i think they will issue a Severe ThunderStorm Watch

Towers going up in extreme E TX Pandhandle. These will slide E and ESE into the evening.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2013/day1otlk_20130426_2000_prt.gif
VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF OK...

...OK...
THE 1630Z OUTLOOK REMAINS ON TRACK ACROSS OK FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THUS NO CHANGES IN SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE
NEEDED WITH THIS OUTLOOK ISSUANCE. THE 15Z HRRR REMAINS CONSISTENT
WITH EARLIER STORM-SCALE MODEL SOLUTIONS USED IN THE PREVIOUS
OUTLOOK DISCUSSION SUGGESTING INITIALLY MORE DISCRETE STORMS DEVELOP
OVER NWRN INTO CENTRAL OK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ACTIVITY TO GROW
UPSCALE INTO A LINEAR SYSTEM AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO ERN OK
AFTER 27/05Z.

EARLY-MID AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER THE OK PANHANDLE WITH A FRONT EXTENDING SEWD THROUGH
NWRN TO CENTRAL /N OF KOKC/ AND INTO EAST CENTRAL OK. GIVEN RECENT
BACKING WINDS TO GENERALLY ELY N OF THIS FRONT AND SLY TRAJECTORIES
EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER SRN OK AHEAD OF THE PROGRESSIVE SURFACE LOW
WOULD SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY MAY TEND TO BE MORE QUASI-STATIONARY
INTO THIS EVENING. THE LIGHTNING OVER SWRN KS INTO THE NRN TX
PANHANDLE IS INDICATIVE OF THE STRONGER ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

This is from NWS-Don't be surprised if you see/hear a watch for parts of central and western Oklahoma between now and 5 pm. Conditions are coming together for supercells to form in the far eastern Texas panhandle, and then move through parts of western and eventually into central Oklahoma. If you have outdoor plans this evening, you need to be especially weather aware! Allow yourself plenty of time to get to a sturdy shelter in a storm threatens! The most intense storms will have tennis ball size hail and we could even see a tornado or two. Stay alert!

Severe thunderstorm watch 139 is in effect until 1100 pm cdt
for the following locations

okc009-011-015-017-027-039-043-045-049-051-073-081-083-087-093-
109-119-125-129-149-153-270400-
/o.new.kwns.sv.a.0139.130426t2040z-130427t0400z/

ok
. Oklahoma counties included are

beckham blaine caddo
canadian cleveland custer
dewey ellis garvin
grady kingfisher lincoln
logan major mcclain
oklahoma payne pottawatomie
roger mills wa****a woodward

Finally home...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0558.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0558
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL OK...FAR ERN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 261956Z - 262230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS APPEAR LIKELY TO FORM BY 22-23Z
ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER AND DEVELOP SEWD INTO CNTRL OK THIS EVENING.
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...BUT ISOLATED SEVERE WINDS
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 1011 MB CYCLONE IN THE
NRN TX PANHANDLE WITH AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE EXTENDING S/SWWD TOWARDS
THE PECOS VALLEY. A WARM FRONT THAT IS BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY
EXTENDED E/SEWD INTO CNTRL OK TO THE ARKLATEX. CONVERGENCE ALONG
BOTH BOUNDARIES APPEARS TO BE STRENGTHENING IN RESPONSE TO THE
LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE THAT WILL TRACK EWD ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER...AS SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS SWRN
OK/NWRN TX. HERE...NEARLY FULL INSOLATION IS OCCURRING WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WARMING THROUGH THE 70S INTO 80S AMIDST DEW POINTS
STILL RISING THROUGH 50S. THIS IS PROMOTING RAPID DESTABILIZATION
AND WILL YIELD WEAK TO EVENTUALLY MODERATE MIXED-LAYER BUOYANCY BY
EARLY EVENING.

