View Full Version : General Weather Discussion - March 2014



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Bunty
03-02-2014, 01:03 PM
It's now more like freezing rain in Stillwater as of 2PM with streets starting to get a solid white coat of it. No thunder.

educator1953
03-02-2014, 01:03 PM
We are having heavy sleet right now in Duncan, Oklahoma. It's still thundering, too.

venture
03-02-2014, 01:13 PM
WSW Extended...

MURRAY-COAL-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SULPHUR...COALGATE...ARDMORE...
TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...MADILL...DURANT
209 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014


...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT.


* TIMING: MODERATE TO HEAVY SLEET AND LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. OCCASIONAL LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.


* MAIN IMPACTS: SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF INCH TO ONE INCH
ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND THUNDERSTORMS.


* OTHER IMPACTS: ALONG WITH THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION... GUSTY
NORTH WINDS WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO DURING THROUGH
TONIGHT.

Bunty
03-02-2014, 01:16 PM
WIND CHILL ADVISORY:

Updated: Sun Mar-02-14 02:09pm CST
Effective: Sun Mar-02-14 02:09pm CST
Expires: Mon Mar-03-14 10:00am CST

Severity: Minor
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Likely

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met

Areas affected: Beckham; Blaine; Caddo; Canadian; Cleveland; Comanche; Custer; Garvin; Grady; Greer; Harmon; Jackson; Kingfisher; Kiowa; Lincoln; Logan; McClain; Noble; Oklahoma; Payne; Pottawatomie; Roger Mills; Was hita

Instructions: Be careful if you have to travel. Even small amounts of ice and snow can make roads and sidewalks slick and dangerous. If you have to be outside dress in layers and leave no skin exposed to the wind. Frostbite and hypothermia can happen quickly.

Message summary: ...winter weather advisory remains in effect until midnight cst tonight...
...wind chill advisory in effect from midnight tonight to 10 am cst monday...
The national weather service in norman has issued a wind chill advisory...which is in effect from midnight tonight to 10 am cst monday. A winter weather advisory remains in effect until midnight cst tonight.
* main impact: periods of freezing drizzle and light freezing rain...sleet and snow will continue to affect southern and central oklahoma...and western north texas. A light glaze of ice and sleet with snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches will be possible. This wintry precipitation will result in extremely hazardous driving conditions across the area. Avoid travel if possible.
* other impacts: along with the wintry precipitation... Gusty north winds will create wind chills below zero during the day today. As temperatures continue to fall tonight...wind chills between 5 and 10 degrees below zero will be common. Wear extra layers to protect from frostbite.

venture
03-02-2014, 01:41 PM
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/Loop/southplains_loop.gif

Looks like hints of a dry slot developing in far SW OK moving up I-44 ahead of the wrap around.

Bunty
03-02-2014, 02:13 PM
Freezing rain in Stillwater turned to snow and soon lightened up.

Anonymous.
03-02-2014, 02:55 PM
Snow spreading east on I40 near Clinton.

Hard to tell where the heavy cut off will be in terms of dragging over the OKC area or just north of it.

Dennis Heaton
03-02-2014, 03:04 PM
Ref: Snownado....Even I saw what looked like a hook echo, which leads me to ask, "Has there ever been anything like a snownado?"

venture
03-02-2014, 03:12 PM
Snow spreading east on I40 near Clinton.

Hard to tell where the heavy cut off will be in terms of dragging over the OKC area or just north of it.

Yeah...it looks like it could straddle 40 pretty good for the heavier snow cut off. That doesn't mean south of I-40 is done at all. Snow is building further south right now.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/mar14/2-6.png

Bunty
03-02-2014, 03:13 PM
On radar, it looks like a dry slot is going through central Oklahoma, but may be replaced by more development to the west.

PennyQuilts
03-02-2014, 03:19 PM
Ref: Snownado....Even I saw what looked like a hook echo, which leads me to ask, "Has there ever been anything like a snownado?"

Snownado - AccuWeather.com (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/video-snownado/1292737462001)

bchris02
03-02-2014, 03:23 PM
I was just about to post the same. This is worse than any of those storms that had the WSW 3-4 weeks ago.

Agreed. I would say this is probably the worst winter storm we've seen yet this year.

mugofbeer
03-02-2014, 04:35 PM
Glad to see you're getting some sort of precip. I hear its been incredibly dry this winter.

