Mel
03-04-2015, 05:37 PM
Driving around earlier I went through sleet, snow pellets and baby snow. You can just drive around a bit and pick your favorite type of frozen precip.
View Full Version : General Weather Discussion - March 2015 Mel 03-04-2015, 05:37 PM Driving around earlier I went through sleet, snow pellets and baby snow. You can just drive around a bit and pick your favorite type of frozen precip. venture 03-04-2015, 05:57 PM https://scontent-dfw.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xfp1/v/l/t1.0-9/11018881_592859824180008_5688289007046011846_n.jpg ?oh=01d7f9e82e3be1eb08ecfb882ff5885c&oe=558BED52 Two main snow bands continue over Oklahoma. One from Okmulgee-Seminole-Pauls Valley and to the SW. Another band from the OKC Metro through Hinton-Roosevelt-Altus and continues well into West Texas. Still have some areas between these bands where some small moderate snow bands are present, so things will continue to accumulate until the western band pushes through. Most areas reporting 1-3 inches now with some local reports approaching 5 to 6. Another 1-2 inches likely, locally more, through this evening. judysue 03-04-2015, 06:03 PM I'm curious why KOCO would make a point of saying the chance of school closings tomorrow is "moderate" (not high) for those seeing snow. Unless I'm missing something, this is the same storm that warranted "high" closing chances...it just arrived later than expected? It's snowing like crazy out my window in NE Norman and I don't know why schools would not cancel. I see the big districts are holding off just because nothing much happened during the day today. Peer pressure? okatty 03-04-2015, 06:08 PM I'm curious why KOCO would make a point of saying the chance of school closings tomorrow is "moderate" (not high) for those seeing snow. Unless I'm missing something, this is the same storm that warranted "high" closing chances...it just arrived later than expected? It's snowing like crazy out my window in NE Norman and I don't know why schools would not cancel. I see the big districts are holding off just because nothing much happened during the day today. Peer pressure? The graphic they just put up now says HIGH judysue 03-04-2015, 06:09 PM Yep. They just changed it back. venture 03-04-2015, 06:09 PM I'm curious why KOCO would make a point of saying the chance of school closings tomorrow is "moderate" (not high) for those seeing snow. Unless I'm missing something, this is the same storm that warranted "high" closing chances...it just arrived later than expected? It's snowing like crazy out my window in NE Norman and I don't know why schools would not cancel. I see the big districts are holding off just because nothing much happened during the day today. Peer pressure? I don't get the whole "high/moderate" school closing chances. Just another excuse for them to put a bar graph up. One started doing it and now they all do. The snow ends this evening, and we will be above freezing tomorrow, but then again...districts here rarely do delays to allow things to warm up and melt off. Mel 03-04-2015, 06:09 PM I'd rather try and herd ferrets than second guess the weather in this state. Today did not necessitate a level 3 closure and they got burned for calling it. Tomorrow probably will but they are being a bit more cautious with the call. venture 03-04-2015, 06:21 PM The poor guys at NWS Norman just can't keep a snowfall forecast for more than hour. :-P http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image8.jpg Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 06:29 PM It will be interesting to see if any rogue banding occurs on the back side with the main low pulling out of SW TX and heading east, tonight. Uncle Slayton 03-04-2015, 06:38 PM I don't get the whole "high/moderate" school closing chances. Just another excuse for them to put a bar graph up. One started doing it and now they all do. The snow ends this evening, and we will be above freezing tomorrow, but then again...districts here rarely do delays to allow things to warm up and melt off. Norman Public Schools just shut 'er down for tomorrow Bunty 03-04-2015, 06:41 PM Listening to the news this afternoon, for whatever reason some think the snow will be lightening up by 6PM. Not really sure I'm buying that based on the bands out there. We have the one moderate/heavy snow band setting up now along I-44 from the south Metro down to Frederick. Another moderate/heavy snow band from Kingfisher back through Hollis and Mangum to Childress. Snow let up in Stillwater at 6pm. If the snow is over, and with very little snow now on the streets, they may not call school off again tomorrow at OSU and Stillwater public schools. It's been decided Norman public schools will be closed tomorrow. Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 07:02 PM Heavy snow band just N of 44, sliding east. This will be the last main hurrah. okatty 03-04-2015, 07:07 PM Heavy snow band just N of 44, sliding east. This will be the last main hurrah. So KOCO saying this would last until midnight was incorrect? Mel 03-04-2015, 07:12 PM Neither Mustang or Yukon PSD have made a call yet on open or closed. Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 07:19 PM Downtown OKC is at 1.5" ahead of heavy band. okkatty, it just depends on how fast this band moves. Right now it is crawling. Also additional development may take place to the west as this entire system will keep creating lift in the atmosphere. But I am confident in saying that this main band coming into I-44 will be the last of the big stuff. venture 03-04-2015, 07:22 PM Snow let up in Stillwater at 6pm. If the snow is over, and with very little snow now on the streets, they may not call school off again tomorrow at OSU and Stillwater public schools. It's been decided Norman public schools will be closed tomorrow. Stillwater appears to be done with the heavy stuff unless some more develops behind the main band. OKCRT 03-04-2015, 07:24 PM Looks like a heavy band is approaching OKC now according to radar. Snowing pretty heavy in NW OKC right now. Prob 2 inches on ground,at least. Getting ready to fire up the 4 wheel drive and see what's happening on the main streets. venture 03-04-2015, 07:35 PM Latest local image for the TDWR site in Northwest Norman...Heavy snow band is slowly moving through the metro area. Leading edge is from Wellston-Luther-Moore-Amber. Another area of moderate snow popping up down between Ninnekah and Alex moving NE. If the band holds together another 1-2 inches of snow likely from this. That is from when the band first moves over to when it ends. http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2015-03/4-10.PNG Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 07:48 PM Monster flakes downtown right now. I have a measure outside, so I will have accurate reading, right now it looks like 2.25" turnpup 03-04-2015, 07:55 PM We've gotten a ton of big, beautiful flakes and quite a bit of accumulation here in the 23rd Street/I-44 area. It's still coming down pretty hard. venture 03-04-2015, 08:21 PM Things are on the downward trend now. Snow band is starting to weaken. Still a few areas over the Metro area with some moderate snow. zookeeper 03-04-2015, 08:52 PM The big question now, I'm guessing, is how low will the temperature go tonight? That will be the indicator on how bad the roads are tomorrow morning? Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 08:53 PM Exactly 3 inches here in downtown. venture 03-04-2015, 09:01 PM The big question now, I'm guessing, is how low will the temperature go tonight? That will be the indicator on how bad the roads are tomorrow morning? Around 20...give or take a few degrees. zookeeper 03-04-2015, 09:08 PM Around 20...give or take a few degrees. Ugh. Bad roads probably after 10 hours of sub-freezing temps? NikonNurse 03-04-2015, 09:28 PM And most of the majors called off school tomorrow....yay!! Anonymous. 03-04-2015, 10:54 PM Not bad! 2-4" with isolated 6+ is pretty good for I-44 being dryslotted like that. http://i.imgur.com/fAQqEZw.jpg?1 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B_TiRK2UsAEZ4Aq.png:large BoulderSooner 03-04-2015, 11:17 PM Great job guys thanks for the fantastic info. Mississippi Blues 03-04-2015, 11:25 PM Count me as one of those that relies on these threads for my weather info. I checked this thread around two times an hour today and knew what was happening basically at all times. Like Boulder said, the info and constant monitoring was top notch. ljbab728 03-04-2015, 11:52 PM And for those who are continually disappointed about the amount of winter weather OKC is getting. We have now had over 14 inches of snow this winter. That is well above normal. Achilleslastand 03-05-2015, 12:03 AM And for those who are continually disappointed about the amount of winter weather OKC is getting. We have now had over 14 inches of snow this winter. That is well above normal. Doesn't seem like it though. We gotten many snowfalls in the 2-3 inch range but haven't had anything major. ljbab728 03-05-2015, 12:10 AM Doesn't seem like it though. We gotten many snowfalls in the 2-3 inch range but haven't had anything major. Well, it seems like to me. We don't want to rival Buffalo. Mississippi Blues 03-05-2015, 12:44 AM Well, it seems like to me. We don't want to rival Buffalo. In Buffalo, 14 inches of snow is called a weekend of light flurries. Brett 03-05-2015, 01:40 AM Just want to thank all of the TV weather personalities for hyping the OKC "dryslot" snow storm. :) Bobby821 03-05-2015, 08:13 AM Now that this last storm system is out of the way, Can you provide more info on the next winter storm due in here around March 15th? Anonymous. 