The national weather service in norman has issued a


* tornado warning for...
Southwestern mcclain county in central oklahoma...
West central pottawatomie county in central oklahoma...
Southeastern cleveland county in central oklahoma...


* until 330 pm cdt


* at 251 pm cdt...a confirmed tornado was located 5 miles southwest
of purcell... Moving northeast at 20 mph.


Hazard...damaging tornado and half dollar size hail.


Source...weather spotters confirmed tornado.


Impact...flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs...windows and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

PER CH 4 Velocities are still increasing …. Purcell and Lex. needs to take cover now

Tornado watch has been extended to Cleveland and other county's to the east.

Small tornado's on the ground on the SE side of Purcell .....PER ch 9

Where is everybody?

Storms coming out of SW OK right now are looking more interesting.

Radar stream is up now. Weather Spotlight - Live Chat Room for Weather Event Coverage (http://www.weatherspotlight.com/chat.html)

I am headed into meeting, do no chat for me until later tonight if these are still going.

Warm front lifting north slightly, could be play boundary.

Hey ven, can we get an update on the weekend? If it's just going to be rain I'm still planning on going on vacation, if the severe threat is higher I'll cancel.

Rotation developing near Anadarko per CH 4

Hey ven, can we get an update on the weekend? If it's just going to be rain I'm still planning on going on vacation, if the severe threat is higher I'll cancel.

Sure! I'll toss it up with the evening models tonight if that is okay?


Update for today...Two TOR warned storms...one near Walters in SW OK another just over the river in North Texas. Also a third storm over Anadarko is rotating and needs to be watched as it moves closer.

You are just overreacting to this. He is just showing the output for a model. Sure he could just do a spread forecast with a general consensus, but every TV station tends to have their forecast models that throw out numbers...and they happen to show values at that point in the forecast. Every mode does the same thing as well. If you are taking this model output to be "this is exactly what you are forecast to get" then you are overestimating the ability for models to handle things on a mesoscale/micro level.

Is he outright trying to impress people? I doubt it. Everyone does it. It just gives pin point values of a specific model's output. If the viewer is reading too much into it, that is their problem.

If I may overreact, Morgan has raised his projected estimate for Stillwater to 4.40", still the most. Simply amazing in view that sw Oklahoma may really get the most. Or maybe Norman. But maybe reporting projected rain totals from the media is inappropriate to do in this thread and should instead be posted in: Oklahoma Media - Weather Coverage.

More storms firing in the west. This will be a wet night.

Holy animals-two-by-two, Batman. What happened in near west Norman was either tropical or biblical.

TOR warn Altus area. They are not done yet. Keep alert. Looks like they should stay south of I-40 and even sinking a bit more south.

Significant flooding in Norman

As of about 1.5 hr.’s ago water was running over Main Street in Norman about 2 to 2 1/2 feet deep.
Norman officials had several creek crossings blocked off in the heart of Norman.
Lindsey Street should have been closed.
Lots of emergency vehicles out. I’m sure homes were flooded.

Watch out near Konawa....rotation increasing substantially.

Looking ahead, how does this weekend look from here? SPC hasn't updated to include a 15% risk in their day 4-8 outlook yet. I think last week by this point they had already put out a 30%. KOCO and KFOR seem to be more focused on the flash flooding risk this weekend than the tornado risk as of the 10PM newscast tonight.

In addition, KOCO was talking about severe chances every day from now until the end of May. With that in mind, does anything look particularly high-end for C OK at this point? Can we expect a pattern shift as we go into June or does this look to continue?

When town names are mentioned in the Timeline, where do they come up with the obscure ones?

Looking ahead, how does this weekend look from here? SPC hasn't updated to include a 15% risk in their day 4-8 outlook yet. I think last week by this point they had already put out a 30%. KOCO and KFOR seem to be more focused on the flash flooding risk this weekend than the tornado risk as of the 10PM newscast tonight.

In addition, KOCO was talking about severe chances every day from now until the end of May. With that in mind, does anything look particularly high-end for C OK at this point? Can we expect a pattern shift as we go into June or does this look to continue?

Probably because flash flooding covers a larger area of the metro, and could potentially affect many more people, than a tornado could. It's a real threat. Perhaps they haven't put out anything about a major severe risk because the models aren't showing it's going to happen yet.

If I may overreact, Morgan has raised his projected estimate for Stillwater to 4.40", still the most. Simply amazing in view that sw Oklahoma may really get the most. Or maybe Norman. But maybe reporting projected rain totals from the media is inappropriate to do in this thread and should instead be posted in: Oklahoma Media - Weather Coverage.

Yes, I think that is the best place for discussion of that.

When town names are mentioned in the Timeline, where do they come up with the obscure ones?

some of my favorites are "cookietown" and "nowhere".

some of my favorites are "cookietown" and "nowhere".

Nothing tops Uncertain Texas.

Nothing tops Uncertain Texas.

What about Toad Suck, Arkansas?

oof.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image_full4.jpg

oof.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image_full4.jpg

Oh no. I had to bury some drown baby rabbits this morning as my backyard was a lake. No more please.

Mine is moving from a rice paddy to whatever is wetter than that!:rolleyes:

Looks like nobody will have to go to the lake on Memorial Day weekend...the lake is coming to them!

Looks like nobody will have to go to the lake on Memorial Day weekend...the lake is coming to them!

That's funny! True, too.

oof.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image_full4.jpg

Aw, man, have mercy. Where's my heat dome? Saw a heat index of 97 degrees today for a place called Falfurrias TX and was jealous.

Today I thought I would take some of the back roads south of the airport to go to my foot doc on SW 89th. Big mistake. Had to double back to find a road not closed due to flooding.

