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Current Conditions



Air TemperatureDewpointWindsRainfall Last 24 Hourshttp://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TAIR.grad.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/air_temperature/air_temperature)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TDEW.grad.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/dewpoint/dewpoint_humidity)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.gustbarbs.gif (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/wind_speed_gusts_with_barbs/wind)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.24hr.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/24_hr_rainfall_accumulation/rainfall)

Advisory TableNWS Norman Warning AreaNWS Tulsa Warning Area

[*=left]Tornado Warning
[*=left]Tornado Watch
[*=left]Severe T-Storm Warning
[*=left]Severe T-Storm Watch
[*=left]Blizzard Warning
[*=left]Blizzard Watch
[*=left]Winter Storm Warning
[*=left]Winter Storm Watch
[*=left]Ice Storm Warning
[*=left]Red Flag Warning
[*=left]Winter Weather Advisory
[*=left]Wind Chill Advisory
[*=left]Wind Chill Warning
[*=left]Freezing Rain Advisory

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Radar & Satellite for Oklahoma


http://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.vis.gifhttp://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.rad.gif


Severe Weather Outlooks & Products



Day 1 (Today) OutlookDay 2 (Tomorrow) OutlookDay 3 OutlookOutlook for Days 4 through 8http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)

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SPC Watches

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/validww.png (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/)http://images.blitzortung.org/Images/image_b_tx.png



Additional information is always available via:http://www.weatherspotlight.com/
Including the side-by-side model comparisons per run time.
Lightning image is © Blitzortung.org. Mesonet maps are all © of the Oklahoma Mesonet / OU Board of Regents.

Extreme fire danger the next couple days.

Slight chance of a quick moving shower or storm overnight tonight, best chance in SE OK.

Looking ahead, beginning Sunday into next week - look like we enter a wet pattern as a large storm system takes its sweet time to move on. Hopefully we get some good soaking moisture to help dampen these fire days.

From last thread.

Looks like our next threat for Severe weather comes in on Monday March 7th.

Yea all next week looks interesting at this point. GFS is predicting a low to stall out over TX, giving the area an abundance of rain chances.

Yea all next week looks interesting at this point. GFS is predicting a low to stall out over TX, giving the area an abundance of rain chances.

How long does the rain stick around for? NWS has rain chances as far out as Wednesday. I had planned some outdoor grilling meals for next week so may need to push that out a bit farther or come up with another plan.

Every day from about Monday through Saturday look to have a shot at rain and/or storms.

What does the tornado threat look like for Monday? Channel 5 is emphasizing it while KFOR is leaning more towards hail and wind.

Sunday and Monday both shows signs of severe weather developing out west and pushing east as night falls.

Sunday looks more TX panhandle, and Monday looks more W OK.

At this time tornadoes are possible, as these storms [if developed] will likely be super cells.

Just saw a post on Facebook from a supposed storm chaser group warning people to keep an eye out on Monday because the tornado threat is increasing with every model run.

*sigh* I almost missed the hype of the spring season.

Anonymous before the spring storm season starts up I just want to say thank you for what you do here.
I suspect there are many others who feel the same way…!
Thanks:)

Just saw a post on Facebook from a supposed storm chaser group warning people to keep an eye out on Monday because the tornado threat is increasing with every model run.

*sigh* I almost missed the hype of the spring season.

I think it is a bit too early to make a call like that.

Sunday action looks to be very extreme western OK and the storms will be sheared off to the north/northeast quickly. Development of these storms seems unlikely at this time.

Monday is a pretty classic looking setup for early spring. Western and Central OK are marked under a SLIGHT risk at this time. Morning/daytime precipitation and cloud cover will play a role on severity of the evening action.

Okay here we go.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1457360276480


Look for severe storms to develop late this morning into early afternoon across north central TX and south central OK. These storms will shove off to the northeast at a good clip. This will mainly be action along I-35 south of OKC, and then east of I-35 at points north of that.

Then if clearing is sufficient in NW TX and W OK, look for another round of severe storms to develop later tonight. This complex, will move northeast as well. Instability ahead of this complex will determine the severity and the longevity of the storms. I think by the time they were to get anywhere near OKC, they would likely not be isolated supercells, and will just be heavy rain, small hail, and wind producers. If C OK is under cloud cover all day, I don't expect the storms to even be at severe levels when they reach the metro.

Tornado chances are low today.

MD out for far W OK.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0178.gif



With the cloud cover and mist persisting, there is very little instability in most of OK. The two western tiers of counties are very unstable, and could result in severe weather. Not looking likely for the rest of us.

Only a few cells popped on the dryline in NW OK, didn't do much.

Wave of rain and storms will form overnight in TX and sweep across OK in the morning. Likely hitting C OK right around daybreak.

Well it looks like this storm system is turning out to be a dud for Oklahoma as far as severe weather is concerned, looks like Texas is getting in on all the action. Maybe next time for us.

