View Full Version : General Weather Discussion - July 2014



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venture
07-06-2014, 02:21 PM
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Current Conditions

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venture
07-06-2014, 02:22 PM
Sorry for the delay! Dang work distracting me.

Hollywood
07-06-2014, 03:04 PM
No worries... no excitement here seeing the projected 100 for tomorrow.

bandnerd
07-06-2014, 05:28 PM
Yeah, looks like the heat dome has finally descended upon us.

iambecoming
07-06-2014, 06:30 PM
Bring on fall soon please. Summer blows.

Achilleslastand
07-06-2014, 06:43 PM
Bring on fall soon please. Summer blows.

Amen to that brother.........

Plutonic Panda
07-07-2014, 02:00 AM
I am enjoying it. I even liked the 110s... It can stay as long as it wants to for me

Achilleslastand
07-07-2014, 02:03 AM
I am enjoying it. I even liked the 110s... It can stay as long as it wants to for me

Im sending you a one way ticket to Vegas then..............But please no gambling.

venture
07-07-2014, 02:09 AM
I am enjoying it. I even liked the 110s... It can stay as long as it wants to for me

Silence! :-P

Anywho. Looking at the GFS tonight. Ridge breaks down and moves back west as a trough continues to did down for rain chances the middle of this week. Ridge then builds back in by Friday but then get squished back to the SW US by early next week. We then enter another mid week period of northwest flow and storm chances. After the 19th then it looks like we'll be in store for the first real establishment of the "ridge o death" with the jetstream going mostly zonal over the northern US. Though another west coast trough may form as well that will mush the ridge down by the end of the month.

We'll see. I'll have no problem with my last Oklahoma summer being not as hot as past ones. :)

SoonerDave
07-07-2014, 12:55 PM
Silence! :-P

Anywho. Looking at the GFS tonight. Ridge breaks down and moves back west as a trough continues to did down for rain chances the middle of this week. Ridge then builds back in by Friday but then get squished back to the SW US by early next week. We then enter another mid week period of northwest flow and storm chances. After the 19th then it looks like we'll be in store for the first real establishment of the "ridge o death" with the jetstream going mostly zonal over the northern US. Though another west coast trough may form as well that will mush the ridge down by the end of the month.

We'll see. I'll have no problem with my last Oklahoma summer being not as hot as past ones. :)

Wait, hold it, did I miss something?!? You leaving, Dave?

venture
07-07-2014, 01:08 PM
Wait, hold it, did I miss something?!? You leaving, Dave?

Ummm errr ahhh...hey look a squirrel! :)

Not to totally derail the thread, but indeed I am. However, I will always be around here like I am now. So that won't change. Just some opportunities arose that are going to allow us to move closer to my family and other friends back north. Still a few months out (house isn't on the market yet), but the countdown clock is ticking.

PennyQuilts
07-07-2014, 04:33 PM
Ummm errr ahhh...hey look a squirrel! :)

Not to totally derail the thread, but indeed I am. However, I will always be around here like I am now. So that won't change. Just some opportunities arose that are going to allow us to move closer to my family and other friends back north. Still a few months out (house isn't on the market yet), but the countdown clock is ticking.
We will miss you and please don't forget us but I am so very happy and excited for you! If it isn't a secret - what part of up north is home?

Plutonic Panda
07-07-2014, 04:49 PM
Im sending you a one way ticket to Vegas then..............But please no gambling.can I at least get some hookers then? Maybe a trip to the M&M factory ;)

Plutonic Panda
07-07-2014, 04:53 PM
Silence! :-P

Anywho. Looking at the GFS tonight. Ridge breaks down and moves back west as a trough continues to did down for rain chances the middle of this week. Ridge then builds back in by Friday but then get squished back to the SW US by early next week. We then enter another mid week period of northwest flow and storm chances. After the 19th then it looks like we'll be in store for the first real establishment of the "ridge o death" with the jetstream going mostly zonal over the northern US. Though another west coast trough may form as well that will mush the ridge down by the end of the month.

