Big time storm coming into/developing into the OKC metro. Already very localized flooding near the airport where a cell has been stationary for the last 2 hours.

The large cell coming in from the northwest will swallow up the WRA storm and add to the flooding. Storm has broad rotation so some small hail is not out of the question. But the real story is definitely going to be the heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding.

Here's to hoping the trenches I dug on Sunday actually help direct water away from house.

Rainfall from this event the last several days.

https://i.imgur.com/JyKXMFg.png

Unreal rainfall last night. My little electronic gauge tells me we got four inches in about four or five hours. And I think my gauge might be a bit conservative.

Checked the rain gauge this morning... Picked up just over 4½" of rain overnight at my house on the south side of the Metro, near I-240 and Santa Fe (4 miles due east of the airport). We had some fairly significant flooding... the water came all the way up my driveway to the garage door, but didn't get inside, thankfully.

Over 9" of rain in two weeks... in August. Pretty wild.

Looks like more severe storms and heavy rains are possible for Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Should be fun!!

Looks like more severe storms and heavy rains are possible for Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Should be fun!!

For?

For?
For his sick, demented fetish.

For his sick, demented fetish.

Cute.

Honestly, relax. There's nothing wrong with enjoying thunderstorms. I quite enjoy them myself!

Cute.

Honestly, relax. There's nothing wrong with enjoying thunderstorms. I quite enjoy them myself!
I enjoy average thunderstorms. My pocketbook doesn't enjoy severe thunderstorms. I certainly don't take great delight in extreme, destructive severe storms that the aforementioned eagerly looks forward to and cheers on.

Cute.

Honestly, relax. There's nothing wrong with enjoying thunderstorms. I quite enjoy them myself!

He goes way beyond enjoying thunderstorms. He roots for severe weather. That's why many of us have blocked him. Unfortunately, I see him when he is quoted. As someone who has suffered tragic losses from severe weather I find his sick fetish deeply offensive.

Probabilities are low, but worth mentioning. Thursday evening into Friday we could see some storms develop in the NW and push SE. Location and timing is difficult to pinpoint at this time, and development may not even occur at all.

The same rain/storm chances holds true for Friday night through Saturday. Random development and unorganized behavior of storms is a possibility, but a low one.

Higher rain chances into Sunday, but still nothing looking too organized. Best shot will be in NE/E OK.

Temperatures rise back into the 90s next week as we dry out some. Then perhaps another wet/mild pattern coming back as we head into the weekend around the 24th.

I know long term outlooks are always fickle, but does it look like we may have weathered the hottest part of the summer already?

I would venture out to say for OKC, that is likely true. W and SW OK could easily see more 100s. Moisture in the ground and in vegetation means more moisture in the air around it. The recent rainfall we have had will likely put a stop on the "extreme" temperatures for most of the state.

We still need our neighbors in W OK, through the TX panhandle, and out west toward the 4 corners to get moisture. This will help storm systems retain strength and moisture as they come into the plains.

We still need our neighbors in W OK, through the TX panhandle, and out west toward the 4 corners to get moisture. This will help storm systems retain strength and moisture as they come into the plains.

I feel like that part of the country is perpetually in some state of drought. Every year it’s the same story.

I feel like that part of the country is perpetually in some state of drought. Every year it’s the same story.

Nature, it's a bitch, probably been that way for centuries... Although I'm just guessing that's the case, have no hard data to back that up, but there are pockets of America that are just dry naturally, always either drought-stricken or on the verge of it (not counting the actual desert parts of America, like Arizona, Nevada, Death Valley, etc.)

There's a lot of disagreement among the hi-res models, but many of them bring in storms with very heavy rain through the metro later this afternoon into the evening. I imagine that'd create another big time flooding threat given all of the recent rains and what happened in Norman and SW OKC just two days ago.

I feel like that part of the country is perpetually in some state of drought. Every year it’s the same story.

Actually just one year ago the drought was basically non-existent. But after that the rain/snow just completely turned off. This drought strangle-hold between the southern plains and west coast is the real deal.



August 2017:
https://i.imgur.com/pO3HOzo.png

August 2018:
https://i.imgur.com/BcmGGWl.png

The tiny system moving across W OK right now is gaining traction with the heating of the day. The thin line of storms are now intensifying gradually. These have the possibility of becoming severe by the time they reach parts of C OK. We will probably see an MD soon or go straight to a SVR watch.