12Z CONVECTION-ALLOWING WRF GUIDANCE ALONG WITH LATER MORNING HRRR
RUNS HAVE BEEN HIGHLY CONSISTENT WITH SIMULATING A BLOSSOMING OF
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY BY ABOUT 22Z. BASED ON CURRENT POSITION OF THE
SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS ATTENDANT TO THE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...AND
INCREASING CU S ALONG THE DRYLINE...THIS SCENARIO APPEARS QUITE
REASONABLE. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY HIGH-BASED WITH
ELONGATED/NEARLY STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS FAVORING SPLITTING
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH MAIN THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
SEVERE WINDS.

..GRAMS/HART.. 04/26/2013

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0139_radar.gif

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 139
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF CHANDLER
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON
OVER NORTHWEST OK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THESE STORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO CENTRAL OK THIS EVENING. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL
APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes

Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (10%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

I won't be sitting in it until things get going, but I did start up the chat room for tonight: Live Chat | Weather Spotlight (http://www.weatherspotlight.com/?page_id=40)

Looking at current conditions out there right now...

Warm front currently extends from NW to SE across the state fron north of Woodward down to OKC and down to the SE, pretty much running near/along US 270. Moisture is decent across the area, not excessive, but decent. Best moisture convergence is going to be along the warm front and also back in the Panhandles near the triple point intersection with the Low. Best instability is going out in Western Oklahoma where the sun has been shining for most of the day.

HRRR has initiation around this time out to the NW. There are some storms in that area, but nothing out of control right now. It does forecast a couple severe supercells, which probably very large hail, moving SE into the OKC area by 8PM tonight. Tornado threat is fairly low, but any storm that rides the boundary might have enough local helicity to get things going. LCLs aren't bad at all today with the low level moisture. Today is just more of a big hail day though than anything else.

HRRR Forecast image for 9PM tonight...

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/from_jet/hrrr_jet/2013042619/t5/cref_t5sfc_f07.png

More of a heads up that the show is getting started...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
424 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

OKZ004-009-262215-
HARPER OK-ELLIS OK-
424 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013


...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HARPER AND ELLIS
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...


AT 424 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 9 MILES WEST OF SLAPOUT TO 7 MILES NORTH OF GLAZIER...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.


HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER HAIL...


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHATTUCK...LAVERNE...ARNETT...GAGE...ROSSTON...MAY AND CATESBY.

This hazardous weather outlook covers northern...western...
Central...and southern oklahoma...and western north texas.

.day one...through tonight...

Thunderstorm outlook...
There is a risk of severe thunderstorms through about 2 am across
portions of oklahoma.

Location...
The risk area covers locations between the red river and a line
extending from buffalo to stillwater.

Timing...
The most likely time for severe thunderstorms will 5 pm through 2 am.

Impacts...
The primary hazard will be hail to the size of golfballs. However...
A few of the storms initially could produce hail the size of tennis
balls across western oklahoma.

Recommended actions...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across the
risk area should plan for severe weather operations through the early
morning hours saturday.

Discussion...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
late in the afternoon and early evening across northwest and west
central oklahoma. These storms may initially be discrete storms
capable of producing very large hail. These storms are expected to
then interact and form a complex of storms that will move southeast
across central and southern oklahoma through the evening into the
overnight hours.

Probability table...
Valid through 700 am cdt saturday apr 27.
Probability of thunderstorms occurring in the
nws norman county warning area...100 percent.
Probability of severe storms if storms occur...80 percent.

Other hazardous weather...
None.

.days two through seven...saturday through thursday...

Thunderstorm outlook...
After a period of quiet weather through the weekend and early next
week...thunderstorm chances will return as another system moves through
the region tuesday through wednesday.

Other hazardous weather...
None.

The next scheduled hazardous weather outlook will be issued around
5 am saturday.

First look at the stuff moving in...

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-1.png

First warning...

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
521 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHEASTERN ROGER MILLS COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN WOODWARD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 600 PM CDT


* AT 521 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF ARNETT...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...

