SPC upgraded SE KS to MODERATE risk for this late afternoon. They are looking at a potential significant wind event developing.

Derecho risk?

Derecho risk?

Not really, more along the lines of supercells going up at random boundaries and producing outflow boundaries which spark additional storms etc. Often times when storms fire along another storm's outflow boundary - there is an elevated risk of wind damage. Think of it as a localized straight-line wind event.

Well after a two week reprieve of Oklahoma, I'm back serving my sentence here. ;)

Anon has most things nail for today. Looks like storms could move into the Metro later after 9PM, but wouldn't expect much.

Now I'm going to go back and dream about the 70s and low 80s (most days) I got to enjoy back in the Great Lakes. :)

Welcome back. I was beginning to wonder if you fell victim to the ring of fire!

Welcome back. I was beginning to wonder if you fell victim to the ring of fire!

Haha. We got a few decent storms up there, but nothing too terrible. All I can say is where are SPOILED with NWS Norman and also local weather coverage.

Well after a two week reprieve of Oklahoma, I'm back serving my sentence here. ;)

Anon has most things nail for today. Looks like storms could move into the Metro later after 9PM, but wouldn't expect much.

Now I'm going to go back and dream about the 70s and low 80s (most days) I got to enjoy back in the Great Lakes. :)

Great Lakes? Where? I'm heading up for July 4 and the following weekend (West Michigan). Can't wait for those 70s and 80s.

Chicago for a few days then some time back in Michigan. As well as a trip out to Put-In-Bay and Sandusky in Ohio...yes that includes Cedar Point.

Storms fired in W and C KS, pretty far west, too... Thus increases chances of storms making OKC tonight.

*Not sure if this is the appropriate place for this bit of info or not, so feel free to move it if need be*

This is certainly just one person/groups opinion, but for it to be talked about at the AMS Conference I imagine its kind of "buzz-worthy":

AMS 41Broadcast ‏@AMSBroadcastCon
Comment from @accuweather: beyond day 5-7, it's the EURO ensemble or a human forecast. GFS not a player in their longer forecasts. #AMS13
Retweeted by Shelby Hays


Any thoughts?

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0379_radar.gif

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT THU JUN 27 2013


THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO THE CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE


* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.


* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE


THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST OF
GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.


&&


OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 377...WW 378...


DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SW AND CENTRAL KS WILL MOVE
SEWD INTO N/NW OK AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES THIS EVENING WITH A RISK
FOR DAMAGING GUSTS...AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL IN N CENTRAL OK WHERE
INSTABILITY IS STRONGEST.


AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 34030.


Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (<5%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes

Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Low (10%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (70%)

Things are coming down, but still a threat....

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
844 PM CDT THU JUN 27 2013


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
GARFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
KINGFISHER COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
NOBLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
PAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 930 PM CDT


* AT 839 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THE LEADING EDGE OF WINDS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM STILLWATER TO GUTHRIE TO 8 MILES WEST OF
OKARCHE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH. WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH HAVE
BEEN REPORTED WITHIN THE LAST HALF HOUR.


HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...
BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES...


* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OKLAHOMA CITY...EDMOND...MIDWEST CITY...ENID...STILLWATER...DEL
CITY...EL RENO...GUTHRIE...KINGFISHER...YUKON...BETHANY...OK ARCHE...
CONCHO...MUSTANG...THE VILLAGE...WARR ACRES...CHOCTAW...CUSHING...
PERRY...HARRAH AND NICHOLS HILLS.

The ominous looking cloud structures of an approaching severe storm this evening, 6/27/12, and then the sudden slam from the gust front was impressive in Stillwater as pictured at Boomer Lake Park:

http://stillwaterweather.com/photos/627storm.jpg

Mike Morgan on KFOR showed a picture like the above one that was taken elsewhere. I've gotten word that it's a shelf cloud with the the upper portion showing pancaking layers caused by very strong upper level winds, interfering with the updrafts. The picture only shows the right end of the entire dang formation. I believe the storm had already been on the wane when it arrived to Stillwater. The Stillwater airport had a 52 mph wind gust and only .18 of rain. There were higher wind gusts from counties north and northwest of there.

Will update the weekend tomorrow.

But how about this weather? Man wish it would last forever. Windows open tonight with the AC shut down.

Good stuff.

Should we start an Oklahoma Mild Weather thread?

Should we start an Oklahoma Mild Weather thread?

Soon as we do that, some tropical storm will come up and bug us. :)

Soon as we do that, some tropical storm will come up and bug us. :)

I wouldn't mind a nice tropical storm to put an even bigger dent in the drought than the May rains did.

Maybe even end this drought for good. Gotta take the good with the bad.

I wouldn't mind a nice tropical storm to put an even bigger dent in the drought than the May rains did.

Maybe even end this drought for good. Gotta take the good with the bad.

Indeed! I could go for 20 days of showers/light rain. The ground is already cracking pretty bad again, so it would help. Not to mention I would have NO problem with going the year with only 1 or 2 days above 100. :)

Below is a panoramic photo of how the shelf cloud looked coming in at Boomer Lake Park in Stillwater from June 27th. Other image shows top wind gusts associated with the line of severe storms.

Infamous KFOR-TV weatherman, "Go South!", Mike Morgan, on the 6pm newscast thought the line wouldn't make it very far across Oklahoma, due to it getting choked off by a cap and sunset. He was right.

http://stillwaterweather.com/photos/627stormpano.jpg

http://stillwaterweather.com/photos/627stormwindgusts.jpg