03-05-2015, 09:35 AM Still too far away. But so far GFS has been consistent with multi-day storm from around 14th-16th. okatty 03-05-2015, 10:25 AM still too far away. But so far gfs has been consistent with multi-day storm from around 14th-16th. spring break!! BBatesokc 03-05-2015, 01:27 PM Went by the hill east of Will Rogers Park and got some footage with the drone. Here is a pic... 10306 Not sure why we sold our sleds when we moved a few years ago. The wife and I would so hit the hill on a day like today. turnpup 03-05-2015, 02:02 PM ^^^^^ Cool footage! My little girl's probably somewhere in that picture, depending on what time you took it. okatty 03-05-2015, 02:10 PM Went by the hill east of Will Rogers Park and got some footage with the drone. Here is a pic... 10306 Not sure why we sold our sleds when we moved a few years ago. The wife and I would so hit the hill on a day like today. Nice pic. Last Saturday night there were people out there at about 1030 PM still sledding! Its the place to be! The snow didn't last long enough today for full day of sledding! BBatesokc 03-05-2015, 02:47 PM Here is some of the footage I shot while at the sledding hill (with some totally over the top cinematic music added!) Like the other day when I was shooting Lake Hefner, I had to end my flight time early because of helicopters in the area. This time Ch4 decided to do a fly over and stop and get their own footage. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uIkz8F_R66w&feature=youtu.be stratosphere 03-05-2015, 04:23 PM Now that this last storm system is out of the way, Can you provide more info on the next winter storm due in here around March 15th? God i hope this doesn't happen. Outhunder 03-05-2015, 04:51 PM Simply wonderful how this turned out. The snow lovers got their snow, and the pleasant wether fans got theirs. Can't believe how quickly things can change. Also, a big thumbs up to all on here! This is the go to place for weather info. Anonymous. 03-05-2015, 05:36 PM You will be happy to know GFS has backed off the winter solution! :) stratosphere 03-05-2015, 06:42 PM You will be happy to know GFS has backed off the winter solution! :) :cheersmf: Stickman 03-05-2015, 08:13 PM Just want to thank all of the TV weather personalities for hyping the OKC "dryslot" snow storm. :) I bet visitors from northern states were laughing their arse off. Easy180 03-05-2015, 08:41 PM Anyone else who worked today find it strange to drive in with still snow covered roads and 3 inches on the grass to completely bone dry streets and grass when leaving? Can't remember the last time that happened. LocoAko 03-05-2015, 09:37 PM Anyone else who worked today find it strange to drive in with still snow covered roads and 3 inches on the grass to completely bone dry streets and grass when leaving? Can't remember the last time that happened. The March sun angle is a real killer (plus the air today was dry, evaporating and sublimating all the meltwater/snow). It was entertaining to watch it melt so fast even as the temperature remained below freezing. By the time I drove into work at 10AM the only spots on the roads still covered in snow were those directly under shade of trees. It was cool. Bunty 03-06-2015, 01:51 AM Hydrologic Outlook Hydrologic Outlook Updated: Thu Mar-05-15 04:30pm CST Effective: Thu Mar-05-15 04:30pm CST Expires: Fri Mar-06-15 06:00am CST Severity: Unknown Urgency: Future Certainty: Possible Status: Actual Type: Alert Category: Met Areas affected: Alfalfa; Atoka; Beckham; Blaine; Bryan; Caddo; Canadian; Carter; Cleveland; Coal; Comanche; Cotton; Custer; Dewey; Ellis; Garfield; Garvin; Grady; Grant; Greer; Harmon; Harper; Hughes; Jackson; Jefferson; Johnston; Kay; Kingfisher; Kiowa; Lincoln; Logan; Love; Major; Marshall; McClain; Murray; Noble; Oklahoma; Payne; Pontotoc; Pottawatomie; Roger Mills; Seminole; Stephens; Tillman; Wa****a; Woods; Woodward Message summary: ...spring flood outlook... The potential for flood conditions will be below normal in western/central oklahoma and western north texas this spring. Flooding in this oklahoma and north texas usually occurs in response to specific precipitation events. However, the red river and other larger rivers may flood in response to more widespread upstream conditions. Many current hydrologic indicators reflect an ongoing drought that has gripped the southern plains for several years. The western half of oklahoma and western north texas have been trending drier for the last year and drought conditions have worsened in these areas. Precipitation totals for the last 90 days are below average to well- below average across most of oklahoma and western north texas. There are widespread areas that have received less than 75 percent-of- average precipitation. Large, scattered areas throughout oklahoma and western north texas have received less than 50 percent-of- average rainfall in the last 90 days. Stream and river discharges at most locations in the western half of oklahoma are below normal to well-below normal. Widespread areas of western oklahoma are experiencing streamflows below the 10th percentile. Streamflows in the red river valley above lake texoma in southwestern oklahoma and western north texas are showing the effects of the long-term drought. Discharges in this area are generally less than 10 percent-of-average for this time of year. Soil moisture conditions across oklahoma and western north texas currently reflect the long-term drought conditions that have dominated the southern plains. Western oklahoma is plagued by below- normal soil moisture with values between the 20th and 30th percentiles. Soil moisture is generally near normal for western north texas, with conditions between the 30th and 70th percentiles of historical conditions. Reservoir storage in oklahoma