In addition to that, Emily added to the sensation that there won't be a Stillwater split during the period ending Sunday. Yeah, sure, lol. We'll see how the whole rain map turns out.
https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stwrainamount.jpg

There may not have been golf ball hail or 70 mph wind but it seems like they got this one right. Flooding is still severe weather.

There may not have been golf ball hail or 70 mph wind but it seems like they got this one right. Flooding is still severe weather.

With no intention to belittle severe flooding elsewhere, here is the Stillwater Split caught in action on radar. Amount of rain from the split: 02".

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stillwatersplit.gif

NWS has issued a flood watch for basically the OKC metro. Storms are increasing out to the west and are very slow moving.

Flash flooding is going to be the primary threat.



Flood Watch
National Weather Service Norman OK
1106 AM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...Flood Watch in Effect Through This Evening...

OKZ018>020-024>030-170200-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FA.A.0006.180816T1800Z-180817T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z. OO/
Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-
Including the cities of Kingfisher, Hennessey, Okarche, Guthrie,
Stillwater, Yukon, Concho, El Reno, Mustang, Oklahoma City,
Chandler, Stroud, Prague, Meeker, Davenport, Wellston, Chickasha,
Tuttle, Purcell, Newcastle, Blanchard, Norman, Moore, and Shawnee
1106 AM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Flood Watch for flash flooding...flooding of creeks and
rivers...and flooding of low lying areas for a portion of
central Oklahoma, including the following areas, Canadian,
Cleveland, Grady, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, McClain,
Oklahoma, Payne, and Pottawatomie.

* Until 9 PM CDT this evening

* Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall may cause
localized flooding this afternoon into the evening, especially
in any urban locations

With no intention to belittle severe flooding elsewhere, here is the Stillwater Split caught in action on radar. Amount of rain from the split: 02".

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stillwatersplit.gif

Oh l was more talking about the other poster who was so critical of the weather forcasters. it looked from the rainfall map the Stillwater got a couple of inches. Denver has a horrible split where storms come off the mountains and die on the west side of town, then form up again on the east rise to the plains. I've seen these systems go thru West Kansas and south into OK but Denver just gets sprinkles and dry lightning.

I've read a few articles that suggest the 100th meridian between OK and the TX panhandle was considered the dividing line between the humid east and dry west, but now that line has moved 100 miles to the east. It does seem like thunderstorms are beginning to the east of Altus more now than 40-50 years ago, but that is my anecdotal observation.

I guess Tulsa will get pounded with rain, and not OKC. Oh well. Midwest City will continue to be a black hole for rain.

I guess Tulsa will get pounded with rain, and not OKC. Oh well. Midwest City will continue to be a black hole for rain.

From one midwest city resident to another i feel what your saying. It always seems like it splits before it gets to us or dies out. The other day when the city was getting pounded with record rainfall it was just a steady rain here nothing special and my rain gauge showed about 1/2 inch. Not that its not welcome mind you, but in these summer months and with the drought conditions not very far away we need all we can get

Anybody know of a source for historical(2013) weather data on a particular day in Calumet or El Reno? Preferably hour by hour is what I am looking for.

Anybody know of a source for historical(2013) weather data on a particular day in Calumet or El Reno? Preferably hour by hour is what I am looking for.

This may be a start:
http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/daily_data_retrieval

Obviously the storms took a northern track across NC OK. Models still say possible some storms fire on the southern end, but these may be just to the southeast of the OKC metro.

I guess Tulsa will get pounded with rain, and not OKC. Oh well. Midwest City will continue to be a black hole for rain.

The storm didn't do a split in Stillwater and inundated Stillwater with 2-3 in. rain. StormTrackers for KWTV 9, Val and Amy Castor went to tour flood prone parts of Stillwater well before the downpour let up for a Facebook video. One of the best parts starts shortly after 10:00. It looks like a hurricane.
https://www.facebook.com/ValCastorNews9/videos/520451858376805/

More random pop up storms expected today along the nearly stationary boundary just south of I-40. Best chances will be in that corridor and to the south with afternoon heating.