We'll see. I'll have no problem with my last Oklahoma summer being not as hot as past ones. :)haha.... I hear you. Good luck moving back north. I am moving to L.A. early next year... I've been scouting a few areas, but nothing set in stone yet. I want to live more in a desert area... but the location and traffic will be an issue with that.

Achilleslastand
07-07-2014, 05:35 PM
can I at least get some hookers then? Maybe a trip to the M&M factory ;)

O heck ya....
A trip to Glitter Gulch and Hoover Dam will be included.

venture
07-09-2014, 02:07 AM
Band of storms erupting over much of the state from NW through C into SE OK. Heavy rain, gusty winds, and small hail the main threats.

Achilleslastand
07-09-2014, 02:34 AM
Nice bit of rain here in NW sides of the metro.

Anonymous.
07-09-2014, 08:13 AM
3+ inches over most of OKC area. Nice little pickup for July.

OkieHornet
07-09-2014, 09:03 AM
what's the outlook for the rest of the day/evening?

with the senior open going on and a willie nelson concert at the zoo, lots of people will be outside today/tonight.

Hollywood
07-09-2014, 09:27 AM
Even with the agony of poison ivy, that rain brought some of the best sleep I'd had in awhile. Up yours ridge of death.

PennyQuilts
07-09-2014, 09:28 AM
Even with the agony of poison ivy, that rain brought some of the best sleep I'd had in awhile. Up yours ridge of death.

My sympathies on the poison ivy. Up yours to that, too!

Bunty
07-09-2014, 09:35 AM
Last night's rain provided quite another stand out example how Oklahoma City doesn't get bypassed when a storm system decides to act up. Some places picked up around 3 or 4 inches:

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.24hour-rainrfc_front580.png

venture
07-09-2014, 11:22 AM
Unfortunately it looks like the rain is coming to an end. Most of it is south of I-40 now. Slight chances for more rain tonight, but best chances will be NE of of the metro area.

bchris02
07-09-2014, 11:44 AM
OKC pretty much picked up its entire July average in one night.

ljbab728
07-09-2014, 09:33 PM
Now I'm seeing reports of any even stronger cold front coming in next week with the possibility of more substantial rain. Can't beat that for the middle of July. :)

venture
07-09-2014, 09:45 PM
Now I'm seeing reports of any even stronger cold front coming in next week with the possibility of more substantial rain. Can't beat that for the middle of July. :)

GFS maintaining the trend of us being in the 70s middle of next week.

Plutonic Panda
07-09-2014, 10:07 PM
Venture, is there any reason why this type of weather is happening? It seems our weather has been really weird here lately.

bchris02
07-09-2014, 10:15 PM
KFOR is predicting a high of 73 next Wednesday. That will feel almost chilly for this time of year.

ljbab728
07-09-2014, 10:17 PM
Venture, is there any reason why this type of weather is happening? It seems our weather has been really weird here lately.

Because it's Oklahoma, plupan. Our weather is always weird. And remember, we got a fair amount of rain last summer also.

John1744
07-09-2014, 10:20 PM
We just happen to be in that sweet spot of the country that gets so many systems interacting with it.

venture
07-09-2014, 10:37 PM
Venture, is there any reason why this type of weather is happening? It seems our weather has been really weird here lately.

Pattern is going to be a little wonky this year. I would imagine some of it has to do with El Nino effecting things slightly. Getting these fronts surviving this far south, in July, usually doesn't happen.

bchris02
07-09-2014, 10:49 PM
Yeah, that's what I was thinking. El Nino usually means a cooler, wetter summer for the Southern Plains. Much better than La Nina, which was responsible for the summers of 2011 and 2012.

venture
07-10-2014, 12:48 AM
Some rain and storms starting to develop in NW OK and will be moving SE over night. We'll see how widespread things get.

venture
07-10-2014, 03:51 AM
Some images from the GFS run this evening...