Hail size increasing out west...2 other hail cores developing just SW of the main cell.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-3.png

Destructive wind potential is increasing rapidly with the storms out west.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 730 PM CDT


* AT 647 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF OAKWOOD TO 7 MILES EAST OF PUTNAM TO 10 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BUTLER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...
HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEATHERFORD...WATONGA...THOMAS...CANTON...CUSTER CITY...
HITCHCOCK...GREENFIELD...OAKWOOD...PUTNAM...EAGLE CITY...FAY...
SOUTHARD AND HUCMAC.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-5.png

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-4.png

Heads up from Norman...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
713 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

OKZ018-019-024-025-270030-
LOGAN OK-OKLAHOMA OK-KINGFISHER OK-CANADIAN OK-
713 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013


...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN...OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN KINGFISHER AND CANADIAN COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...


AT 712 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM NEAR
CANTON DOWN TO JUST NORTH OF WEATHERFORD AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
30 MPH. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL IMPACT THE MENTIONED COUNTIES
BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM...WHICH INCLUDES GUTHRIE...KINGFISHER...AND
THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO.


HAZARDS INCLUDE...


THOSE ATTENDING OUTDOOR EVENTS IN THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

Large hail is becoming a concern now in the Metro area as the storms get closer. Radar estimates now up to near 2".

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-6.png

Warnings for the metro now.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A


* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWESTERN KINGFISHER COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...


* UNTIL 830 PM CDT


* AT 726 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HITCHCOCK
TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HYDRO...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH...
LARGE HAIL UP TO PING PONG BALL SIZE...

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-7.png

I'll be the room full time now until the storms pass: Live Chat | Weather Spotlight (http://www.weatherspotlight.com/?page_id=40)

Very strong winds developing. This is popping up as rotation, but it could just be strong outflow winds on the leading edge.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-8.png

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0559.gif
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0559
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 139...

VALID 270059Z - 270300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 139
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ESEWD
ACROSS CNTRL OK AND EVENTUALLY E OF THE CURRENT WATCH. A NEW WW MAY
BE REQUIRED BY 03Z.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXISTS ALONG AN
ADVANCING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. COOLING
ALOFT AND DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL MAINTAIN THESE STORMS THROUGH
THE EVENING DESPITE A RELATIVELY MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
AS SEEN ON 00Z OUN SOUNDING. COUNTERACTING MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL
ALSO BE AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WITH 30-35 KT SLY FLOW EXPECTED.

THE STRONGEST CELL IS CURRENTLY ENTERING CANADIAN COUNTY WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND LIKELY. AT ITS CURRENT SPEED...THIS SEVERE
STORM WILL ENTER WRN OK COUNTY AROUND 845 PM CDT...AND DOWNTOWN OKC
AROUND 900 PM CDT WITH DAMAGING HAIL AND WIND. THIS CELL MAY
EVENTUALLY TURN RIGHT AS THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES THE
PROPAGATIONAL COMPONENT OF THE MOTION.

..JEWELL.. 04/27/2013

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-9.png

812pm - dual pol data tells us OKC storm likely contains a lot of small hail, versus big hailstones. This is good news. #okwx
by NWS Norman via twitter (http://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/327953532231766016) 8:13 PM

Hail size may not be large, but there will be a ton of it. Plow trucks ready? :)

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-12.png

Mostly marble-sized at NW 122 and Council around 8:38. Lasted for only a minute or so but covered the ground like snow.

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-13.png

Half dollar to ping pong ball sized at 122nd and may. Lasted for a few minutes.

Made me fear for my skylights.

If you guys want, you can submit your hail reports here: Submit a Storm Report (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=oun)

Side note, we had a cold air funnel touchdown out in the panhandle earlier so its getting documented as a tornado.

20406 N BOOKERBEAVEROK365410054COLD AIR FUNNEL BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN. (AMA) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)

If you guys want, you can submit your hail reports here: Submit a Storm Report (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=oun)

Does the mPing program go to the same reporting system, or is that a different one?