Saturday looks like it will be mostly dry. Late Saturday into Sunday morning will be high chance of rain and storms for most of the state. Especially northern. Models placing a relatively narrow corridor of 2-3 inches of rain somewhere across the central parts of the state by late Sunday morning.

The storm didn't do a split in Stillwater and inundated Stillwater with 2-3 in. rain. StormTrackers for KWTV 9, Val and Amy Castor went to tour flood prone parts of Stillwater well before the downpour let up for a Facebook video. One of the best parts starts shortly after 10:00. It looks like a hurricane.
https://www.facebook.com/ValCastorNews9/videos/520451858376805/

An interesting article about the Stillwater storm of Thursday. Even though it rained only 2 to 3 inches, water got into places not seen before from a storm, due to the unusually high intensity of the downpour, amounting to a rate of over 9 in. an hour.

http://www.stwnewspress.com/after-the-storm/article_507da2cc-a308-11e8-b405-ff2fe22b1fe2.html

Widespread rain event covering nearly the entire TX panhandle moving east!

Good news is it looks like OKC will not get any more storms today. It looks like we return to our regular summer type weather after this with no rain in the forecast. Should be fun times ahead!

Good news is it looks like OKC will not get any more storms today. It looks like we return to our regular summer type weather after this with no rain in the forecast. Should be fun times ahead!

Good! Want to get a few more swims in before closing up the pool.

Meanwhile the Tropics have been dead silent pretty much all season with the seasonal peak in a couple weeks. Strange year for sure with a very mild severe weather season but a stormy August for much of OK.

The slightest of the slight chances of a shower or storm, mostly across N OK today and tonight.

Otherwise, hot and dry returns as we go back to normal Summer conditions here in the plains. Highs mid 90s, lows mid 70s. I don't see any promising rain chances for the next couple weeks. Hopefully we see that change as it would be disappointing to give back all this drought relief.

Yeah and I just planted a bunch of spinach down at the farm in the Arbuckles based on the long term chances of above average precip I saw a couple of weeks ago and now it looks like that's not happening.... We'll see how sturdy it is getting watered once a week.

Meanwhile the Tropics have been dead silent pretty much all season with the seasonal peak in a couple weeks. Strange year for sure with a very mild severe weather season but a stormy August for much of OK.

I should say it's been quiet in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. Hawaii is staring at its first major hurricane landfall since 1992. It will likely weaken but still could have a big impact on the islands.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/2018/graphics/EP142018_3day_cone_no_line_32.png

The slightest of the slight chances of a shower or storm, mostly across N OK today and tonight.

Otherwise, hot and dry returns as we go back to normal Summer conditions here in the plains. Highs mid 90s, lows mid 70s. I don't see any promising rain chances for the next couple weeks. Hopefully we see that change as it would be disappointing to give back all this drought relief.

Rooting for the hot and dry!!! Summertime sunshine! All the rain and possibility of severe crap is just absurd for this late in the season. And my lawn is going nuts with the moisture.

The slightest of the slight chances of a shower or storm, mostly across N OK today and tonight.

Otherwise, hot and dry returns as we go back to normal Summer conditions here in the plains. Highs mid 90s, lows mid 70s. I don't see any promising rain chances for the next couple weeks. Hopefully we see that change as it would be disappointing to give back all this drought relief.

I have my fingers crossed that the CPC's forecast of above-average precipitation in the Southwest U.S. this fall comes to fruition. That would hopefully help down the line with maintaining storm systems headed our way out of the Four Corners region.

Slight chance of storm or two making C OK tonight, but for the most part action will stay in NW OK.

Better chances for C OK Wednesday afternoon into the night. But still, chances are not high and organization will be minimal.

We finally get a break from the wind and get a slight temperature relief.

Looking long-range, we will need to keep an eye on potential GOM tropical development, and a large storm system that will be coming into the plains around September 5th timeframe.

TS Gordon looks like it will impact Oklahoma’s weather later this week

https://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/180903083230-tropical-storm-gordon-track-090318-super-tease.jpg

Tropical moisture on its way

https://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/theadvocate.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/c/c3/cc3a42ce-af26-11e8-82ba-ab16909770c6/5b8d9d0c10fc5.image.png

This rains amazing but we’re getting hammered in Choctaw. It’s almost training right over us.