http://static.ow.ly/photos/original/45EIK.jpg

Already further south than the one NWS Norman posted 3 hours ago on their Twitter feed.

I just feel like quoting this. This was posted less than 24 hours ago. This is how volatile this storm is and can still be.

Lol. I was going to quote myself. Great job, you were right on!

18Z HRRR showing precip at 1am. This will be falling into sub-freezing air in the metro.

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2013122018/t5/1ref_t5sfc_f13.png

Lol. I was going to quote myself. Great job, you were right on!

Looks like this is shaping up to be a serious storm. Just looking at the radar and I see ice mix down to Wichita Falls. Heavy stuff moving into the state heading right for OKC. I can already see this is not gonna be rain in OKC unless the temps start shooting up. Afraid everything will be iced up by morning.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2013/mcd2089.gif
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2089
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 202132Z - 210330Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE I-44
CORRIDOR THIS EVENING. MODERATE FREEZING RAIN RATES...APPROACHING
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR...WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...DEEPENING PLUME OF ASCENT/MOISTENING IS SPREADING
ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION IS
INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY WITHIN A SHARPENING WARM
CONVEYOR ACROSS FAR WEST TX INTO SRN OK. THIS BROADENING CORRIDOR
OF RAIN WILL SOON SPREAD ATOP A VERY SHALLOW COLD DOME OF POLAR AIR
CHARACTERIZED BY SFC TEMPERATURES AOB FREEZING...MAINLY NORTH OF THE
RED RIVER. WITH BOUNDARY LAYER COLD ADVECTION EXPECTED TO PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING HOURS IT APPEARS SFC READINGS WILL HOLD BELOW
FREEZING THROUGH MUCH/ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION EVENT.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT PRECIP RATES
COULD EASILY RANGE FROM 0.05-0.10 INCH/HOUR WHICH COMBINED WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S SHOULD EASILY CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE
ICING ON EXPOSED ELEVATED SURFACES. BY 06Z STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL
SPREAD INTO THIS REGION ALOFT WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN HEAVIER
CONVECTIVE CORES AND POSSIBLY ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT
ICING IS POSSIBLE.

..DARROW.. 12/20/2013


ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

Looks like this is shaping up to be a serious storm. Just looking at the radar and I see ice mix down to Wichita Falls. Heavy stuff moving into the state heading right for OKC. I can already see this is not gonna be rain in OKC unless the temps start shooting up. Afraid everything will be iced up by morning.
It was good that earlier this week Stillwater had a contractor out trimming trees growing into power lines, like the Bradford pear trees that line part of the east edge of Boomer Lake Park. It was dumb to plant trees under power lines in the first place, assuming power lines came first. Stillwater can probably handle an ice storm, as long as it doesn't get too remarkably heavy. But neighboring little towns and rural areas likely can't, so I hope the people there are prepared for long power outages just in case.

on nws and local tv met webpages i'm seeing high temps for sat/sun above freezing, though. is that wishful thinking on their part?

5523

Dang, that's stinking funny. Major props. :yourock:

There's talk of 1 inch to 1.5 inches of ice tomorrow! HOLY COW!

on nws and local tv met webpages i'm seeing high temps for sat/sun above freezing, though. is that wishful thinking on their part?

OThers can correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the high may be above freezing for Sat, but its only supposed to get that high for a very brief time before dropping back below freezing - combined with all the evaporative cooling going on, the temp either won't matter much or will allow stuff to just slightly melt before re-freezing.

There's talk of 1 inch to 1.5 inches of ice tomorrow! HOLY COW!

Don't know if everyone exactly realizes just how bad an extensive layer of 1" ice can be. I mean, that's just ugly.

Don't know if everyone exactly realizes just how bad an extensive layer of 1" ice can be. I mean, that's just ugly.



https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bb8HZStIgAA0QxI.png:large

It starts getting bad at 1 inch, but the wind shouldn't be that bad.

It starts getting bad at 1 inch, but the wind shouldn't be that bad.

If we get an inch+ of ice then there will be many people without elec. and that is just not good,esp. for the elderly. Roads will be impossible to drive on safely or at all. City shuts down. Stores close. Limbs break off caving in roofs of houses ,cars or whatever else happens to be under them. Pretty much wide spread destruction.Sounds of generators running throughout the neighborhoods and extension cords running everywhere.Not to mention MM going crazy on TV and that's if you can even watch tv.

Lets not panic.
Pray for snow.

Back finally, will be in the chat room for the rest of the evening/overnight (until I pass out).

Norman has a light glaze on everything elevated now (trees and such) but roads are still just wet.

Are they still expecting an inch in the metro area? All reports I am seeing is northwest Oklahoma will get it worse.