Does the mPing program go to the same reporting system, or is that a different one?

That goes right to NSSL and I believe NWS will pull from it as well. I normally just do the mPing app.

Lots of rain, but little if any hail in the Belle Isle area. I'm on the 12th floor of the 50 Penn Place tower, so it's hard to say for sure. I don't see any hail collecting on the ground.

Really light rain in far SW OKC - lightning but not much else. Wind has kicked up.

RIP Edmond north facing windows..

The village dodged a bullet for once thank god!

Next hail core moving in...

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-16.png

Are those heading east, north east or what?

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0140_radar.gif

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
930 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 930 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA TO 75 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 139...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EAST SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A
FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA APPEAR LIKELY
TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH AT LEAST INTO THE 06-07Z TIME FRAME. STRONGEST
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL AND A FEW
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes

Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (10%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (80%)

Three supercells now moving through Central OK...

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-18.png

RIP Edmond north facing windows..

RIP pristine car...

Norman heads up...well, maybe heads covered is better. ;)

http://www.weatherspotlight.com/screencap/4262013-20.png

Small hail & very high winds near Norman North highschool.

Yeah just mainly pea size hail and winds pushing 55 or so a few times. Ton of water though.

RIP pristine car...

I will never not have a garage in Oklahoma, again.

I am out of town this weekend. What does the damage look like in the metro area and how widespread was the golfball sized hail?

Why are the weather maps on KOCO showing such obscure and obsolete locations? Showing Britton Road as Main Street is just silly. Maybe it was Main when Britton was an independent town. It is almost like they want to capitalize on cute names like "Nowhere", etc.

3679

Where was that?????

I will never not have a garage in Oklahoma, again.

I do have a garage. A wonderful, lovely garage. It's the first time in my life I've ever had one (since I moved into this house). I was driving home from helping a friend paint the trim and doors in her new house. I needed maybe 1-2 more minutes to make it home. Shoulda stopped at the gas station and hid under the awning when the wind hit. I knew it was coming. It's infuriating when people drive 35 in a 45 for miles and you can't get around anyone because you're in the middle of the pack >:(

Where was that?????
That was some place in Edmond last night.

That was some place in Edmond last night.Ah, well in North Edmond on Covell and Coltrane, there was no hail what so ever.

Brief look ahead...

This is off of last nights 00Z GFS run. The 12Z run will be finished early this afternoon.

Weds May 1st - Strong cold front comes through. Rain/Storms appear likely. Severe risk in the early to mid afternoon before frontal passage. Temps in the 70s early falling to the 40s by evening and into the 30s overnight.

Thurs May 2nd - Dry, but wanted to note overnight lows back in the 30s again.

Friday May 10th - Storms early, moving east through the day.

Not really a lot popping up for the first week or so in May, which is pretty unusual. We'll see what the 12Z shows. The GFS takes the system that is coming through Wednesday and closes it off over the Ohio Valley. It leaves it there for a few days giving them a ton of rain and highs in the 40s. So having a feature like that can definitely snarl things up over us. If it happens we'll have to wait and see.

Storm reports for yesterday...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/130426_rpts_filtered.gif

