "the good guys" didn't predict anything. It's whatever the models say. In this case the models did a pretty good job.

Yeah, you're 100% right, I was just being petty. He'd used similar phrases to describe the winter weather forecast bust from last week and it just rubbed me the wrong way. My bad.

As baralheia mentioned, nice to get a 1"+ drink to a majority of the state in winter. We are keeping the drought at bay nicely right now when winter is usually the time it gains a lot of traction.

Storms lining up out in the Pacific this week. Impacts will be felt across much of the US during Christmas week. Will update more as we get closer.

7-day QPF (as of 10:15 am on Friday) is trending up for over an inch of rain for the metro... we'll see what happens.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1545408733

Big time rain for the western 2/3 of OK the day after Christmas.

After that there appears to be a follow-up system that will swing through around New Years weekend. Right now models are all over the place with track, but it appears cold air will be in the area, regardless of precipitation.

Back just a little bit was a discussion of hating on or not hating on our TV meteorologists. I just saw a David Payne teaser for tonight’s news where he said “Major storm coming in Wednesday and Thursday. Will it be rain or snow?”. There is virtually zero chance of it being snow so why even mention it? This is what I have against TV meteorologists. They are more about TV and less about weather.

Could see over an inch of rain for a solid chunk of the state Wednesday.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2018122512/nam3km_apcpn_scus_20.png

Gorgeous night right now. Went for a walk and it feels like March outside.

Back just a little bit was a discussion of hating on or not hating on our TV meteorologists. I just saw a David Payne teaser for tonight’s news where he said “Major storm coming in Wednesday and Thursday. Will it be rain or snow?”. There is virtually zero chance of it being snow so why even mention it? This is what I have against TV meteorologists. They are more about TV and less about weather.

Well the current forecast has the possibility of snow Friday night into Saturday, and your virtually zero chance is listed at 30%.

Well the current forecast has the possibility of snow Friday night into Saturday, and your virtually zero chance is listed at 30%.I said the storm system of today and tomorrow. Not a word about Saturday.

With the way the radar is panning out. We will likely see some flooding advisories coming out for the I-44 corridor in C and SW OK early this afternoon.

Midwest City, again, is getting shafted. MWC could burn while the rest of the state floods (I'm just being serious).

Midwest City, again, is getting shafted. MWC could burn while the rest of the state floods (I'm just being serious).
One can only hope

With the way the radar is panning out. We will likely see some flooding advisories coming out for the I-44 corridor in C and SW OK early this afternoon.

My backyard in Mustang has already issued a flood advisory. Neighbor's yard issued a flood warning.

If it was 28 degrees today wonder how many inches of snow we would get lol

If it was 28 degrees today wonder how many inches of snow we would get lol

It would be the biggest snowfall in OKC history if you took a classic 1:10 liquid:snow ratio. But, you normally do not get this type of convective development or moisture quality with winter storms. One of the reasons thundersnow is extremely rare.

Midwest City, again, is getting shafted. MWC could burn while the rest of the state floods (I'm just being serious).

Give it more time. Stillwater has just gone over an inch. Some places are headed for over 3 in.

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.48hr.png
https://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.rad.gif

https://stillwaterweather.com/wxgraphic.php?type=banner_big

Really nice rainfall for the vast majority of the state today. Days like today will do a lot in terms of preventing another terrible fire season like we had last spring, so hopefully we'll get a few more in the first quarter of 2019.

What a fantastic drink of rain for pretty much the entire state. Most of the state saw an inch or more of precipitation, with the OKC Metro picking up about 2½" of rain. That should hopefully put a decent dent in the slight drought conditions we've got going right now across the northern half of the state. Especially if we have a decently wet spring, this looks promising for putting a damper on wildfire potential and for keeping us from falling into another prolonged drought.

http://www.okctalk.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=15095&d=1545930056

http://www.okctalk.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=15094&d=1545930056

What a fantastic drink of rain for pretty much the entire state. Most of the state saw an inch or more of precipitation, with the OKC Metro picking up about 2½" of rain. That should hopefully put a decent dent in the slight drought conditions we've got going right now across the northern half of the state. Especially if we have a decently wet spring, this looks promising for putting a damper on wildfire potential and for keeping us from falling into another prolonged drought.

http://www.okctalk.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=15095&d=1545930056

http://www.okctalk.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=15094&d=1545930056
I noticed that there was one glaring hole in all those shades of green... somehow, although most of the metro got 2+ inches, Midwest City got "shafted"...


Midwest City, again, is getting shafted. MWC could burn while the rest of the state floods (I'm just being serious).

I noticed that there was one glaring hole in all those shades of green... somehow, although most of the metro got 2+ inches, Midwest City got "shafted"...

Now, in all fairness, at that point in the day (1:45pm) barely over half an inch had fallen in the area - at least according to mesonet sites at NE 4th and I-35 (OKC East) and near NE 71st and Spencer Rd (Spencer). The bulk of the rain that both sites saw came between 3pm and 8pm.

I noticed that there was one glaring hole in all those shades of green... somehow, although most of the metro got 2+ inches, Midwest City got "shafted"...

I live in MWC near S.E 15th & Sooner Rd and my digital gauge shows 2.87 inches of rainfall from this storm system

So far GFS and NAM are showing Saturday as being almost nothing for most of Oklahoma. Central Oklahoma somewhere between 0 and .1 inch of precipitation.

Now, in all fairness, at that point in the day (1:45pm) barely over half an inch had fallen in the area - at least according to mesonet sites at NE 4th and I-35 (OKC East) and near NE 71st and Spencer Rd (Spencer). The bulk of the rain that both sites saw came between 3pm and 8pm.
Listening to the previous commenter, you would have thought that MWC was in the worst drought in the world when the records certainly don't reflect that... at... all. Thus the sarcasm.

Cold weekend on tap. Small chance of some glancing rain Sunday evening, but mostly confined to E OK. Monday we will warm up to upper 40s before arctic air blasts in just in time for New Years where midnight will likely be in the 20s with a decent north wind.

Looking ahead, next precipitation activity appears to be around the January 7th timeframe.

Here in Newcastle, we had 3 and 7/10 inches of rain on Wednesday, the 26th. A lot of rain!!

Didn’t want to jump it and make the Jan ‘19 thread but wanted to ask how the models are showing this week? Wasn’t expecting to see winter weather but alas there’s the Winter Storm Watch.

Unless I'm misreading things, the GFS presently has us dry through tomorrow, and then winter precip possibly moving into far SW OK early Thursday and then into central OK around midday. Precipitation is looking to last through as far as early Friday morning.

Now, I'm obviously not the expert Anon is, but just in looking at how the GFS run goes and looking at the location of the low pressure system driving all this, it sure seems to me you have a risk for a dryslot that could put a big dent in ALL this. And I also know that one of the local mets was saying two days ago that the low was on a "perfect track" for a heavy snow, but just this morning others were suggesting the later runs were pushing the system farther south.

Bottom line - there's a shot at some winter precip, possibly a glazing of ice before snow on Thursday, but it is hardly locked in stone. As is so often the case with winter weather in Oklahoma, we'll just have to wait and see.. Wednesday looks dry in any case, and Thursday appears to be the day to watch.

All comments subject to brutal refutation and correction from Anon :) :)

It looks similar to what we had just about one month ago. Models that disagree (in my opinion, NAM is being a little crazy with the amount of precip), with a good chance of the whole darn thing going to the south.

Weather trolls, start your engines.

January weather thread has started, so try not to post any more here.