Live Chat @ Weather Spotlight (http://www.weatherspotlight.com/chat.html) | NWS Norman (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/) (OUN) | Storm Prediction Center (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/) | Mesonet (http://www.mesonet.org/) | West TX Mesonet (http://www.mesonet.ttu.edu/) | NWS OUN Fire Weather (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/?n=fireweather) | Road Conditions (http://www.dps.state.ok.us/cgi-bin/weathermap.cgi)





Current Conditions



Air TemperatureDewpointWindsRainfall Last 24 Hourshttp://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TAIR.grad.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/air_temperature/air_temperature)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TDEW.grad.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/dewpoint/dewpoint_humidity)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.gustbarbs.gif (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/wind_speed_gusts_with_barbs/wind)http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/rainrfc.24hr.png (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/map/24_hr_rainfall_accumulation/rainfall)

Advisory TableNWS Norman Warning AreaNWS Tulsa Warning Area

[*=left]Tornado Warning
[*=left]Tornado Watch
[*=left]Severe T-Storm Warning
[*=left]Severe T-Storm Watch
[*=left]Blizzard Warning
[*=left]Blizzard Watch
[*=left]Winter Storm Warning
[*=left]Winter Storm Watch
[*=left]Ice Storm Warning
[*=left]Red Flag Warning
[*=left]Winter Weather Advisory
[*=left]Wind Chill Advisory
[*=left]Wind Chill Warning
[*=left]Freezing Rain Advisory

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/oun.png (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/)http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/tsa.png (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tsa/)
Other Color Meanings:
Web-Based Watch/Warning/Advisory Map Colors - NOAA's National Weather Service (http://www.weather.gov/help-map)



Radar & Satellite for Oklahoma


http://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.vis.gifhttp://climate.cod.edu/data/satellite/1km/Oklahoma/current/Oklahoma.rad.gif


Severe Weather Outlooks & Products



Day 1 (Today) OutlookDay 2 (Tomorrow) OutlookDay 3 OutlookOutlook for Days 4 through 8http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)

National Advisory MapSPC Mesoscale Discussions (MCD or MD)Regional Live Lightning Imagehttp://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/png/US.png (http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php)http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/validmd.png (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/)

SPC Watches

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/validww.png (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/)http://images.blitzortung.org/Images/image_b_tx.png



Additional information is always available via:http://www.weatherspotlight.com/
Including the side-by-side model comparisons per run time.
Lightning image is © Blitzortung.org. Mesonet maps are all © of the Oklahoma Mesonet / OU Board of Regents.

Upcoming early Feb storm is now forecast tracking the furthest south it has been (GFS model). Heavy snow cutoff (12"+) right at the OK/KS border.

Approaching NAM window this weekend so we will have a better idea, but early indications is NAM is forecasting further south than the GFS.


As of now, for the main body of OK - watch the forecast, it is changing every single run, and each one [so far] inches the track further towards bread and milk.

Easy takeaway, next week temperatures will likely be miserable.

woohoo

Upcoming early Feb storm is now forecast tracking the furthest south it has been (GFS model). Heavy snow cutoff (12"+) right at the OK/KS border.

Approaching NAM window this weekend so we will have a better idea, but early indications is NAM is forecasting further south than the GFS.


As of now, for the main body of OK - watch the forecast, it is changing every single run, and each one [so far] inches the track further towards bread and milk.

Easy takeaway, next week temperatures will likely be miserable.Are you talking about a system around the 12th of February or something much sooner?

Are you talking about a system around the 12th of February or something much sooner?

He's been talking about Feb 1 - 2 system.

He's been talking about Feb 1 - 2 system.

Thanks…… Apparently there is also the possibility of a significant system on about the 12th?

Yea I have been speaking of the February 1-3 system.

Just an update this afternoon, last two GFS runs have bounced track further north towards original path.

As far as future goes, there is signs of a storm around the 8th, 12th, and 16th. But like all winter storms, you must tackle them one at a time due to the volatility in model change with each passing system.

I know these are hard to predict and I apologize for being "that person" to ask questions that have no exact answer, but is there any indication on the impact the possible Feb. 8 storm will have? I am flying to PDX on the 10th and I'm just curious if this looks to be something that could affect my flight two days after it potentially hits.