Looks like nobody will have to go to the lake on Memorial Day weekend...the lake is coming to them!

And for other problems more connected to the real reason for Memorial Day, I need to go to four cemeteries to place flowers. Trying to find a good dry time to do that isn't easy.

Is there any tracking / GPS data for the Lexington tornadoes yet? I want to see how close they were to my house. The googles are bringing sites that has data up to 2014. Thanks.

Probably because flash flooding covers a larger area of the metro, and could potentially affect many more people, than a tornado could. It's a real threat. Perhaps they haven't put out anything about a major severe risk because the models aren't showing it's going to happen yet.

Still isn't anything more than a marginal severe risk yet for this weekend.

I hear what you are saying about flooding. I don't live in a flood-prone neighborhood but if I did I am sure I would take it a lot more seriously.

Still isn't anything more than a marginal severe risk yet for this weekend.

I hear what you are saying about flooding. I don't live in a flood-prone neighborhood but if I did I am sure I would take it a lot more seriously.

You don't have to live in a flood-prone neighborhood. It's the city streets that become the problem. The storm drains can't keep up and street flooding becomes a problem. The ground is so saturated it can't absorb any more water, so it all runs off into the street. Then people are out, as always, and the rain comes down and then they get stuck.

You also don't have to live in a flood-prone neighborhood to flood. 2013 taught us that, and many others throughout the city. Not much you can do when it rains 8" over a few hours.

This weekend will likely be record-setting for many places in OK for monthly rainfall amounts. And we still have a week to go.

Still isn't anything more than a marginal severe risk yet for this weekend.

I hear what you are saying about flooding. I don't live in a flood-prone neighborhood but if I did I am sure I would take it a lot more seriously.

Let's say there was a higher risk for tornados this weekend, your personal risk of actually being affected by a tornado is low. There is a much higher risk of a lot more people getting affected by flooding this weekend.

Slight risk for Central into SW OK. Good low level shear today so supercells with damaging winds and tornadoes possible today. Hail threat not very high. Stay weather aware today.

So anywhere within about a 3 hour drive where it isn't going to be raining this weekend?

This setup looks very familiar...

This setup looks very familiar...

How are you referring to familiar Anon?

This setup looks very familiar...

How so?

Radar estimating over 6 inches of rain in Elk City the last 2-3 hours. Massive flooding taking place.

General clearing ahead of this boundary as it sags SE is going to result in severe storms across SW quadrant of OK this afternoon.

Everyone in the east side of this boundary is at risk for severe weather.

Embedded supercells along the boundary look possible.

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TDEW.grad.png

No sunshine to be found here in NW OKC and it's still pretty cool out also. Doesn't feel like a severe weather day.

Good area of clearing in the southwest. Low level winds also kicking up a bit getting rid of this fog. Low level shear today is favorable to help get storms spinning and to overcome any reduced instability. This isn't going to be your typical warm, soupy setup. This is one of those where low level dynamics favor rotating storms and will probably results in a few tornadoes. Just stay aware.

HRRR has several waves of storms through the rest of the day and indicates decent updraft helicity with most of them.

Tornado Watch soon...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0722.gif

No sunshine to be found here in NW OKC and it's still pretty cool out also. Doesn't feel like a severe weather day.

Doesn't matter.

Venture -- in your educated opinion, will that wall of water out west make it to the metro, and if so, when would that be? A friend has a wedding tonight but I'm worried about needing to be here to batten down the hatches (namely, set up sump pumps) if we're going to get rain like Elk City.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CFtcZB2WYAAGJ2e.png

Venture -- in your educated opinion, will that wall of water out west make it to the metro, and if so, when would that be? A friend has a wedding tonight but I'm worried about needing to be here to batten down the hatches (namely, set up sump pumps) if we're going to get rain like Elk City.

More than likely it will get here. Probably closer to 6 or so for that line. We are getting development ahead of the line so that will impact the time line a lot.

More than likely it will get here. Probably closer to 6 or so for that line. We are getting development ahead of the line so that will impact the time line a lot.

Has that line shown any indication of lessening over time, or is there just so much moisture that we can expect the same kind of rain here?

*crossing fingers for less rain*

Has that line shown any indication of lessening over time, or is there just so much moisture that we can expect the same kind of rain here?

*crossing fingers for less rain*

Not a bad idea... ;)

http://theboatplans.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/How-To-Build-A-Boat.jpg or https://relaxshax.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/houseboats6.jpg

I have terrible allergies, I'm sure like most Oklahomans. I'm on allergy shots, etc. Allergy indexes have been pretty low due to the monsoon. However, my allergies are surprisingly worse! Is anyone else feeling like this? Any particular reason for it? The only thing I can think of is something being blown in from the south.

Probably have a mold allergy.

Probably have a mold allergy.

I was wondering if that's what it was. I do have mold allergies. Hopefully we'll have some sunshine soon!

Not a bad idea... ;)

http://theboatplans.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/How-To-Build-A-Boat.jpg or https://relaxshax.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/houseboats6.jpg

I do not want to have to re-floor this house for a third...fourth...fifth? Time. No. No no no.

If it weren't so darn windy in this state I'd build a house on stilts.

Glanced at the radar. Does it look like my comrades north of I40 will enjoy more water than us south siders this time?

Glanced at the radar. Does it look like my comrades north of I40 will enjoy more water than us south siders this time?

North-central OK and Panhandle are the last parts of the state still in severe drought so it's good they are getting more of a steady rain today.

Tornado watch coming.

Rotation coming up on the Storm west of Tuttle.

Confirmed large tornado on the ground in Minco.