Well it looks like this storm system is turning out to be a dud for Oklahoma as far as severe weather is concerned, looks like Texas is getting in on all the action. Maybe next time for us.

Lots of beneficial rain for both states so overall a much-needed system.

Lots of beneficial rain for both states so overall a much-needed system.

Would have like more severe stuff to go along with the rain though.

Would have like more severe stuff to go along with the rain though.

???

???
This bobby dude is the person always wishing for snowmaggedon, ice storm maggedon, tornado maggedon, etc. He apparently gets off on damage, destruction, and negative disruptions in the lives of others.

This bobby dude is the person always wishing for snowmaggedon, ice storm maggedon, tornado maggedon, etc. He apparently gets off on damage, destruction, and negative disruptions in the lives of others.

Yep, very sad.

Would have like more severe stuff to go along with the rain though.

I've replaced 4 roofs since 98, we don't need anymore severe stuff.

Its early March. He could at least wait until late June before complaining about it being a boring severe weather season.

Simple reminder - instead of posting comments about other comments, we all have access to the ignore function...

Simple reminder - instead of posting comments about other comments, we all have access to the ignore function...
Exactly.

Simple reminder - instead of posting comments about other comments, we all have access to the ignore function...

I'm almost convinced he thrives off of the attention he gets by saying stuff like that anyways, so ignoring it is the best thing to do.

Yea either he needs to be called out or banned. There should be no reason for an ignore option. Seems he's just wanting attention.

Yea either he needs to be called out or banned. There should be no reason for an ignore option. Seems he's just wanting attention.

Last time I checked this was still the USA and we have freedom of speach, I said nothing bad about anyone or anything that would warrant being banned.

Last time I checked this was still the USA and we have freedom of speach, I said nothing bad about anyone or anything that would warrant being banned.

Yes, it is the USA, and we have freedom of speech. However, this is a forum and nobody needs you disrupting it with your odd love of destructive weather. People come here to get information, not negativity and sadism.

This is the U.S. and there is no governmental restraint here. Your WISH (opinion) ("speech" not "speach") is not protected from OUR opinion (which should, under your view, be equally protected) that your constant wishing for terrible weather is a bad thing. It is clear from your comment and many others that we see, that you have no idea what the 1st Amendment does or does not do. It DOES NOT protect you from being called out for begging for ice storms or tornadoes by other posters. Quit posting your "wishes" for disasters and let everyone see the forecasts.

so anymore storms coming up, lucky me got to drive to Lawton in that monsoon this morning - saw at least 2 cars who had hydroplaned and smooched the concrete barriers on I44

Last time I checked this was still the USA and we have freedom of speach, I said nothing bad about anyone or anything that would warrant being banned.
Yes, you have the freedom of speech, which also comes with it the freedom to be pilloried by those who — also exercising their freedom of speech — find your speech to be ridiculous and/or offensive to those who have been adversely impacted and/or devastated by severe weather. Some find it to be a sick fetish — deriving pleasure from something that causes others pain.

I use to be the grab the popcorn severe weather is coming type of guy until my house was blown away by a tornado now I cringe when I read peoples post about jumping up and down for severe weather action. I guess until it happens to you, you will never see how praying and hoping for destruction makes others who have been affected by severe weather feel. But like you said freedom of speech, even if it is what you are saying and praying for is just down right stupid.

Most of C OK will be dry for today. Perhaps some lighter showers developing and moving in towards this evening. There will be flooding concerns developing over SE OK and especially into NE TX as the system is very slow to move.

The main low will be ejecting northward during the week, giving C OK good shots at waves of rain beginning Thursday night, then a break until during the day on Friday. This is how it looks as of now, monitoring radar trends will be your best bet if you have evening plans over the next few days and into the weekend.

Would have like more severe stuff to go along with the rain though.

I'd sooner complain about the simple rain storms seemingly always bypassing Stillwater, though the last one wasn't much of a miss with around an inch of rain.

Okay this storm is finally moving now. The low will be lifting north through TX during the day. Should bring a wave of rain in from the southeast late this afternoon and into tonight. Off/on rain shower chances overnight, Saturday may actually be alright during the day. Some wrap around low action possible early Sunday morning, but looks brief.

Monday will be a sharp warm up, then the next system comes in middle of the week knocking temps back down into 60s and rain chances coming back.

Cool, but decent weather this weekend. Warm up begins Monday through Wednesday with more fire danger days.

Next big storm is around Thursday.

EXTREME fire danger the next three days. Thursday things turn cooler again with a storm system, but moisture development will be well north and east of OK. So just a wind shift and temperature cool down.

Next precipitation chances are Saturday evening. And I say precipitation, because right now it looks like snow could be in the picture.

Some of the most extreme fire conditions I have ever seen are sweeping across TX and OK right now. Multiple large fires out in the TX PH right now.

