Anonymous.
01-28-2013, 09:59 PM
Of course I washed my car this weekend after not doing so for 3 weeks, and now it rains.
View Full Version : Oklahoma Weather Discussion - January 2013 Anonymous. 01-28-2013, 09:59 PM Of course I washed my car this weekend after not doing so for 3 weeks, and now it rains. venture 01-28-2013, 10:12 PM Of course I washed my car this weekend after not doing so for 3 weeks, and now it rains. I washed mine today. Go figure. It's staying in the garage tomorrow. LOL ljbab728 01-28-2013, 10:15 PM You're both going to face the rath of the people in the water conservation thread. LOL venture 01-29-2013, 12:02 AM Severe risk update for today. For Oklahoma - Slight Risk of Severe Weather for Central and Eastern OK. This includes areas east of a line from Wichita Falls to Lawton to Yukon to Guthrie to Stillwater to just east of Newkirk. Main risk is large hail and damaging winds. There is a tornado threat mainly along and east of I-44. Timing still looks good but may be an hour or two slower than originally mentioned. Outside of Oklahoma a severe weather outbreak is expect over much of Arkansas into Southern Missouri, extreme W TN, NW MS, Northern LA, and extreme NE TX. Very large hail, destructive winds, and a few strong tornadoes are expected. SPC outlook for Oklahoma... ...SRN PLAINS/ARKLATEX/LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE GREAT PLAINS TODAY AS A POWERFUL 90 TO 110 KT MID-LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. AS THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET CORE MOVES ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS THIS MORNING...THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP FROM SE KS SWWD ACROSS CNTRL OK INTO NORTH TX. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP A SEVERE THREAT AROUND DAYBREAK AS A BAND OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT MOVES INTO THE SRN PLAINS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD QUICKLY INCREASE THIS MORNING WITH A SQUALL-LINE DEVELOPING AND MOVING EWD ACROSS THE OZARKS AND ARKLATEX REGION THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS A LARGE AREA AND A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT APPEARS LIKELY TO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM SERN MO SWWD ACROSS AR INTO NRN LA. catch22 01-29-2013, 01:16 AM You're both going to face the rath of the people in the water conservation thread. LOL The water conservation people should be bowing. A few car washes to bring rain. It's a nice tradeoff. I love how mud can fall from the sky in Oklahoma.... Bunty 01-29-2013, 04:41 AM Tornado watch now out until noon. It covers from the southwest corner of Oklahoma, northeast almost to Bartlesville. It includes Oklahoma City. Strong to severe thunderstorms have formed in the watch area as of 5:40 am. http://stillwaterweather.com frontallobotomy 01-29-2013, 07:31 AM I'm hoping we get some rain. venture 01-29-2013, 08:22 AM Bulletin - immediate broadcast requested severe thunderstorm warning national weather service norman ok 919 am cst tue jan 29 2013 the national weather service in norman has issued a * severe thunderstorm warning for... Southeastern canadian county in central oklahoma... Northwestern cleveland county in central oklahoma... Northeastern grady county in central oklahoma... Western lincoln county in central oklahoma... Southeastern logan county in central oklahoma... Northwestern mcclain county in central oklahoma... Oklahoma county in central oklahoma... * until 1000 am cst * at 917 am cst...national weather service meteorologists detected a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail and damaging winds in excess of 65 mph. This storm was located 5 miles northwest of newcastle...moving northeast at 65 mph. * locations impacted include... Moore...oklahoma city...and luther. venture 01-29-2013, 08:26 AM Confirmed 1" hail in Warr Acres. venture 01-29-2013, 08:29 AM Here are the two Tornado Watches in effect right now: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0005_radar.gif http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0006_radar.gif venture 01-29-2013, 08:33 AM http://www.weatherspotlight.com/radar/ktlx_hca1.png This is a dual pol image that I posted during the winter weather stuff we had. For severe weather you can look at this image and the areas shaded in red is where the radar is detecting hail falling. venture 01-29-2013, 08:41 AM Who would have thought... FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 934 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 OKC109-291730- /O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0001.130129T1534Z-130129T1730Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z. OO/ OKLAHOMA OK- 934 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 1130 AM CST * AT 927 AM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED HEAVY RAIN CAUSING URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN EDMOND AND NORTH OKLAHOMA CITY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE OKLAHOMA CITY...EDMOND...MIDWEST CITY...DEL CITY...BETHANY...THE VILLAGE...WARR ACRES...CHOCTAW...HARRAH...NICHOLS HILLS... SPENCER...JONES...NICOMA PARK...LUTHER...ARCADIA AND TINKER AIR FORCE BASE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR MORE IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. venture 01-29-2013, 09:03 AM Radar estimates of rainfall - any hail will throw these off, so these are going to appear too high in some places. http://www.weatherspotlight.com/radar/ktlx_str.png venture 01-29-2013, 09:40 AM Tornado watch paired back some... WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1028 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 OKC027-049-081-087-125-137-291800- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.A.0005.000000T0000Z-130129T1800Z/ TORNADO WATCH 5 REMAINS VALID UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA CLEVELAND LINCOLN MCCLAIN POTTAWATOMIE IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA GARVIN STEPHENS THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHANDLER...DUNCAN...MOORE... NORMAN...PAULS VALLEY...PURCELL AND SHAWNEE. venture 01-29-2013, 09:50 AM http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0068.gif MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0068 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0946 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...SERN OK...WRN AR CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 291546Z - 291745Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS NERN TX...SERN OK...AND WRN AR...WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. DISCUSSION...A MOIST AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S F. ALTHOUGH HEATING WILL REMAIN LIMITED...FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. ASIDE FROM THE COLD FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM OKC TO SPS...CONFLUENCE FLOW WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS AND BENEATH A 65 KT LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. WIND PROFILES ARE VERY STRONG WITH VWP AND PROFILER DATA INDICATING 0-1 SRH IN EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2. FURTHER....THE 12Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. WHILE INITIAL ATTEMPTS AT NEW STORMS MAY BE SLOW DUE TO MARGINAL CAPPING...