OKCDrummer77
03-02-2014, 04:48 PM
Ref: Snownado....Even I saw what looked like a hook echo, which leads me to ask, "Has there ever been anything like a snownado?"

This morning, I saw some snow spinning up in what appeared to be a "dust devil". I don't know how exactly dust devils relate to real tornadoes (EF-.0001 maybe?), but the term snownado crossed my mind when I saw it.

venture
03-02-2014, 04:54 PM
Area of heavy snow/sleet in the wrap around looks like it will lay a direct hit on the metro unless it starts to really pull north. This will only last a couple hours once it gets here, but we could pick up a quick inch or two of snow from it.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/mar14/2-7.png

Easy180
03-02-2014, 04:59 PM
Good ^ better traction tomorrow morning :wink:

Decious
03-02-2014, 06:34 PM
Heavy snow here in Edmond now. We turned the lights on in the front of the house to get a better visual.... and my 3 year old daughter asked me if Santa was coming back tonight. Lol!

foodiefan
03-02-2014, 06:54 PM
coming down here pretty good. . .NW 36th/Ann Arbor/Meridian

sacolton
03-02-2014, 08:16 PM
Yay! State Offices closed tomorrow!!!

bchris02
03-02-2014, 08:21 PM
So what does long-range look like? According to KFOR, the 7-day forecast looks like early January, not March. Are we looking at another late spring like last year with continuing below normal temperatures?

venture
03-02-2014, 08:26 PM
Looks by Friday we should start warming back up.

Plutonic Panda
03-02-2014, 10:02 PM
Snownado - AccuWeather.com (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/video-snownado/1292737462001)That's kind of cool, but I hoped to see something more destructive and life threatening. Has there ever been something equivalent to an F-3 in snowing conditions?

venture
03-03-2014, 12:10 AM
That's kind of cool, but I hoped to see something more destructive and life threatening. Has there ever been something equivalent to an F-3 in snowing conditions?

You hoped? :doh:

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 01:53 AM
Well, yeah..... not that I want to see anyone die or get hurt, but I just think a powerful snow tornado would be neat to see.

bandnerd
03-03-2014, 07:33 AM
Well, yeah..... not that I want to see anyone die or get hurt, but I just think a powerful snow tornado would be neat to see.

I'm sure the ScyFy Channel will make a movie about that soon, and you can get your jollies that way, PP.

bchris02
03-03-2014, 07:38 AM
That's kind of cool, but I hoped to see something more destructive and life threatening. Has there ever been something equivalent to an F-3 in snowing conditions?

We will see plenty of them in April and in May. Let's enjoy placid weather while we still can.

Bunty
03-03-2014, 08:32 AM
In Stillwater, it snowed around 2 inches. The wind blew hard enough to not evenly distribute it, though.

http://stillwaterweather.com/images/snowmarch32014.jpg

jn1780
03-03-2014, 09:43 AM
I'm sure the ScyFy Channel will make a movie about that soon, and you can get your jollies that way, PP.

Thats the plot to Sharknado 3.

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 10:06 AM
We will see plenty of them in April and in May. Let's enjoy placid weather while we still can.I doubt we'll see a snow tornado in April and May; at least I hope we won't.

trousers
03-03-2014, 10:55 AM
Has anyone hit I-35 south? Have a friend contemplating driving back from Dallas.

ultimatesooner
03-03-2014, 03:13 PM
Well, yeah..... not that I want to see anyone die or get hurt, but I just think a powerful snow tornado would be neat to see.

I've always wanted to see a tornado hit a wildfire

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 04:12 PM
I've always wanted to see a tornado hit a wildfire

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2173580ju0

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 04:13 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cGvTgYyANy8

PennyQuilts
03-03-2014, 04:19 PM
Mercy!!

venture
03-03-2014, 05:39 PM
Fire devils are pretty common to form with wild fires. They aren't really tornadoes in the same sense though.

Easy180
03-03-2014, 07:28 PM
Ok what the crap is up with Wednesday? Some talking freezing rain

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 07:32 PM
Polar vortex may prove to be a powerful pesticide » Local News » The Edmond Sun (http://www.edmondsun.com/local/x1783699603/Polar-vortex-may-prove-to-be-a-powerful-pesticide)

bchris02
03-03-2014, 07:41 PM
It looks like another round of snow may be possible Wednesday and another major winter storm in store for this next weekend.