I'm reluctant to ask this far in advance because I personally get frustrated when others ask open-ended questions that are really hard to answer due to a lack of knowledge or indication of future scenarios, but I would like to at least have some sort of idea of what could possibly be expected if anything does develop. I know that anything stated at this point in time is subject to change completely -- maybe before I even read the responding post -- so I won't be on here everyday asking for an update, but I'll be following it and any other systems closely until my plane takes off from Las Vegas (connecting city).

Thanks in advance, even if there just honestly aren't any real indications of what could possibly happen other than the models are showing the potential of a storm. The ridiculously minimal knowledge/experience I have of tracking storm systems confirms just how much of a waiting game it is, so I fully understand (and sympathize) if there's nothing worth mentioning at this point, as it will likely change half a billion times before the 8th arrives.

Looks like this storm is going to be a dud as well at least snow wise, temps this week look to still be in the above average range. Will winter ever arrive, and stay and will we get any significant snowfall this year. Doesn't look like it.

Looks like this storm is going to be a dud as well at least snow wise, temps this week look to still be in the above average range. Will winter ever arrive, and stay and will we get any significant snowfall this year. Doesn't look like it.

From the extended forecasts I've seen its snooze worthy weather through at least the first half of the month.

Please allow me to say that snooze worthy winter weather means exactly that for me. I get to snooze instead of doing 20 hour days (on salary BTW so I don't get paid for it). I love it!!!!!!! Go warm!!!!!!

Storm jumped track very far north over the last 24 hours. Still expecting colder temperatures Wed - Fri.

Hey! Actual rain!

Been a while.

Hey! Actual rain!

Been a while.Looking at our one car that sits outside I'm not sure if it was rain or falling mud. LOL. It was wet though and that's what matters.

From the last GFS runs it also looks like the last wet stuff we'll see for quite a while.

Also high temps from about 40 to in the 50s though the 12th. Not bad for February.

This system was extremely erratic. A whole week of tracking through central Kansas, suddenly track shifts south. Only to shift north of the original central track by 60-80 miles. Ended up being a Nebraska and northern Iowa blizzard.

Well this means temperatures not as cold as predicted earlier as the storm did not dig very far south.

Like Soonertail mentioned above, high pressure ridge will dominate the western US, which is a quiet pattern for most of the nation, save for clipper systems in the northeast.

February 14-16 is the next range to watch.

February 14-16 is the next range to watch.

Tease. The weather models keep leading this snow lover on. :)

I guess that's it for winter?

Forecast looks like 50' and 60's for the next 10 days and we will be fast approaching March.

I guess that's it for winter?

Forecast looks like 50' and 60's for the next 10 days and we will be fast approaching March.It's looking like it. And GFS has zero total precip between now and the 16th for OKC.

I guess that's it for winter?

Forecast looks like 50' and 60's for the next 10 days and we will be fast approaching March.Worst blizzard I ever saw in Oklahoma happened in May. Closed Hiway 66 for several days back in the late 30s!

Worst blizzard I ever saw in Oklahoma happened in May. Closed Hiway 66 for several days back in the late 30s!

Must have been a pretty bad year for crop growing, like for cotton. Maybe a lot of people who didn't like to pick cotton got spared from it that year.

The El Nino that was supposed to soak California and make us wetter than normal has still not materialized even though they said around the first of the year it should still happen in the first quarter of this year.

Thus far, those predictions have been way, way off.

I guess that's it for winter?

Forecast looks like 50' and 60's for the next 10 days and we will be fast approaching March.

Damon Lane seems to believe this.

Hopefully this doesn't lead to an active tornado season. If history is any indicator, it could go either way. 2013 was one of the worst years and that year had a very late spring, with arctic blasts all the way through April, ice in the metro in April and snow in early May for northwest Oklahoma. Tornado season was short that year but it hit with a vengeance. 2011, another very active year, saw a similar spring. It really all depends on where the jet stream is positioned in May, which is when conditions are ideal for the strongest tornadoes.

Anonymous or anybody who knows weather more than I do, could an early spring lead to the trough in May being farther north, resulting in fewer tornadoes for central OK?

Honestly it is too early to say. But if you have an earlier Spring, the only change is really just an earlier severe storm season, and possibly extended. It is literally impossible to call if they would be more prone to being tornadic or not, the ingredients for rotating storms can come together hours before an event, calling it months ahead of time would simply be guesswork.

