Miserable weather today and tonight. Maybe some light freezing drizzle overnight.

We will warm up back into the 50s and 60s, but with the wind it will feel cold. Big storm comes in next weekend, right now it looks like it won't really get cranking until it is leaving Oklahoma. Right now it looks like eastern OK is the best shot (surprise) at getting any rain. Winter storm solutions are pretty much gone for the state and those impacts will be in KS and MO.

30mph north winds are about to sweep through C OK. Lows for Wednesday morning will be in the upper 20s.

30mph north winds are about to sweep through C OK. Lows for Wednesday morning will be in the upper 20s.

:mad: :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad:

Snapshot of Friday into Saturday. Once again, drought rules the western half of the state and precipitation chances are off to the east.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2018040412/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_10.png

Snow chances increasing for Saturday morning the last couple model runs. Again, amounts will be basically zero accumulation - but it will be neat to see any meaningful snow falling since this winter was basically dry as a bone.

This is behind the front on the backside of the system for early Saturday:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2018040512/nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_46.png

It's funny, this will likely be the best chance @ snow in C OK this entire winter. Light snow with maybe some pockets of moderate snow in the very early mornings tomorrow:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2018040617/hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_17.png

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY

Areas Affected:
Beckham - Blaine - Caddo - Canadian - Carter - Cleveland - Coal - Comanche - Custer - Dewey - Ellis - Garvin - Grady - Greer - Harper - Hughes - Johnston - Kingfisher - Kiowa - Lincoln - Logan - Major - McClain - Murray - Oklahoma - Payne - Pontotoc - Pottawatomie - Roger Mills - Seminole - Stephens - Was hita - Woodward
Effective: Sat, 4/7 3:28am Updated: Sat, 4/7 5:00am Urgency: Expected
Expires: Sat, 4/7 12:00pm Severity: Minor Certainty: Likely


Details: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY...
* WHAT...Sleet, freezing drizzle, and snow will result in a light
glaze of ice causing some slick spots on roads. Some locations
within the advisory could receive up to an inch of snow
accumulation.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northwest,
southeast, southern, southwest and western Oklahoma.
* WHEN...Until noon CDT today.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Be
prepared for reduced visibilities at times.

Information: A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for Oklahoma can be obtained
by calling 8 4 4 4 6 5 4 9 9 7, or for Texas by calling
8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2.

Slight chance of storms Friday over central and eastern OK. Not much moisture to work with as it stands right now but something to watch this week.

GFS still showing storm activity over central and southern OK on Friday with more organized chances further east. Severe weather doesn't appear very likely.

Fire danger will be extreme for the next like 6 days, yes that's right. 6 straight days of strong winds. Welcome to Oklahoma in Spring.

We will be warm until early Saturday when the storm system comes through and strong north winds will slam cold air into the state for the weekend. Rain chances are very low for C OK. Eastern OK per usual will likely have a shot @ storms.

Saturday will be highs in the low 50s, but the wind will make it feel like it is in the 30s.

Warming back to 60s for Sunday and Monday. Then back to 70s and 80s by Wednesday.

Now forecasting "historic" levels of fire weather threat for parts of the state on Friday -- not something we see very often.

http://www.weather.gov/images/oun/graphicast/image8.png?b47b502f605231ab4f7b86b5f7e98028

http://www.weather.gov/images/oun/graphicast/image2.png?b47b502f605231ab4f7b86b5f7e98028

Yes, this is because we will be going from gusty south winds - flipping to gusty north winds late. Makes fire combat very dangerous and unpredictable.

For reference of how dry it is in Western Oklahoma. Many places have had an inch or less of rain the last HALF YEAR!

https://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.4320hr.png

So will this weekend be winter's last hurrah?

From what I have seen on long-range models. Yes.

TORNADO WATCH - Does not include Oklahoma City
Areas Affected:
Adair - Atoka - Bryan - Carter - Cherokee - Choctaw - Coal - Craig - Creek - Delaware - Garvin - Haskell - Hughes - Johnston - Latimer - Le Flore - Lincoln - Love - Marshall - Mayes - McIntosh - Murray - Muskogee - Nowata - Okfuskee - Okmulgee - Osage - Ottawa - Pawnee - Payne - Pittsburg - Pontotoc - Pottawatomie - Pushmataha - Rogers - Seminole - Sequoyah - Tulsa - Wagoner - Washington
Effective: Fri, 4/13 1:15pm Updated: Fri, 4/13 1:49pm Urgency: Expected
Expires: Fri, 4/13 10:00pm Severity: Severe Certainty: Likely

Details:

TORNADO WATCH 39 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE GARVIN HASKELL
HUGHES JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MARSHALL MAYES MCINTOSH
MURRAY MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA ROGERS SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON

Counties in yellow affected by tornado watch:
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/oun.png

PDS tornado watch issued east of this one for much of AR.