These sustained 35+mph winds with gusts over 50 will be moving into OKC over the next few hours.

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.WIND.grad.png

What is the weather looking like for the Lake Thunderbird area on Saturday?

Storm chances increase late Friday night (northern half of OK best shot)

Better chances Saturday night with strong front, snow possible in NW OK.

I'm camping down at WMWR this weekend. I'm positive I'll be just fine. Just gotta scout out a campsite with good cover!

Well, I will tell you, there was a helluva storm that fired up last night around 10:30pm, roughly an hour after winds were gusting out of the north. I got out of my tent to watch the action and it only became better after I got back in my tent. Fifteen minutes had passed and it was lightning every half second to one second...with no thunder...so I knew it was moving south of me for the most part. My thinking was, it had to be moving somewhat north or it slammed into the coldfront because the ligtning died down dramatically. Soon after it did rain. I stayed dry but, damn, that wind was vicious!

SPC has SLIGHT risk for severe weather tomorrow for about the eastern half of OK.

Looks like storms could develop directly over I-35 and push east. Per usual, morning convection and cloud cover will entail a lot about what happens in the afternoon.

SPC has SLIGHT risk for severe weather tomorrow for about the eastern half of OK.

Looks like storms could develop directly over I-35 and push east. Per usual, morning convection and cloud cover will entail a lot about what happens in the afternoon.

Morgan is hyping tomorrow. I don't really see what there is to hype. I guess it's the first real setup of any kind.

Everyone is hyping it up. Every lead in to the weather from regular news is hyping it. Heard it at 6 in the morning on Monday from channel 9 every time they were going to weather and/or break to weather. Makes people watch. simple as that.

Showers and maybe a rumble or two of thunder should develop over NW TX in the next few hours and move across OK, if development occurs - it should be minor.

If the morning starts out clear skies, we could be in for a busy afternoon. Boundary lines forecasted by computer models tend to be placed too far east, too early. So if storms do develop, look for them to be just west, or directly along I-35. Hail will be the main concern especially across C OK where explosive development is possible.

I will update in the AM once we have an idea with morning convection possibilities and cloud cover thickness. Also of course where the dryline is located.

I'm just going to have to ignore the local meteorologists or this is going to be a long, miserable spring. SPC usually keeps the risk in perspective, without the hype. KOCO is the worst with its "Elevated tornado risk" for tomorrow.

Mike Morgan has the OKC area under a moderate risk for tomorrow. SPC still has a slight risk.

^Not worried about tomorrows weather stuff,there will be one that is worrisome, but they gotta have a reason to pump their helicopters, new storm chase trucks, etc..

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image_full6.jpg

https://www.semiwiki.com/forum/attachments/content/attachments/15059d1439569660-nothing-burger-jpg

SPC hashed C and S OK with hail marker for later today. Highest TOR threat is in NE TX heading into LA.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_hail.gif?1459343488805

Now that we are getting some overhead sunlight. We can see how thick the cloud deck is above. Right now it looks pretty thin in places west of I-35. If this trend continues to thin out and burn off, the heating instability will rise significantly with the already 60+F dews.

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/noaa/sat/maps/realtime/latest.goes_east.visible.png

HRRR showing development in N/NW TX by early afternoon.

I will post more details closer to noon, but could see a risk upgrade coming - as well as pushing the cutoff further west. [Think from Enid to El Reno to Lawton type of boundary]

Rapid ground radiation taking place as the clouds thin above:

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.SRAD.grad.png

Storms developing now directly over OKC. This will likely cause stabilization of the air in C OK, and help keep a lid on anything that tries to come in from the W/SW a few hours later.

never mind found it. thanks for keeping us updated

I will post more details closer to noon, but could see a risk upgrade coming - as well as pushing the cutoff further west. [Think from Enid to El Reno to Lawton type of boundary]

Rapid ground radiation taking place as the clouds thin above:





As predicted above, SPC has moved SLIGHT risk further west. Hashed hail marker has also been extended to include entire I-35 corridor.

Still have on going storms to the east of OKC now, which has thrown an air-cooled pocket over most of C OK. However, it looks like clearing out west behind this line is taking place, if this continues we could see a couple hours of sunshine which would destabilize the air once again. If I was chasing today, I would pick Lawton.

Once again, as predicted - the clouds have continued to break up over most of W and C OK. This will allow for the next 2-3 hours of rising instability. Temperatures will likely touch near 80F.

I think we will see tornado watch posted for I-35 corridor and into NW TX around 2pm.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0284.gif

78° on my car thermometer (and phone app).

Anon, have you seen any of the more recent sounding data? How often do they send those balloons up?

Be interesting to see how the clearing skies/temperature affects the hodographs

I am not sure on the frequency, but here is one:

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/upper/oun.gif


Not very conducive for tornadoes, that's for sure. Low level winds are not favorable.



SPC says SVR Thunderstorm Watch coming.