And I wouldn't hang up the winter coat just yet, there is indications of some interesting storms coming up in the next few weeks.

The ridge of high pressure out west has been dominant since Christmas and there are signs of it breaking down heading into late Feb.

Many of Oklahoma’s most historic blizzards have occurred in the month of March.

Unless you have lived though one of the higher end blizzards like you find in far NW OK or on the high plains you may not understand how devastating and deadly they can be in these areas…. The high end blizzards in these areas are as serious as anywhere on the plant.

Believing the winter is over for Oklahoma during this time of year can be a serious mistake.

System coming through Sunday into Monday looks to be insignificant, hopefully we can squeeze out some moisture to help keep things from being too bone dry out here.

Looking ahead, there is a possibility of upper 70s and low 80s over much of the state late next week.

Great news!!!!

Great news!!!!Yes!

Are there still signs of the high pressure ridge breaking down in a few weeks or do I need to tune up the lawn mower already?

Are there still signs of the high pressure ridge breaking down in a few weeks or do I need to tune up the lawn mower already?

It's too early for that crap.....

Last night I opened my door at night and several mosquitoes, and moths came in. I woke up this morning to a wasp in my office. It is way too early for bugs. I hate the cold but wouldn't mind a few days of freezing weather to kill them off.

Are there still signs of the high pressure ridge breaking down in a few weeks or do I need to tune up the lawn mower already?

Not as promising as it looked last week. Still some signs of pattern change towards end of Feb, but as of right now the ridge is definitely saying "Spring time!"

System coming through Sunday into Monday looks to be insignificant, hopefully we can squeeze out some moisture to help keep things from being too bone dry out here.

Looking ahead, there is a possibility of upper 70s and low 80s over much of the state late next week.

Oklahoma is still totally free of drought as of Feb. 9. Most of the eastern 3/4s of the USA is that way.

Oklahoma is still totally free of drought as of Feb. 9. Most of the eastern 3/4s of the USA is that way.

Yes but the vegetation around the state is like a powder keg right now.... Low humidity and wind are the main ingredients in the recipe for a fire disaster.

As Oklahoma warms, I'm growing more and more excited about the upcoming tornado season. I don't like when the twisters hit populated areas, so please don't color me as sick and cold-hearted. I just happen to love the excitement of tornados and the broadcasts they generate, the wild temperature swings, and the vibrant green that comes from all of the rain that we get in April and May.

And this year, I'm especially thankful that fuel prices are hovering below $1.50 per gallon. That condition will allow me to travel further and with less guilt for tapping into my fuel budget for such ventures. Do any of you chase?

I chase from the tornados' southwest, but I don't attempt to intercept like others.

Red Flag Warning for essentially the entire state today. Gusts from 40-50 with near 80F temps in February.

Next precip. chance looks to be around this coming Tuesday/Wednesday. Right now it looks like rain, but will monitor because cold air won't be far away.

As Oklahoma warms, I'm growing more and more excited about the upcoming tornado season. I don't like when the twisters hit populated areas, so please don't color me as sick and cold-hearted. I just happen to love the excitement of tornados and the broadcasts they generate, the wild temperature swings, and the vibrant green that comes from all of the rain that we get in April and May.

And this year, I'm especially thankful that fuel prices are hovering below $1.50 per gallon. That condition will allow me to travel further and with less guilt for tapping into my fuel budget for such ventures. Do any of you chase?

I chase from the tornados' southwest, but I don't attempt to intercept like others.

Not me. Tornado season is probably my least favorite thing about living in Oklahoma. Last year had the third most tornadoes in OK history so hopefully this year is a little quieter.

As Oklahoma warms, I'm growing more and more excited about the upcoming tornado season. I don't like when the twisters hit populated areas, so please don't color me as sick and cold-hearted. I just happen to love the excitement of tornados and the broadcasts they generate, the wild temperature swings, and the vibrant green that comes from all of the rain that we get in April and May.

And this year, I'm especially thankful that fuel prices are hovering below $1.50 per gallon. That condition will allow me to travel further and with less guilt for tapping into my fuel budget for such ventures. Do any of you chase?

