Perfect rain the last handful of days for most of the drought covered areas in TX and OK.

GFS can't decide if it is going to stall this low out again over AR, keeping eastern half of OK in pop-up showers/storms mode the next several days or not. With how this low has been crawling along, I would not be surprised.

Looks like we keep this unsettled pattern with below average temperatures for the first half of June!

Yeah it should go away. Looking at the 12-hour rainfall totals the big number stations there all got more than a quarter inch of rain today. Norman (50 days) is at 0.29", Shawnee (61 days) is at 0.37", and Chandler (49) is at 0.55".

It's still raining moderately heavily in NW OKC, and has pretty much all day. This is one heck of a soaker.

Hard to find central plain's tornado alley on this map so far this year.

OKC area has only had a single tornado watch so far this year. Zero so far for TX panhandle and most of KS.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2014_torww_to_date.png

I thought I saw a tornado forming on my way back from Arkansas yesterday. It was near the Muskogee area. There was a definite wall cloud and a funnel tried to come down but didn't reach the ground.

It's still raining moderately heavily in NW OKC, and has pretty much all day. This is one heck of a soaker.

But certainly not so in Stillwater, where it's getting bypassed by significant rain as usual during this rainy period. Just sprinkles to light rain, so far, this afternoon. The rainy wrap around effect from the low is drying out to some extent as it approaches Stillwater. But then once it curls back to OKC it's about finished drying up.

Meanwhile, if you hear a rumbling noise in Stillwater, it's more likely coming from an earthquake, rather than distant thunder.

http://www.stillwaterweather.com/wxgraphic.php?type=banner_big (http://www.stillwaterweather.com/)
Click for more local Stillwater weather.

Updated the archive. May 27th is actually our biggest tornado day of the month. Neither were warned, no watches, and no severe outlook that day. :)

Comanche County was rated an EF0 and was just a landspout. Le Flore County out east was rated an EF1. The survey results are in the Archive thread.

So what kind of June do you think we will have? Are there any classic dryline severe setups on the horizon or will we be looking at NW flow storms?

So what kind of June do you think we will have? Are there any classic dryline severe setups on the horizon or will we be looking at NW flow storms?

Neither for at least the first week. Dryline doesn't really get re-established in NM/TX until the 2nd week of June as it looks. We are going to be a mostly flat upper air pattern for awhile. Ridge will move east though over the weekend putting us in a zonal pattern of sorts. Trough develops over the Western US but loses much of its punch as a storm system over the Pac NW cuts off and just spins there. Looks like a deeper trough moves in by mid month - but that is a far way out.

Period I'm watching is next weekend (not this coming one) into the first part of the week. Could get some decent rain back in here and some chances at severe weather. We are going to heat up through, with temps in the upper 80s and 90s through most of the two weeks. The good news though, the death ridge doesn't appear yet so the extreme heat isn't in sight. Moisture should stick around for awhile as well, which means it'll be pretty humid as we warm up.

Just as long as we don't have another 100 days of 100 degrees. That wasn't fun.