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO MATERIALIZE ONCE DEEP CONVECTION IS REALIZED AND TORNADOES AS WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOWS ARE LIKELY. venture 01-29-2013, 09:53 AM New severe storm moving into Garvin County from Stephens. Should clip the far east sides of the Metro area (Pott county) based on its current track. venture 01-29-2013, 10:03 AM Wwus30 kwns 291657 saw7 spc aww 291657 ww 7 tornado ar ok tx 291700z - 300100z axis..80 statute miles east and west of line.. 35nw rkr/poteau ok/ - 80s prx/paris tx/ ..aviation coords.. 70nm e/w /39w fsm - 36w ggg/ hail surface and aloft..2 inches. Wind gusts..65 knots. Max tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 23045. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0007_radar.gif Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes Mod (60%) Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes Mod (30%) Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events Mod (60%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots Mod (40%) Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events Mod (30%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches Low (20%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events High (90%) URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA NORTHEAST TEXAS EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 700 PM CST. SEVERAL TORNADOES ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA TO 80 MILES SOUTH OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...WW 6... DISCUSSION...A BAND OF PRE-FRONTAL ASCENT OVERSPREADING NE TX/SE OK WILL SUPPORT NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN THE UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR. THOUGH CLOUDS ARE LIMITING SURFACE HEATING...DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S AND REMNANT STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL DRIVE MLCAPE TO THE 750-1500 J/KG RANGE BY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AND THIS WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING. venture 01-29-2013, 10:22 AM Intensities are definitely picking up as the activity continues to move away from I-35. OKC definitely got away with just a good down pour and a little hail. ShiroiHikari 01-29-2013, 12:43 PM Ahhh! What is this wet stuff falling from the sky?! I don't understand! Praedura 01-29-2013, 01:28 PM Ahhh! What is this wet stuff falling from the sky?! I don't understand! Ah yes, soil moisturizer. Best if applied daily, to avoid dry spots and unsightly crevices. :wink: venture 01-29-2013, 01:53 PM Outside of our main focus area here, but I believe this is the first tornado warning of the year for the state. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 251 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS * UNTIL 330 PM CST * AT 246 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION WAS LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF SHORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...NATURAL DAM...LEE CREEK...STRICKLER...DEVILS DEN STATE PARK...BLACKBURN AND WINSLOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS! venture 01-29-2013, 02:09 PM Appears as though there very well could be a significant tornado in NE Crawford County, AR...just across the border from OK. http://www.weatherspotlight.com/radar/screengrab-130129-1509.png venture 01-29-2013, 04:08 PM Looking some moderate rain kicking up now over Lake Dirtybird. More showers out to the west will be working in as well later. Oh yeah...this will all eventually change over to snow tonight. :) Here is the snowfall forecast from HRRR... http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/from_jet/hrrr_jet/2013012919/t5/acsnw_t5sfc_f15.png Easy180 01-29-2013, 06:18 PM The drought is over my friends Hold up...Just checked and apparently I'm wrong boscorama 01-29-2013, 06:52 PM I'm glad this January thread is nearly complete. Keeping my fingers crossed for more interesting days in February. Does anyone else want to shake the news, and especially weather, people, when they mention how very rare severe storms and tornadoes are in the winter? I mean, they happen every year. True, it's outside "season" but that doesn't make it rare. We know there are three tornado seasons, don't we? catch22 01-29-2013, 07:28 PM It's odd, not rare. I agree. venture 01-29-2013, 08:04 PM Again, don't take this to the bank... http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/from_jet/hrrr_jet/2013012923/t5/acsnw_t5sfc_f15.png Plutonic Panda 01-29-2013, 08:28 PM A BLIZZARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HELL YEAAAHHHH!!!! lol jk :p Anonymous. 01-30-2013, 07:45 AM I'm glad this January thread is nearly complete. Keeping my fingers crossed for more interesting days in February. Does anyone else want to shake the news, and especially weather, people, when they mention how very rare severe storms and tornadoes are in the winter? I mean, they happen every year. True, it's outside "season" but that doesn't make it rare. We know there are three tornado seasons, don't we? This is the misconception with all "major" weather events. All of these 'rare and extreme' occurances happen throughout the year...every year. Mainstream media and general public are simply dramatic and unaware of how averages work. Praedura 01-30-2013, 11:30 PM Time lapse video of the system that came through on Tuesday: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK-35UVjA4o By Mat Hoffman, of skateboard fame. BoulderSooner 01-31-2013, 08:32 AM cool thanks OKCisOK4me 01-31-2013, 03:52 PM Man, that was......stellar. ou48A 01-31-2013, 04:23 PM On their 5pm TV WX-cast both CH 4 & 9 indicated that we might have a significant system in for next weekend. venture 01-31-2013, 06:52 PM On their 5pm TV WX-cast both CH 4 & 9 indicated that we might have a significant system in for next weekend. Might is the keyword. Most model runs have been keeping anything substantial east of I-35. |