I chase from the tornados' southwest, but I don't attempt to intercept like others.
I understand completely what you are saying and don't think you are a sicko or anything. But, we lost our house in the May 3, 1999 tornado and our lives were devastated for a couple of years after. Tornadoes ultimately cause damage somewhere and change peoples lives when the do. In no way can that be perceived as a positive.

I understand completely what you are saying and don't think you are a sicko or anything. But, we lost our house in the May 3, 1999 tornado and our lives were devastated for a couple of years after. Tornadoes ultimately cause damage somewhere and change peoples lives when the do. In no way can that be perceived as a positive.

Not sure I even understand what he's thinking to be quite honest. I don't get how anyone can hope for the excitement of tornadoes knowing what kind of heartbreak and destruction they can and have done. Sorry, but it makes no sense to me.

Not sure I even understand what he's thinking to be quite honest. I don't get how anyone can hope for the excitement of tornadoes knowing what kind of heartbreak and destruction they can and have done. Sorry, but it makes no sense to me.

Or why he felt the need to announce his excitement on a message board where there are bound to be many who have been negatively impacted by tornadoes (I am one of those). Rule no. 1: Know your audience.

To be fair... He gave his reasons for being excited, none of which included destruction of homes and lives that the rest of you are associating with his post.

To be fair... He gave his reasons for being excited, none of which included destruction of homes and lives that the rest of you are associating with his post.

I'm fine with his reasons, just think he should think twice about where he shares his excitement.

freaking wind was ridiculous today, unfortunately right behind my house is the next phase of my development, which is currently just a flat piece of red dirt exposed land, which now has taken over parts of my house, got in the house through doors and windows today. none too please with this 10 month old home

Not as promising as it looked last week. Still some signs of pattern change towards end of Feb, but as of right now the ridge is definitely saying "Spring time!"

Been a week since this post, and confidence is growing in pattern shift.

March may be the return of winter for much of the plains.

Been a week since this post, and confidence is growing in pattern shift.

March may be the return of winter for much of the plains.

Yeah...March is the month that comes in like a lion and out like a lamb. I would be very surprised if the first half of the month isn't wintry. It usually always is.

It usually always is.
I don't think you can use those two words together... at least not correctly.

Had to turn on the house a/c today. Not sure if I've ever done it this early!

Red Flag Warning for essentially the entire state today. Gusts from 40-50 with near 80F temps in February.

Next precip. chance looks to be around this coming Tuesday/Wednesday. Right now it looks like rain, but will monitor because cold air won't be far away.

Stay tuned over the next few days.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016021918/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png

^^big precip day has a high of 54° on my phone app. That backside precip will dry out or float further north. Just the way the cookie crumbles this winter.

The same GFS run shows total accumulation as of the 25th to be an inch or less and only in northern OK. Maybe it will do something and maybe it won't. That's Oklahoma.

Today was such a beautiful May day! Beautiful weather!

Today was such a beautiful May day! Beautiful weather!Yes! Took the Miata accross town for dinner. Don't do that much in February.

Rain chances go up overnight. The moisture is very needed.

Highest rain amounts to the SE parts of the state, but could see a heavier band setup somewhere from W/C OK.

Backside snow looks possible for panhandle areas, and then maybe extreme E/NE OK as the system really cranks up.

Here is the link to Gary England's El Nino Tornado outlook.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vnOatXLcrGs&index=10&list=PLTve54sz-eh9popfnvPgJr5ExnaBecdVb

Here is Damon Lanes take on the upcoming sprint Tornado Season.

http://www.koco.com/weather/spring-tornado-outlook/38136874

What a great rain for the southeastern half of the state. Just a little more than a handful of degrees cooler and this would be quite the snowfall.

After this system finishes up, the next timeframe of action looks to be right around March 1.

Here is Damon Lanes take on the upcoming sprint Tornado Season.

Spring Tornado Outlook | Oklahoma City - OKC - KOCO.com (http://www.koco.com/weather/spring-tornado-outlook/38136874)

Sponsored by Sprint?

Looks like early Tuesday morning, showers and thunderstorms will develop right on top of central OK and move eastward.

Are we done with the cold and the snow? I would like to shave my beard now.

Are we done with the cold and the snow? I would like to shave my beard now.

Shave it........