The Death Ridge killer Sunday Morning over Central Canada.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-july/GFS_3_2014071000_F78_WSPD_300_MB.png

By Tuesday AM the Ridge is pretty much pushed well into the SW US...

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-july/GFS_3_2014071000_F132_WSPD_300_MB.png

Through the end of the month will be kept mostly over the Four Corners region.

Next Week's precip chances start Tuesday early as the front pushed through the entire state. Wednesday looks mostly dry, but some isolated storms around. Stronger wave moves through on Thursday with more storms and continues into Friday. So it does look the typical July won't happen this year. A couple really hot days coming up and cooler weather.

Anonymous.
07-10-2014, 08:32 AM
Looks like we could be keeping things green through July if next week comes through as forecast.

Hopefully August and September don't roast us out for a grand finalee. It would be nice to have some moisture leftover heading into winter this year.

OKCisOK4me
07-10-2014, 01:49 PM
Yeah, that's what I was thinking. El Nino usually means a cooler, wetter summer for the Southern Plains. Much better than La Nina, which was responsible for the summers of 2011 and 2012.
Yeah, I'll take the bills over the batch (swap the vowels) anytime when it comes to Oklahoma summers!

Bunty
07-10-2014, 02:16 PM
Today is Tulsa's turn at having a downpour as heavy rain has been going through there. From the web cams at http://stillwaterweather.com, you can see the sharp contrast between downtown OKC and Tulsa, if weather conditions are still prevailing.

Achilleslastand
07-10-2014, 02:43 PM
Today is Tulsa's turn at having a downpour as heavy rain has been going through there. From the web cams at Stillwater Weather - Current Conditions, Forecasts and Alerts (http://stillwaterweather.com), you can see the sharp contrast between downtown OKC and Tulsa, if weather conditions are still prevailing.

Tulsa is sitting at 68 degrees with +2 inches of rainfall. I bet that feels pretty good.

Bunty
07-10-2014, 03:04 PM
KFOR is predicting a high of 73 next Wednesday. That will feel almost chilly for this time of year.

Poor man?s polar vortex to make shocking summer return in eastern U.S. next week (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/07/10/poor-mans-polar-vortex-to-make-shocking-summer-return-in-eastern-u-s-next-week/)

RadicalModerate
07-10-2014, 11:58 PM
After surviving driving through absolutely the worst rain ever just south of Kansas City, a little over a week ago, and feeling moved to get out of harm's way by trying to follow the white line defining the Interstate roadway upon which we were traveling into a sheltered area provided by a fuel stop in Belton, MO, then accessing the Internet link to the local weather radar, and refueling at the same time while waiting for the storm to pass it was obvious that we were in the exact--purple on the radar--center of the storm.

We ran into some other weather flurries, on the highway, on up into Iowa that continued all the way to Albert Lea, MN.
Bad as some of them were, they didn't hold a candle to that Missouri rainstorm.

Up Nord, the temperatures started in the high 50's early in the morning and rose to the high 70's and low 80's during the day.
The locals were complaining how hot it was. I simply smiled. =)

I guess the question is: Will the lawn be dry enough to mow tomorrow in order to fit it into my busy, post-vacation. schedule?
(and the other part of the question might be: is all of the "wastewater" being pumped into the ground, perhaps causing these pesky earthquakes, also sending a signal somewhere that causes all the rain to appear where they don't need it? =)

Sure hope the "Poor Man'?s" Polar Vortex Don't Fail t' Arrive, Posthaste . . . =)

(so as to not take any of the above verbiage in the wrong way: this thread and Accuweather are my primary sources regarding things over which we have no control except in terms of how we respond to conditions.)

educator1953
07-11-2014, 06:33 PM
So...this rain event that KFOR Channel 4 is touting for next week on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday....will this be a statewide rain event or is it mainly going to hit the center part of the state? I'm just wondering if the rain will be coming down here to Duncan.