Photo of severe storm southwest of Stillwater. It past just to east of Stillwater. Only sprinkles in Stillwater with a station just to the southeast of there getting .33".

https://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stormwarned.jpg

Anon, thank you for posting about the PDS tornado watch in AR. I've got a dear friend there who may or may not be aware. I'm texting her about it now.

http://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.rad.gif

Anon, thank you for posting about the PDS tornado watch in AR. I've got a dear friend there who may or may not be aware. I'm texting her about it now.

No problem. Potential for multiple rounds of tornado capable storms in that area heading into tonight. Areas over there have been getting tons of rain and the environment is ripe for severe storms.

Whew, glad to see the sun out. No storms for OKC! Hopefully this was the last severe scare of the year once the wind and cold passes.

Whew, glad to see the sun out. No storms for OKC! Hopefully this was the last severe scare of the year once the wind and cold passes.

We still have half of April, all of May and June, so I seriously doubt it's the last one of the year, the tornado/t-storm/hail season's just getting started...

Whew, glad to see the sun out. No storms for OKC! Hopefully this was the last severe scare of the year once the wind and cold passes.

If anything, it's the first :D

Crazy amounts of smoke in OKC right now from the fires in Western OK. Enough smoke that I can smell it from inside my apartment.

Yep, downtown is a haze right now, I closed my windows

Crazy amounts of smoke in OKC right now from the fires in Western OK. Enough smoke that I can smell it from inside my apartment.

I was in Norman tonight for the OU softball game, and it started sunny and windy. The smoke rolled in like a thick, gray, acrid fog as the wind turned from west to northerly, and the odor of burned earth was palpable. I could actually feel it in the back of my throat after about an inning. Field lights cast a dusty haze in all directions. You can smell it on the hoodie I wore down there. Can't recall anything quite like that...

I was in Norman tonight for the OU softball game, and it started sunny and windy. The smoke rolled in like a thick, gray, acrid fog as the wind turned from west to northerly, and the odor of burned earth was palpable. I could actually feel it in the back of my throat after about an inning. Field lights cast a dusty haze in all directions. You can smell it on the hoodie I wore down there. Can't recall anything quite like that...


Yup the entire south side of the metro is stinky and hazy right now. Smells like burning blackjack oaks.. terrible.

This has been one of the worst starts to spring that I can remember. It seems very unusual to get such wild swings in temperatures this late in April. The wind has also seemed to be really bad this year too. I know spring in Oklahoma means wind, but this year is particularly bad. This could be a rough summer if spring doesn’t kick off the right way around here soon. I’m afraid it’s too late for a lot of the crops unfortunately, i.e. fruit trees and such.

I was in Norman tonight for the OU softball game, and it started sunny and windy. The smoke rolled in like a thick, gray, acrid fog as the wind turned from west to northerly, and the odor of burned earth was palpable. I could actually feel it in the back of my throat after about an inning. Field lights cast a dusty haze in all directions. You can smell it on the hoodie I wore down there. Can't recall anything quite like that...
Wife and I were also at the softball game. Very bizarre look and feel. Especially as it got dark and the field lights started to take full affect.

Models still showing another system moving in next week April 21-22. Right now it looks like a Classic Spring Storm with snow on the backside in Colorado and severe weather on the plains. Hopefully some of the dry areas in western Oklahoma will get some rain out of this one. Parts of eastern OK received some beneficial rains last week.

This has been one of the worst starts to spring that I can remember. It seems very unusual to get such wild swings in temperatures this late in April. The wind has also seemed to be really bad this year too. I know spring in Oklahoma means wind, but this year is particularly bad. This could be a rough summer if spring doesn’t kick off the right way around here soon. I’m afraid it’s too late for a lot of the crops unfortunately, i.e. fruit trees and such.

This pattern is more typical of late February/early March. It’s hard to believe we are halfway through April.

Models still showing another system moving in next week April 21-22. Right now it looks like a Classic Spring Storm with snow on the backside in Colorado and severe weather on the plains. Hopefully some of the dry areas in western Oklahoma will get some rain out of this one. Parts of eastern OK received some beneficial rains last week.

Hopefully as the week moves on the severe area will get pushed farther NE into Central Oklahoma. I am ready for some severe weather to finally get here..

Hopefully as the week moves on the severe area will get pushed farther NE into Central Oklahoma. I am ready for some severe weather to finally get here..

Very possible, there will definitely be severe weather somewhere in the region this weekend. And maybe much needed moisture for the high plains! Hope this holds..

https://www.weather5280.com/content/images/2018/04/eps_tprecip_a_conus_41.png

Hopefully as the week moves on the severe area will get pushed farther NE into Central Oklahoma. I am ready for some severe weather to finally get here..

Do you say these type of things just to get a reaction?

I blocked this clown long ago, but I can still see him when someone quotes him. As someone who lost 2 close relatives to "severe weather" I don't know how he is not banned from this site. he is reprehensible. Please get rid of him, Pete.