Plutonic Panda
03-03-2014, 07:51 PM
here is another weather related story by the Edmond Sun about this winter.

Agency: 2014 winter is 12th coldest on record » Local News » The Edmond Sun (http://www.edmondsun.com/local/x1783699832/Agency-2014-winter-is-12th-coldest-on-record)

PennyQuilts
03-03-2014, 07:52 PM
it looks like another round of snow may be possible wednesday and another major winter storm in store for this next weekend.

you lie!!!

ultimatesooner
03-04-2014, 07:52 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cGvTgYyANy8

perfect, those firefighters look like they want no part of that

venture
03-04-2014, 09:45 AM
Ok what the crap is up with Wednesday? Some talking freezing rain

Snow for tomorrow looks pretty low. Maybe an inch for some, but the system runs out of juice when it gets to 35.


It looks like another round of snow may be possible Wednesday and another major winter storm in store for this next weekend.

Morning models keep us too warm for weekend's system. Unless some more cold air builds in, should be rain for most of us.

Of Sound Mind
03-04-2014, 09:46 AM
Snow for tomorrow looks pretty low. Maybe an inch for some, but the system runs out of juice when it gets to 35.



Morning models keep us too warm for weekend's system. Unless some more cold air builds in, should be rain for most of us.

Best news I've heard all morning!

Anonymous.
03-04-2014, 09:55 AM
GFS a little more bullish on snow for tomorow eve. Looks like bullseye in NW OK, showing close to 4 inches. Basically going to depend on banding.

Agree with V about this weekend's system. Looks like rain.

Bunty
03-04-2014, 02:41 PM
Since today's highs have surpassed the forecasted ones, I'll take that as a good sign there won't be much frozen precip Wednesday in the OKC area. It will be all or mostly liquid. I'll be watching to see if my hunch is right.

Easy180
03-04-2014, 04:30 PM
Since today's highs have surpassed the forecasted ones, I'll take that as a good sign there won't be much frozen precip Wednesday in the OKC area. It will be all or mostly liquid. I'll be watching to see if my hunch is right.

Some of the by the hours have winter precip with temps slightly above freezing so hopefully just some slush to deal with if we get any

yukong
03-04-2014, 05:01 PM
I hope this is the surprise storm that dumps several inches. I love snow and cold. Yeah, I'm crazy I guess. I don't like summers and heat.

LakeEffect
03-05-2014, 09:41 AM
I need my OKC Talk weather fix for today/tonight's system. :)

venture
03-05-2014, 10:10 AM
I need my OKC Talk weather fix for today/tonight's system. :)

It's going to be pretty border line for here. NAM takes most moisture south, giving us a dusting to an inch. GFS has a northern path giving us a couple inches at the most. Well, that is if this will all be snow. Forecast soundings indicate a very borderline rain/snow environment where it could go either way. Surface temps will probably be above freezing so it won't stick all that well until temps fall - but at that time it might be too late.

Of Sound Mind
03-05-2014, 11:12 AM
it's going to be pretty border line for here. Nam takes most moisture south, giving us a dusting to an inch. Gfs has a northern path giving us a couple inches at the most. Well, that is if this will all be snow. Forecast soundings indicate a very borderline rain/snow environment where it could go either way. Surface temps will probably be above freezing so it won't stick all that well until temps fall - but at that time it might be too late.
perfect!

BG918
03-05-2014, 11:53 AM
I hope this is the surprise storm that dumps several inches. I love snow and cold. Yeah, I'm crazy I guess. I don't like summers and heat.

Then do you live somewhere else in the summer? If there's one constant with Oklahoma weather it's that it will be hot and humid during the summer, usually for several months straight.

yukong
03-05-2014, 11:56 AM
I wish...but not something I can pull off at this time. Hopefully someday I will be able to afford such.

Anonymous.
03-06-2014, 10:07 AM
Saturday's system is going to be another fine line between snow and rain.

NAM has it as snow and puts up to 5-8" just north of I44 corridor.

GFS keeps rain.