Actually Mike Morgan just said the bullseye is OKC and this will be a storm we remember for a long time with widespread, lengthy power outages.

I'm happy to report, Walmart in East Norman has bread still. ;)

A lot of water coming this way. Lawton - Chickasha - Norman is going to get pretty ugly based on this.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/dec13/20-1.png

Actually Mike Morgan just said the bullseye is OKC and this will be a storm we remember for a long time with widespread, lengthy power outages.

Good lord, is the Oklahoma City area ever going to get bypassed by this major storms?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oun/graphicast/image6.jpg

Good lord, is the Oklahoma City area ever going to get bypassed by this major storms?

Major difference between Channel 4 and Channel 5 concerning this storm. Channel 5 is predicting over a half inch, while Mike Morgan is saying around 1.25".

Actually Mike Morgan just said the bullseye is OKC and this will be a storm we remember for a long time with widespread, lengthy power outages.

At least he's not telling people to leave town.

Yet.

15 car pileup at the Dallas junction

At least he's not telling people to leave town.

Yet.

Go west young man!

I do tend to think MM will be closer with his prediction on this storm.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/dec13/20-4.png

We were gifted with two weeks worth of survival gear, for two, including MRE's. It's in our cellar along with several gallons of water, some empty coffee cans to pee in. With the wood burning stove, we will be okay in the house. We have a generator which I hope we never have to use! Electric company is CREC, who restored of service after about 21 hours in 2002. Toodles, all.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2013/mcd2091.gif
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2091
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0818 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013


AREAS AFFECTED...THE I-44 CORRIDOR IN OK/MO


CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN


VALID 210218Z - 210815Z


SUMMARY...THE STRONGEST ASCENT AND GREATER PRECIPITATION RATES WILL
SPREAD NEWD FROM NW TX TO CENTRAL OK THROUGH 06Z...REACHING CENTRAL
MO BY 09-12Z. FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.10-0.20 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED SURFACES.


DISCUSSION...FREEZING RAIN IS ONGOING ALONG THE I-44 CORRIDOR IN
OK...WHILE THE ZONE OF STRONGER ASCENT REMAINS OVER W CENTRAL/NW TX.
WAA AND FRONTOGENESIS IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER...AS WELL AS ENHANCED
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH A COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE...WILL DEVELOP
NEWD AND RESULT IN STRENGTHENING ASCENT FROM SW TO NE ALONG THE I-44
CORRIDOR INTO CENTRAL OK THROUGH 06Z...REACHING SW AND CENTRAL MO
FROM 09-12Z. WET BULB COOLING WILL MAINTAIN A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING
BOUNDARY LAYER /SAMPLED BY 00Z OUN AND SGF SOUNDING/ ACROSS MOST OF
OK AND THE ADJACENT RED RIVER COUNTIES OF EXTREME NW/N CENTRAL TX.
A ROUGHLY 500 M DEEP SURFACE LAYER WITH TEMPERATURES OF 28-31 F AND
A WARM NOSE OF 8-10 C NEAR 850 MB WILL FAVOR FREEZING RAIN AND
SUBSTANTIAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS AS PRECIPITATION RATES INCREASE TO
0.10-0.20 INCHES PER HOUR FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. THE
GREATEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ON ELEVATED SURFACES GIVEN
RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES FROM THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS.


..THOMPSON.. 12/21/2013

Quick shout out to thank Pete for the support and our new home...and to everyone else that comes here for information. :)

My pleasure... Really appreciate how much you guys put into sharing this information.

Wiki functions not yet working in this forum but we'll get that going soon and it should make it easier to organize and share.

My pleasure... Really appreciate how much you guys put into sharing this information.

Wiki functions not yet working in this forum but we'll get that going soon and it should make it easier to organize and share.

I like watching the local news for the normal daily forecast but when the weather looks to get rough this is the place to be.

This site is where the real Pros are

Looks like NW metro is getting the heaviest precip

Just made the journey from the Capitol (for a wedding) back to our home in east Moore. Roads are A-OK save for a few slick bridges. Needless to say my truck is caked in ice.

Something to keep an eye on -- precip is so heavy right now that temps at the surface appear to be on a very slow climb back toward the freezing mark (due to rain falling through much warmer air). Cold air advection is pretty much over so hopefully we can warm things up another 2 or 3 degrees to near or just above freezing.

Fyi... Cox has an outage where I am now, so the website isn't accessible right now. If you are in the chat already don't leave.

If we get an inch+ of ice then there will be many people without elec. and that is just not good,esp. for the elderly. Roads will be impossible to drive on safely or at all. City shuts down. Stores close. Limbs break off caving in roofs of houses ,cars or whatever else happens to be under them. Pretty much wide spread destruction.Sounds of generators running throughout the neighborhoods and extension cords running everywhere.Not to mention MM going crazy on TV and that's if you can even watch tv.