I blocked this clown long ago, but I can still see him when someone quotes him. As someone who lost 2 close relatives to "severe weather" I don't know how he is not banned from this site. he is reprehensible. Please get rid of him, Pete.

I agree. This kind of thinking is not needed in the discourse on this site. In fact it's not needed anywhere. Very insensitive.

I get it, we need the severe weather as in storms & the rain that comes with it. But in no way do we need the severe aspect, damaging winds, hail & tornados. Like above, it just sounds insensitive when so many here have (or know of) such loss.

I think the big story for the near future is going to be the continued shots of cold air. Good news is it seems like these arctic fronts aren't as conductive to causing severe weather.

I think the big story for the near future is going to be the continued shots of cold air. Good news is it seems like these arctic fronts aren't as conductive to causing severe weather.

The arctic fronts themselves have no inherent characteristic that makes them less or more conducive to severe weather. If the warm, moist air were in place ahead of their arrival, pushing up dewpoints and building in the requisite atmospheric energy, the lower, drier temperatures in those arctic airmasses wouldn't have any trouble serving as a catalyst for storms. It's the difference in the airmasses that makes the difference. No warm, most air, no storm fuel.

The size and scope of those airmasses make it harder for the warmth and moisture to return, with that gulf flow muted somewhat....

Hey, a zero-tornado April sounds fine with me.

Such a stark difference between the western and eastern parts of OK right now. I drove across the state just last week and it is very noticeable with OKC right on the divide. This upcoming storm has potential to provide some relief.

https://www.weather5280.com/content/images/2018/04/20180410_usdm.png

This cold is just dreadful and I hate it

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

This cold is just dreadful and I hate it

Monday morning Oklahoma City tied a record low of 31 set in 1921. No lows to freezing for the rest of the month. The latest into the year freezing low in Oklahoma City was May 3.

Hopefully as the week moves on the severe area will get pushed farther NE into Central Oklahoma. I am ready for some severe weather to finally get here..

Oh, really? Is there a storm cellar or safe room available on the property where you live? If not, I wouldn't be talking. I have a safe room, but would much rather not live with the stress of a tornado warning.

Mesonet's forecast has decent rain chances for the western part of OK this week. We REALLY need a few inches before summer gets here!!

Another horrible wildfire day today. 20-30mph south winds will shift this evening to 20-30mph north winds. Basically exactly what happened last Friday.

Models still holding onto decent chances for rain for Fri/Sat.

Mike Morgan is predicting another freeze Friday morning and has removed precipitation chances for this weekend. However, he has a 70% chance of rain next Tuesday.

Massive grassfires going on right now in Dewey County. 20-30 mph winds blasting out of the SW feeding into them. These winds will shift after dark from the NW.

Water bombers are scooping water out of Canton Lake.

14580

Mike Morgan is predicting another freeze Friday morning and has removed precipitation chances for this weekend. However, he has a 70% chance of rain next Tuesday.

Wow, David Payne said 100% chance of state wide drenching rain Saturday. Weird they'd both be so different.

I think he misheard it or something. There is no chance, as every single model paints decent rain over a large area of the state. And there isn't even a large storm in the area on Tuesday.

Damon Lane on 5 said the state would get a soaking this weekend. Not a moment too soon for the firefighters.

I think he misheard it or something. There is no chance, as every single model paints decent rain over a large area of the state. And there isn't even a large storm in the area on Tuesday.

Found this:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DbCPAMQWkAAnGbo.jpg:large

I can guarantee it's going to rain this weekend.... It's rained on this weekend every year I've judged the KCBS BBQ Cook-off in Enid and that's this weekend.... This cook-off is the Arts Festival equivalent for Northern Oklahoma.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2018041812/namconus_apcpn_scus_28.png

I can guarantee it's going to rain this weekend.... It's rained on this weekend every year I've judged the KCBS BBQ Cook-off in Enid and that's this weekend.... This cook-off is the Arts Festival equivalent for Northern Oklahoma.

BBQ knows weather!

What about severe weather? Does that come with the chance of rain? I really hope we don’t have any more severe chances this year. This OK weather stuff really stresses me out.

What about severe weather? Does that come with the chance of rain? I really hope we don’t have any more severe chances this year. This OK weather stuff really stresses me out.

Totally unscientific but the only time you need to worry is when it's really bright and sunny before it gets really dark and stormy. The contrast seems to be what brews massive storms.

So if the morning is dreary and wet, with chances of storms... I've generally seen that as a sign of safety.

Totally unscientific but the only time you need to worry is when it's really bright and sunny before it gets really dark and stormy. The contrast seems to be what brews massive storms.

So if the morning is dreary and wet, with chances of storms... I've generally seen that as a sign of safety.

Actually you are not far off. Sunshine during the day adds fuel to the atmosphere which can encourage supercell development in the late afternoon/evening. That's why whenever we have a high-end setup, there is always that hope that morning cloud cover will stick around as long as possible.

As for storm season, April has been unusually quiet this year because of lack of moisture combined with the lingering winter.