I, for one, am tired of being an evening meal for certain bloodsucking insects...

Try rubbing your wrists and neck with a dryer sheet. It's worked for me before. But yeah, they are kind of a nuisance this year, but we always have them in our backyard, even in drought years (perk of living near a lake?)

Severe thunderstorm watch has been extended some to the south. It still doesn't include Oklahoma and Tulsa Counties. It lasts until 11 pm.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Updated: Mon Jul-29-13 08:42pm CDT
Effective: Mon Jul-29-13 08:42pm CDT
Expires: Mon Jul-29-13 11:00pm CDT

Severity: Severe
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Likely

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Blaine; Dewey; Kingfisher; Lincoln; Logan; Payne

Message summary: The national weather service has extended severe thunderstorm watch 450 to include the following areas until 11 pm cdt this evening in oklahoma this watch includes 6 counties in central oklahoma kingfisher lincoln logan payne in northwest oklahoma blaine dewey this includes the cities of...chandler...guthrie...kingfisher...
Stillwater...taloga and watonga.

Bunty keep in mind to check the Tulsa office for local watch extensions - these are not done by SPC.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 450
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
845 PM CDT MON JUL 29 2013


OKC037-143-300400-
/O.EXA.KTSA.SV.A.0450.000000T0000Z-130730T0400Z/


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 450 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS
EVENING.


IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES


IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA


CREEK TULSA

These storms are no joke right now. Slowly sliding south.

Looks like Canton Lake will be receiving some stormwater tonight.

Winds in Orion NE of Seiling have to just be howling right now. Vance radar is pretty worthless right now with the beam getting a lot of interference right now. TLX showing a pretty significant area of damaging winds.

What is the Canton Lake forecast?



hehe

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1563.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1563
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 PM CDT MON JUL 29 2013


AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE


CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450...


VALID 300318Z - 300445Z


THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450
CONTINUES.


SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS PERSISTS ACROSS REMAINING
VALID PORTIONS OF WW 450. A LOCAL EXTENSION IN SPACE/TIME OF THE WW
MAY BE NECESSARY IN SOME AREAS...OR A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED.


DISCUSSION...AN MCS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP INTO A 40-KT SLY LLJ AS
SAMPLED BY 1-KM-AGL TLX VWP AND WHERE CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED ALONG
THE SRN FLANK OF A W/E-ELONGATED COLD POOL. WHILE WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW
IS HAVING A TENDENCY TO STEER MESO-BETA CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS/PERIPHERAL COLD-POOL SURGES EWD/ESEWD...PROPAGATIONAL
EFFECTS DERIVED FROM STRONG INFLOW OF HIGH THETA-E AIR SHOULD
SUPPORT AN OVERALL SWD MOTION OF THE MCS. HIGH PW WITH VALUES OF
2.0-2.2 INCHES PER GPS DATA WILL FAVOR SUBSTANTIAL WATER LOADING
WITH A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS. A 51-KT WIND GUST
WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE GAGE OK ASOS SITE. DESPITE NOCTURNAL
COOLING SERVING TO SUPPORT SOME INCREASE IN BOUNDARY-LAYER STATIC
STABILITY...IT MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO MITIGATE A CONTINUATION OF
THE DMGG-WIND POTENTIAL BEYOND THE SCHEDULED 04Z EXPIRATION TIME OF
WW 450...AS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES APPROACH MOIST-NEUTRAL AS OPPOSED
TO STRONGLY STABLE. AS SUCH...THE WW MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN
TIME/SPACE IN CNTRL/W-CNTRL/SWRN OKLAHOMA...OR A NEW WW MAY BE
NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OF
NOTE...SOME BRIEF TORNADO POTENTIAL CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT
GIVEN RELATIVELY LOW LCL HEIGHTS AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR BENEATH
THE LLJ MAX.


..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 07/30/2013

New watch.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 29 2013


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 451 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS


OKC009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-049-051-055-057-065-073-
075-083-087-109-129-137-149-301000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0451.130730T0345Z-130730T1000Z/


OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA ROGER MILLS STEPHENS
WA****A

The wa****a is about to get real here.

Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement
Updated: Mon Jul-29-13 10:40pm CDT
Effective: Mon Jul-29-13 10:40pm CDT
Expires: Mon Jul-29-13 11:15pm CDT

Severity: Minor
Urgency: Expected
Certainty: Observed

Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Blaine; Caddo; Canadian; Kingfisher; Lincoln; Logan; Oklahoma; Payne

Instructions: Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening weather conditions.

Message summary: ...significant weather advisory for logan...oklahoma...lincoln...
Kingfisher...blaine...northeastern caddo...payne and canadian counties until 1115 pm cdt...
At 1038 pm cdt...the leading edge of an area of strong winds...followed by strong thunderstorms...was along a line extending from cushing to guthrie to okarche to geary...moving south at 25 mph. Strong winds will affect stillwater...guthrie...oklahoma city...kingfisher...and surrounding areas through at least 1115 pm. Hazards include...
Wind gusts to 50 mph...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0451_radar.gif

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 29 2013


THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA


* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1045 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.


* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE


THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF CLINTON OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHICKASHA
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.


&&


OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 450...


DISCUSSION...W-E MCS OVER NW OK EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY SWD
THROUGH EARLY TUE...DRIVEN MAINLY BY PROPAGATION COMPONENT INTO 40
KT SLY LLJ. GIVEN HIGH PW /AOA 2 IN/ ASSOCIATED WITH LLJ AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES IN VERY WARM RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER JUST ABOVE THE
SFC...THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUSTS HAS IT HAS OVER THE PAST HOUR. REF MCD 1563 FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.


AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 33025.

W and NW Metro are now under a warning...

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1117 PM CDT MON JUL 29 2013


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
KINGFISHER COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 1200 AM CDT


* AT 1113 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR HITCHCOCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35
MPH.


HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA CITY...EL RENO...KINGFISHER...YUKON...
CONCHO... MUSTANG... WATONGA... PIEDMONT...HINTON...HENNESSEY...
UNION CITY... GEARY... OKARCHE... HYDRO...BINGER...CALUMET...
DOVER...EAKLY... HITCHCOCK... LOOKEBA AND GREENFIELD.

Most significant area for damaging wind will be in the Loyal down to Greenfield area moving towards Kingfisher and Okarche.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/jul13/29.png

Warning for Northern/central Metro

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWESTERN PAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 1245 AM CDT


* AT 1151 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LOVELL TO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCHO...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.


HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OKLAHOMA CITY...EDMOND...MIDWEST CITY...DEL CITY...GUTHRIE...
BETHANY...THE VILLAGE...WARR ACRES...CHOCTAW...HARRAH...NICHOLS
HILLS...SPENCER...JONES...NICOMA PARK...LANGSTON...CRESCENT...
LUTHER...COYLE...ARCADIA AND MARSHALL.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/jul13/29-1.png

Gust front just passed through El Reno with 40 mph winds, so nothing bad there. So far highest mesonet wind report is 60 mph with this complex.

Most intense part right now appears it will stay north of I-40 and south of Highway 33...for the main developing bow. Another smaller bow echo is north of 33 to around Highway 51.

It's raining. Just thought I would add my two cents to the discussion.

I was up until after midnight awaiting Hurricane Force Wind and Hail Armageddon (as prognosticated by Mike Morgan). In reality, it rained quite a bit for a little while here in The Village.

Storms weakened just before reaching the metro last night. Whenever the gust front gets out ahead of the storm, that is a good indication of weakening. Which is exactly what happened last night.


Another inch for the metro added last night. Places in northern OK got anywhere from 2-3 inches. Winner being west of Stillwater with almost 4 inches.

I was up until after midnight awaiting Hurricane Force Wind and Hail Armageddon (as pronosticated by Mike Morgan). In reality, it rained quite a bit for a little while here in The Village.

I tend to expect everything to be a couple notches below what Mike Morgan says any time he seems excited. Then check what other channels say.

My gauge/weather station says 1.02 inches after midnight, none before.
C. T.

Storms weakened just before reaching the metro last night. Whenever the gust front gets out ahead of the storm, that is a good indication of weakening. Which is exactly what happened last night.


Another inch for the metro added last night. Places in northern OK got anywhere from 2-3 inches. Winner being west of Stillwater with almost 4 inches.

The Stillwater Airport got 3.05" for one of the biggest amounts within Stillwater. The residential neighborhood south of there got slammed by a microburst, or whatever, from the storm last night. Branches were down and tree removal services were out. Most of the rest of Stillwater was apparently spared.

Map below shows how much it rained. Stillwater area didn't get bypassed for a change from the most generous offerings. I wouldn't be surprised if much of the northeast quadrant of Oklahoma turns white from the next drought monitor update.

http://www.mesonet.org/data/public/mesonet/maps/realtime/current.24hour-rainrfc_front580.png

So was this the wettest July on record? We had 9.84 inches of rain in OKC this month.

2nd wettest on record behind the 11.90" of Jully 1996.


So was this the wettest July on record? We had 9.84 inches of rain in OKC this month.

Regionally, central OK is 9 inches away from the wettest on record. If we never got another drop of moisture for the rest of the year, we would still have had the 4th wettest year ever.

Regionally, central OK is 9 inches away from the wettest on record. If we never got another drop of moisture for the rest of the year, we would still have had the 4th wettest year ever.

The way the Great Plains can be with extremes this makes me wonder what's in store for 2014.

The way the Great Plains can be with extremes this makes me wonder what's in store for 2014.

Don't get ahead of yourself, and enjoy the reasonable weather.