Filtered Tornado Reports (CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_filtered_torn.csv)) (Raw Tornado CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_raw_torn.csv))(? (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/#6.10))Time
LocationCountyStateLatLonComments2040
6 N BOOKERBEAVEROK365410054COLD AIR FUNNEL BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN. (AMA) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)Filtered Hail Reports (CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_filtered_hail.csv)) (Raw Hail CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_raw_hail.csv))(? (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/#6.10))TimeSizeLocationCountyStateLatLonComments22 221003 NE ARNETTELLISOK36179973(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)234912510 E SWEETWATERBECKHAMOK35429974(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0009100OAKWOODDEWEYOK35939870(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0043100GREENFIELDBLAINEOK35739838(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0115125CONCHOCANADIANOK35629800(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)01192003 N CLOUD CHIEFWA****AOK35299885(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)01341255 SSE PIEDMONTCANADIANOK35589771(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)01371254 NNW BETHANYOKLAHOMAOK35569767(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)01382001 S ALFALFACADDOOK35209861(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0150250EDMONDOKLAHOMAOK35659748(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)01571002 E HINTONCADDOOK35479832(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0205150FORT COBBCADDOOK35109844(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0214175CHOCTAWOKLAHOMAOK35489727(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)02301753 E ANADARKOCADDOOK35079819(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)02381506 W MEEKERLINCOLNOK35509700(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)02441001 W MUSTANGCANADIANOK35399774(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0245125CHICKASHAGRADYOK35049795(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0306175PRAGUELINCOLNOK35499669(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)03171251 SSE STANLEY DRAPER LACLEVELANDOK35329735(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0337175CASTLEOKFUSKEEOK35479638WIND GUST OF 59 MPH ALSO REPORTED. (TSA) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)040410010 W HENRYETTAOKFUSKEEOK35449616(TSA) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0442100MAYSVILLEGARVINOK34829741(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)04481002 S STRATFORDGARVINOK34779696(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)05001752 NNE PAULS VALLEYGARVINOK34779720(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)05301007 WNW ROFFGARVINOK34659697(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)05401002 W ROFFPONTOTOCOK34639688(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)Filtered Wind Reports (CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_filtered_wind.csv)) (Raw Wind CSV (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday_raw_wind.csv))(? (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/#6.10))TimeSpeedLocationCountyStateLatLonComments2 305644 WNW CAMARGODEWEYOK36049935(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)011560CONCHOCANADIANOK35629800(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)023261CYRILCADDOOK34909820(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)030460MEEKERLINCOLNOK35509689ALSO PING PONG SIZED HAIL. WINDOWS BROKE OUT OF HOUSES. (OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0415UNKSTRATFORDGARVINOK34809696LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.(OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)0445UNK1 S STRATFORDGARVINOK347896969 INCH TREE LIMB ON ROADWAY. POWER LINES ACROSS HIGHWAY 19. (OUN) (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/Stormready/WFOlist.php)

Is it just me, or is the weather, maybe even the climate, acting very strange lately? IN OKLAHOMA!?

Is it just me, or is the weather, maybe even the climate, acting very strange lately? IN OKLAHOMA!?

No, it's spring time, though I do wonder what's with Oklahoma City for being subject to so many big hail storms, other than because it's the biggest target in the state.

Is it just me, or is the weather, maybe even the climate, acting very strange lately? IN OKLAHOMA!?

It's not just you, and it's been happening for about ten years.

We have the coldest recorded temperature in the same year we have the highest recorded temperature. We have the rainiest year on record followed by years of drought. We have the highest recorded snowfall and then the next year we have temperatures in the 80s in January.

Yes, the climate is bizarre. It is extreme. I remember thinking the year we got nearly 60 inches of rain in Oklahoma we would soon be having some nasty drought.

I would say this spring is closer -- though cooler and slightly wetter -- to the average. The last two years have just been hot. Thank God that trend has reversed.

But I was talking to someone in farm country two weeks ago and he pointed out these late freezes have happened several years in a row and that farmers have not adjusted to the climate change. They need to, because it is destroying their crops.

You know I've always thought it would be neat if someone found a way to genetically engineer certain crops to withstand drought and freezes. You make TONS AND TONS of money if you did that and patented it. If no one does, maybe I could give it a shot lol, 10-15 years of research and dedication and surely something would breakthrough.

Anyhow, it is strange. I've lived here my whole life pretty much, except for the 5 years I lived in Dallas, but it seems very strange when compared to most other places. I've even had relatives from Colorado range say that our weather is nuts, now that is saying something. The other thing is, it will suck if goes from being this cold to a straight 3 months of 100+ degrees which is probably what will happen lol