and western north texas currently varies between the structures in the arkansas river system and those in the red river system. U.s. Army corps of engineers projects in western oklahoma and western north texas, especially those in the red river system are extremely dry and have a great deal of flood control storage available. In the aggregate, the reservoirs in oklahoma have 110 percent of their flood control storage available at this time. Available capacity in the arkansas system is approximately 108 percent of designed flood control storage. Available capacity in the red river system is approximately 114 percent of design flood control storage. The climate prediction center`s (cpc) seasonal outlook (mar-apr-may) calls for increased chances (33%-40%) of below-normal temperatures across most of oklahoma and western north texas. The outlook also call for equal chances of above-normal, below-normal, and near- normal precipitation across most of oklahoma. However, the outlook calls for increased chances (33%-40%) of above-normal rainfall for the upper red river basin in southwestern oklahoma and western north texas. The u.s. Drought monitor of february 24, 2015 indicates that areas in oklahoma and western north texas are experiencing abnormally dry (d0) to exceptional drought (d4) conditions. Abnormally dry (d0) or moderate drought (d1) conditions dominate near the central and south central parts of oklahoma. Conditions continue to worsen westward across the region and reach exceptional drought (d4) conditions in parts of western oklahoma and western north texas. The cpc u.s. Seasonal drought outlook of february 19, 2015 indicates drought conditions across western oklahoma and western north texas should persist or intensify over the next three months. Thanks to the u.s. Geological survey, the u.s. Army corps of engineers, oklahoma water resources board, and other federal, state and local groups for streamflow and reservoir data, and the climate prediction center for the precipitation and temperature outlooks, the soil moisture deficits, and the drought outlook. For the latest river stage information, forecast, and warnings please visit our website at: National Weather Service Forecast Office - Norman, Oklahoma (http://www.weather.gov/norman) river stage and forecast data can be obtained by selecting the rivers/lakes link under the current weather section. okatty 03-06-2015, 11:46 AM sounds like the ongoing drought in Western Okla may get worse. I travel out there for work every so often and its really bad in some places. These little small amounts of moisture from the winter weather we had helped get the wheat up and it looks pretty good but the ponds and water table are in terrible shape. Need some big spring rains in the worst way. OKCisOK4me 03-06-2015, 01:07 PM And for those who are continually disappointed about the amount of winter weather OKC is getting. We have now had over 14 inches of snow this winter. That is well above normal. 14" of snow here means 9' of snow in Boston, lol... venture 03-07-2015, 03:08 AM We'll see if this sticks around at all...but, first shot at spring storms starts the 19th in SW OK. NW to South Central OK on the 20th. Then a more intense day on the 22nd over Eastern OK. Don't read much into this, only way to look at this would be a chance for a storm system to come through that weekend...too early to get hung up on specifics. Easy180 03-07-2015, 04:49 AM 14" of snow here means 9' of snow in Boston, lol... Especially since we can't even have the highways cleared by the next morning's commute when the snow stops around 9 PM venture 03-07-2015, 10:32 AM Especially since we can't even have the highways cleared by the next morning's commute when the snow stops around 9 PM Most of that I'm sure falls into "why waste the money, the sun is going to come out anyway" train of thought. Easy180 03-07-2015, 10:43 AM Most of that I'm sure falls into "why waste the money, the sun is going to come out anyway" train of thought. I hear ya. I definitely agree with that strategy on streets but I would expect the city to have the highways clear with 9 hours to go until commuters head out. venture 03-07-2015, 04:51 PM Looks like a fire going east of Seminole... http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2015-03/7-1.PNG silvergrove 03-09-2015, 12:41 PM Some nice gentle rain out to help ameliorate the drought. okatty 03-09-2015, 01:34 PM Some nice gentle rain out to help ameliorate the drought. Hope it's enough to wash some of the crud off the streets! Car washes have been making out the last few days. Anonymous. 03-10-2015, 08:41 AM OKC area picked up around .75" of rain, really good. Unfortunately, they got little to nothing out west. Rain chances will continue to increase this month. Looks like a small chance this Friday night. Then better chances middle of next week into the following weekend. Outhunder 03-10-2015, 09:24 AM I know this is very difficult to predict and the average date for last freeze is early April, but are there any signs of freezes headed our way? Really looking forward to the grass turning green. Hopefully with more sun, this will happen soon. |