Bunty
03-06-2014, 12:36 PM
Hydrologic Outlook:

Updated: Fri Mar-07-14 01:24pm CST
Effective: Fri Mar-07-14 01:24pm CST
Expires: Fri Mar-07-14 06:00am CST

Severity: Unknown
Urgency: Future
Certainty: Possible

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Alfalfa; Atoka; Beckham; Blaine; Bryan; Caddo; Canadian; Carter; Cleveland; Coal; Comanche; Cotton; Custer; Dewey; Ellis; Garfield; Garvin; Grady; Grant; Greer; Harmon; Harper; Hughes; Jackson; Jefferson; Johnston; Kay; Kingfisher; Kiowa; Lincoln; Logan; Love; Major; Marshall; McClain; Murray; Noble; Oklahoma; Payne; Pontotoc; Pottawatomie; Roger Mills; Seminole; Stephens; Tillman; Was hita; Woods; Woodward

Message summary: ...spring flood outlook...

The potential for flood conditions in western/central oklahoma and western north texas will be below normal this spring. Flooding in the region usually occurs in response to specific precipitation events. Many current hydrologic indicators reflect the long-term drought that has gripped the southern plains for several years. Precipitation totals for the last 90 days are well below normal across most of western/central oklahoma and western north texas. Most of the region has received around 25 to 50 percent of average precipitation since the beginning of december. Areas in the west central part of the oklahoma along the texas border have received less than 25 percent of average. The climate prediction center /cpc/ outlook for the spring /mar-apr- may/ calls for equal chances of above-normal... Below-normal... And near-normal temperatures and precipitation across oklahoma and western north texas. According to the cpc... Soil moisture across western/central oklahoma and western north texas is currently reflecting the long term drought conditions that have dominated the region. Most of the area is between the 10th and 30th percentiles of historical conditions... Although a small area in southwestern oklahoma and western north texas is experiencing less than the 10th percentile of historical conditions. According to the u.s. Geological survey... Streams and rivers are running at normal levels in central oklahoma... With below-normal levels occurring across western oklahoma and western north texas. The red river is experiencing extremely low flows that are below the 10th percentile of long term data for this time of year. The rivers in central oklahoma are approximating more normal streamflows for this time of year. Reservoir storage in oklahoma and western north texas is well below conservation storage according to the u.s. Army corps of engineers. In the aggregate...the reservoirs in the arkansas river basin have 104 percent of their flood control storage available at this time while reservoirs in the red river basin have 117 percent of their flood control. Some reservoirs in western north texas have 170-175 percent of their designed flood control storage available. The u.s. Drought monitor of march 4th indicates that most areas in western oklahoma and western north texas are experiencing severe to exceptional drought conditions. Exceptional drought conditions were affecting portions of harmon...jackson...and tillman counties in southwestern oklahoma. Exceptional drought conditions were also occurring in wichita...wilbarger...foard...archer...and clay counties in western north texas. Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions were occurring across the remainder of the region. The cpc u.s. Seasonal drought outlook of february 20th indicates that drought conditions will persist or intensify in western oklahoma and western north texas over the next 3 months.

Anonymous.
03-06-2014, 03:21 PM
New NAM further north with snow track for Saturday. But it is heavier on amounts. Showing 10+ inches of wet snow in NW-NC OK.

woodyrr
03-07-2014, 06:49 AM
If you use the mPING app to report precipitation conditions, today, Friday, March 7 is test day.

They would like to get an idea of the coverage of this crowd sourced data.

Information about the test:

Mesonet | mPING Test Day (http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/forecast/graphicast_map/oun/mPING%20Test%20Day)

Information about the mPING project and the mPING smartphone app:

mPING Project (http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/ping/)

OKCisOK4me
03-07-2014, 07:03 AM
I downloaded. WTH, I'll need something to do in the morning when I wake up for no reason.

Anonymous.
03-07-2014, 07:31 AM
NAM puts heaviest (8")just along OK/KS border favoring SE KS.

GFS latching onto idea of it being cold enough for some snow, puts trace to 1" generally N 1/3 of OK.

WRF puts general 3-5" with heaviest favoring northern edge of N 1/2 of OK.

GEM is similar to GFS.

ou48A
03-07-2014, 10:44 AM
This will be great for the OK / KS wheat crop.

Achilleslastand
03-07-2014, 11:09 AM
I was going to lay down some pre-emergent this afternoon, what and how much moisture is forecasted for the metro?