Lets not panic.
Pray for snow.

Mike Morgan panic and going crazy? NOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mike Morgan panic and going crazy? NOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Some on here have a Mike Morgan phobia attack that they just can't resist sometimes. :D

Ugh, just had a short power outage here in N Edmond.

Just a thought that might help if you hadn't already thought of this?

I bumped up my thermostat this morning to try and heat up my interior brick and tile along with turning down the temperature in my freezer and refrigerator... In the event of a power outage this should buy some time?

Cox is back up and running here, so the website is once again reachable. :)

As discussed earlier, surface temps are on the increase over Central OK. This could be a huge savior:

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.TAIR_03H.grad.png

If anyone is getting sleet right now, please try to report it through mPING, the chat room, or here.

Sidewalks still just look wet here in NW OKC.

We are up to 32 degrees...Wonder if we keep climbing a bit and avoid the rest of this piling up this morning??

My driveway and residential street is just wet. No ice at all. My trees and yard are caked in ice.

So much for Ice Armageddon. Just ran to the store this morning…… nada.

Funny how KFOR's website still has all their doom and gloom predictions that haven't been updated since 6:30 last night.

Glad it missed us, the wife was concerned because of all the tree limbs we'd probably lose in an ice event as big as they predicted.

So much for Ice Armageddon. Just ran to the store this morning…… nada.

Funny how KFOR's website still has all their doom and gloom predictions that haven't been updated since 6:30 last night.

Glad it missed us, the wife was concerned because of all the tree limbs we'd probably lose in an ice event as big as they predicted.

I'm glad it's not icemageddon, but it's still something. I just watched a car spin out up the street from my house. The real danger is the tree limb that's hanging about 4 feet low...right over my cable line!

Got to love TV weather coverage. Rick Sowder on 5 keeps pointing at an area of rain straight south of the city and saying/pointing how it's moving straight north and will be here shortly. All the time he's doing so the loop clearly shows the rain moving northeast, not straight north and on a track that misses OKC.

While it appears the surfaces around our house are generally OK, its clear there is considerable ice affecting trees and shrubs. I think we benefitted greatly from the lack of wind to blow those ice-covered limbs around and push around power cables, etc. I also think we benefitted from several days of warm temps that kept the non-elevated surfaces at or just above freezing.

Once I got the doors of the truck unfrozen and scraped enough of the 1/8"+ layer of ice off of the windshield and side windows to see enough to drive, the roads themselves weren't bad at all. Just wet.

Dang, I was hoping to get some shopping done today in peace

Good 0.75 to 1 inch of accumulation here in east Norman. No wind has helped significantly with this ice storm.

More steady rain moving into Norman. Temps are at freezing right now so additional icing should be minimal.

As much as I hate ice and snow I do have to admit that the thousands of tiny icecycles are pretty.

Just traipsed outside my yard and walked through crunchy ice on the grass, and took some great ice pictures of branches and icicles hanging off the eaves (hopefully some really good pics), but the driveway, sidewalks, and streets in my area are strictly wet - not even slushy from what I can tell.

Think the surface temps were just high enough to offset the fact that we didn't get a serious temperature plunge, so it was never quite low enough to get the non-elevated surfaces glazed. Reallly dodged a bullet, methinks.

So much for Ice Armageddon. Just ran to the store this morning…… nada.

Funny how KFOR's website still has all their doom and gloom predictions that haven't been updated since 6:30 last night.

Glad it missed us, the wife was concerned because of all the tree limbs we'd probably lose in an ice event as big as they predicted.

Koco's brad sowder should be fired for the crap he's spewing. According to him this "worst ice storm in years" is only going to get worse thru the day.

https://scontent-a-dfw.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn2/1535031_672648349422762_1615848305_n.png

No idea??? I think it's fairly clear there will not be a major winter storm in okc.

Well looks like the early indications were correct after all.

The worst part about my drive to work was nothing. Roads are clear. Actually, it was just the 35 minutes it took to clear the ice off all my car windows and windshield. Other than that...piece of cake, which is great cause I tend to Christmas shop last minute!

Koco's brad sowder should be fired for the crap he's spewing. According to him this "worst ice storm in years" is only going to get worse thru the day.

That is what I am keeping an eye on. Supposed to do dinner at Cheever's at 6:30 but don't know what to expect after the sun goes back down

I don't mind snow but turn into a little girl when dealing with ice.

Temp in Norman has come down a fraction. Steady light rain will be ending soon. Back to the west and southwest, just some scattered showers.

N of I-44 most of the significant rain is done. Just scattered showers or drizzle will remain through the day.