I plan on going down to the Wichita Mountains come Saturday or Sunday so it better not!!

As expected, storms firing in W and NW OK right now along stationary boundary.

These storms will fire up and produce outflow boundaries which may or may not spark off new storms as they fan out east and west. Per usual in OK, consider your grass lucky to be hit with one of these.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1626.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1626
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 271905Z - 272130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SVR WIND
GUSTS...THOUGH WW ISSUANCE IS NOT NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...WITHIN A MOIST AND UNCAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER...ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A STEEP SFC-3-KM LAPSE RATE PLUME EXTENDING FROM THE TX
S PLAINS TO CNTRL OK. THE OVERLAP OF 7.5-8.5 C/KM LAPSE RATES IN
THIS LAYER WITH DEWPOINTS PREDOMINANTLY IN THE 60S IS YIELDING
1500-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE PER MODIFICATIONS TO 12Z OUN/AMA RAOBS.
WATER VAPOR LOOPS IMPLY A STREAM OF ENHANCED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
EMANATING FROM THE SW...WHICH WILL ENHANCE SHELTERING OF INCIPIENT
UPDRAFTS. FURTHERMORE...CONTINUED DIURNAL HEATING WILL BOLSTER
BAROCLINICITY ALONG EDGES OF PATCHY CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG
WITH BUOYANCY...TO SUPPORT AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE/INTENSITY. HOWEVER...VWPS SUGGEST GENERALLY AOB 20 KT OF
FLOW IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE...WHICH WILL SUPPRESS
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION...WITH A PRIMARILY PULSE CONVECTIVE MODE
ANTICIPATED. THIS WILL GREATLY LIMIT THE SVR RISK.

..COHEN/MEAD.. 08/27/2014

Morning rain is getting closer to the Metro area as it is currently along US 281 and just west of Hinton. Total rain fall looks to be around an inch for a lot of folks over the next 2-3 days. Some areas could see well over that, especially as tropical moisture gets pulled north. Rain should be out of here in time for the game Saturday.

Looks like this thin line of clouds and showers will kind of die off as it crawls east. And a new line of storms will evolve in TX panhandle and into NW OK tonight and work its way east.

Some pretty big time storms going up in the TX PH right now, taking on supercell structure.


HPC putting about 1-1.5 inch of rain from W OK into C OK, bullseye just west of OKC. This is for tonight into tomorrow.

Those storms in the Texas Panhandle are looking strong.

Hope those storms west of the metro hold it together, it'd be nice to get an afternoon shower to cool things off.

Line approaching C OK is beginning to firm up. Looks like a wet night in store for most.

2.5" hail reported with one of the storms in the PH. Starting to get that itch for the Fall severe weather season. :)

A couple severe storms in the state. One is NW heading towards Waynoka. The other is going to be in SW OK around Hollis.

Locally showers and storms mostly over the SW Metro area down I-44 to the TX line (Chickasha to Wichita Falls is now a fun drive right now).

Quick radar snap shot with the new color table I decided to make. :)

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-aug/28-1.png

Warning for NW OK extended. Winds up to 70 mph.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-aug/28-2.png

Some pretty strong winds with these storms showing up now. Moving towards Hopeton and just south of Alva.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-aug/28-3.png

Isn't it about two weeks too early for really heavy rains?

Indeed. Maybe it thinks the state fair is already going? ;)

So far, SW OK is having all the fun. They are the driest, though.

We got a lovely soft rain, earlier. Fabulous.

Only 0.04" so far in Norman... Sigh. But Anonymous is right, SW OK needs this rain way more than we do.

Most of state missed out on meaningful rain last night.

Models trying to fire up another round of storm late this evening in a similar fashion to last night - only firing them in SW OK instead of the TX PH.

I hope the stretch between Hollis/Frederick on up to Alva area got a few good bucket loads.

Things looking overall stagnant for much of the area. Some outside chances for a storm here or there, but nothing significant until probably the 2nd week of September. A front does make a run at the state next week, but doesn't look like it makes it.

Side note, this appears to have been post # 15,000 for the Weather/Geosciences section. Not too shabby. ;)