Our town's "World's Largest Garage Sale" is scheduled for next Friday and Saturday (July 18-19), and I'm having a sale at my house. Since three families will be selling their stuff in my garage and on my driveway, I'm wondering about the weather.

venture
07-11-2014, 07:12 PM
Through Thursday...

http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GFS/18/SGP/gfsSGP_sfc_precacc_153.gif

educator1953
07-11-2014, 07:26 PM
Thank you, Venture!

Anonymous.
07-13-2014, 03:33 PM
generic showers and storms firing along the front draped across OK right now. Western OK into C OK. This line may continue to fire off garden variety storms, main threat will be heavy rain.

Uncle Slayton
07-13-2014, 05:03 PM
What's the latest model data show for the rain event mid-week, guys?

Bunty
07-13-2014, 07:14 PM
Photo, as of 7pm, of severe thunderstorm bypassing OSU-Stillwater. No storm soon for OKC, but that could change as conditions develop.

http://stillwaterweather.com/photos/stormbypassstw.jpg

venture
07-13-2014, 07:52 PM
Quick radar grab...but there are a few boundaries out there. I'm sure I missed a few. LOL

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-july/13-1.png

venture
07-14-2014, 12:32 PM
Today is same as yesterday...scattered storms with isolated severe winds and hail.

Forecast rain fall totals for the next few days...NAM likes NE OK, GFS like South Central OK...

http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/NAM/12/SGP/namSGP_sfc_precacc_084.gif

http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GFS/12/SGP/gfsSGP_sfc_precacc_084.gif

Roger S
07-14-2014, 12:40 PM
Forecast rain fall totals for the next few days...NAM likes NE OK, GFS like South Central OK...



GO GFS!!!! My pond in Carter County is still about 10 feet low!!!!!

venture
07-14-2014, 03:54 PM
Storm going up in Norman right now will cause some isolated flash flooding as it ramps up due to moving very slowly or not at all.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-july/14-1.png

Bunty
07-14-2014, 06:24 PM
A gust front, probably really the cold front, has come through Stillwater with a nice 10 degree drop from the 94 degree high, but already the storms in the north part of the state are weakening.

venture
07-14-2014, 09:27 PM
New storm firing up pretty quick over East Norman near the lake.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/2014-july/14-2.png

dmoor82
07-14-2014, 09:30 PM
^^^ pretty good lightning show here in MWC looking South!

venture
07-14-2014, 09:37 PM
Storm is collapsing already, good outflow ring spreading out from it now.

LocoAko
07-14-2014, 10:13 PM
Really lovely just to hear rumbling thunder in the air. Had some good lightning with it for a while, too, and a decent downburst signature, at least on radar. :P

https://fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpa1/t1.0-9/10475835_10152976578528776_698150501180181506_n.jp g

bchris02
07-14-2014, 11:17 PM
The 7-day forecast this week looks more like the first week of October than it does mid-July. I might need to break out my hoodie on Thursday.

http://cache.ltvcms.com/kfor/weather/7dayx314.jpg

Anonymous.
07-15-2014, 08:18 AM
Next few days:

3-5 inches of much of OK.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

John1744
07-15-2014, 02:54 PM
Is this looking pretty likely seeing as it's only a day or two out? I remember seeing hopeful patterns like this last month and they'd kind of fall apart or 3-5" would turn into .5-1".

Anonymous.
07-15-2014, 03:01 PM
I would say it is likely someone is going to get 3-5 inches, but there is still uncertainty in storm track.

NAM still favoring NE OK.
Latest GFS slams the southern 2/3 of OK, with just south of I-40 corridor being bullseye.

I am just looking forward to not having to run AC the next couple days.

ljbab728
07-15-2014, 09:13 PM
Now I'm hearing about the possibility of more rain into the middle of next week with below normal temps.